Bears @ Eagles: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2025)

Fri, Nov 28, 2025, 3:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Philadelphia Eagles

Weather at kickoff41°F16 mphgusts 36DryWindy Over 46% of 93 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Chicago Bears

8-3 · Power #16

▲ winner

Final

Philadelphia Eagles

8-3 · Power #9

final

Closing spread

PHI -7

✓ CHI W

Total

43.5

▼ Under · 39 pts

Model before kickoff

CHI 17–24 PHI

✗ PHI (74%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenPHI -6.5

ClosePHI -7

Total43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenPHI -6.5

0.5 → PHI

ClosePHI -7

0.5 pts toward Philadelphia Eagles

Total

Open43.5

no move

Close43.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened PHI -6.5 · closed PHI -7 · moved 0.5 toward PHImodel PHI -6

model PHI -6

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 6–8 since 2023: won 75%, covered 52% (91 games)ⓘ

Moved onto 7Too few earlier games to rateⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenPHI -6.5

ClosePHI -7

Total43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like PHI as a 7-point home favorite against CHI, the favorite won 10, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: CHI won 24–15 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 39 points stayed under 43.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 72%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 55%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 11.8 against an average line of 7; 45.2 points a game (usually 46.4). Of the 5 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	SEA vs ARI 2025 · Week 10 · very close · similar total & spread	-7.5	44–22	W	O44.5
Very close	PHI vs NYG 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & spread	-7.5	38–20	W	O43.5
Very close	KC vs TB 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar team ratings & situation	-8.5	30–24	L	O45.5
Very close	GB vs MIN 2025 · Week 12 · very close · similar season form & spread	-6.5	23–6	W	U41.5
Very close	HOU vs CHI 2024 · Week 2 · very close · similar spread & season form	-6.5	19–13	L	U45.5
Close	KC vs DEN 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar total & rest	-7.5	16–14	L	U41.5
Close	LAC vs NO 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & season form	-7.5	26–8	W	U41.5
Close	KC vs LAC 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar total & situation	-5.5	19–17	L	U43.5
Close	MIN vs ATL 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar rest	-5.5	42–21	W	O46.5
Close	PHI vs LAR 2024 · Postseason · close · similar spread & rest	-7.5	28–22	L	O43.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CHI LWLWW	7-4	64%	4-2	4-2
PHI WWWWL	7-4	64%	3-2	6-4

Venue/role: CHI away, as underdog; PHI home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CHI OOUUO	7-4	64%	8-3
PHI OOUUU	5-6	45%	8-3

Stayed under: it needed 25 in the 4th quarter and got 20. 52% of games with totals 40.5–46.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CHI	8-2 80%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%
PHI	7-3 70%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

CHI 6–12 PHI PHI leads · 18 games since 1999 · CHI has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CHI−1.4 →−0.8▲ 0.6#19

PHI+3.2 →+2.5▼ 0.7#9

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

CHI

Longer bar = better

PHI

Offense

◀ CHI better

#18

#25

Defense

PHI better ▶

#11

+1.5 #1

Turnovers

◀ CHI better

+0.5 #6

65 plays #6

Pace

◀ CHI faster

59 plays #24

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CHI has the ball

Even matchup

	CHI off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	26.3 #8	20.5 #8	Even
Yards / play	5.73 #8	5.38 #18	CHI
EPA / play	+0.06 #9	−0.05 #6	Even
Success rate	45% #12	44% #13	Even

When PHI has the ball

Advantage: PHI offense

	PHI off	CHI def	Edge
Points / game	23.2 #17	26.5 #27	PHI
Yards / play	5.18 #20	6.08 #30	PHI
EPA / play	+0.04 #13	0.00 #16	Even
Success rate	43% #23	47% #25	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

CHI scoring against the PHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CHI scored	6.1 #6	7.3 #14	13.4 #9	5.2 #11	7.7 #10	12.9 #8
PHI allowed	4.2 #12	5.5 #6	9.7 #8	4.4 #17	6.4 #15	10.7 #10

PHI scoring against the CHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PHI scored	7.2 #3	7.2 #16	14.4 #7	4.3 #20	4.5 #30	8.8 #27
CHI allowed	4.0 #10	8.7 #26	12.7 #22	4.9 #21	8.9 #27	13.8 #27

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.