Vikings @ Seahawks: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2025)

Sun, Nov 30, 2025, 4:05 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Seattle Seahawks

Weather at kickoff44°F3 mphgusts 9DryWeather watch ›

Minnesota Vikings

4-7 · Power #17

final

Final

Seattle Seahawks

8-3 · Power #1

▲ winner

Closing spread

SEA -12.5

✓ SEA W

Total

42.5

▼ Under · 26 pts

Model before kickoff

MIN 15–27 SEA

✓ SEA (87%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenSEA -10.5

CloseSEA -12.5

Total41.5 → 42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenSEA -10.5

2 → SEA

CloseSEA -12.5

2 pts toward Seattle Seahawks

Total

Open41.5

▲ 1

Close42.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened SEA -10.5 · closed SEA -12.5 · moved 2 toward SEAmodel SEA -13

model SEA -13

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 49% (59 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenSEA -10.5

CloseSEA -12.5

Total41.5 → 42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SEA as a 12.5-point home favorite against MIN, the favorite won 8, covered 6, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: SEA won 26–0; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 26 points stayed under 42.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 84%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 45%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 55%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 16.9 against an average line of 13; 41.7 points a game (usually 46). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	GB vs CAR 2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & total	-13.5	13–16	L	U43.5
Very close	GB vs NO 2024 · Week 16 · very close · similar situation & total	-14.5	34–0	W	U43.5
Very close	GB vs CHI 2024 · Week 18 · very close · similar season form & team ratings	-10.5	22–24	L	O41.5
Very close	TB vs NO 2024 · Week 18 · very close · similar rest & season form	-14.5	27–19	L	O44.5
Close	KC vs LV 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & spread	-13.5	31–0	W	U45.5
Close	DET vs TEN 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & season form	-12.5	52–14	W	O46.5
Close	KC vs LV 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar situation & spread	-13.5	19–17	L	U41.5
Close	DET vs CLE 2025 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & season form	-10.5	34–10	W	U44.5
Close	NE vs NYJ 2025 · Week 11 · close · similar spread & season form	-12.5	27–14	W	U42.5
Close	LAR vs NO 2025 · Week 9 · close · similar situation & team ratings	-14.5	34–10	W	U45.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MIN LWLLL	4-7	36%	2-2	2-4
SEA WWWWL	8-3	73%	3-2	6-2

Venue/role: MIN away, as underdog; SEA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
MIN OOUUU	7-4	64%	4-7
SEA OOOUO	7-4	64%	8-3

Stayed under: it needed 24 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 52% of games with totals 39.5–45.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MIN	3-7 30%	3-7 30%	6-4 60%
SEA	8-2 80%	8-2 80%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

MIN 5–10 SEA SEA leads · 15 games since 2002 · SEA has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 22 2024	Minnesota Vikings 27 @ Seattle Seahawks 24	MIN -2.5	MIN W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

MIN+1.0 →−1.6▼ 2.6#22

SEA−0.1 →+3.8▲ 3.9#4

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

MIN

Longer bar = better

SEA

#25

Offense

SEA better ▶

#12

Defense

SEA better ▶

−1.1 #31

Turnovers

Even

−0.6 #29

56 plays #31

Pace

SEA faster ▶

58 plays #27

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When MIN has the ball

Advantage: SEA defense

	MIN off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	20.4 #25	19.7 #7	SEA
Yards / play	5.03 #26	4.64 #3	SEA
EPA / play	−0.14 #28	−0.06 #5	SEA
Success rate	43% #20	41% #5	SEA

When SEA has the ball

Advantage: SEA offense

	SEA off	MIN def	Edge
Points / game	29.5 #2	23.2 #18	SEA
Yards / play	6.27 #2	5.07 #7	SEA
EPA / play	+0.05 #11	−0.02 #12	Even
Success rate	47% #8	43% #12	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

MIN scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MIN scored	4.9 #13	4.5 #28	9.5 #25	4.4 #21	6.5 #18	10.9 #22
SEA allowed	3.8 #8	4.0 #1	7.8 #2	4.2 #17	7.7 #24	11.9 #21

SEA scoring against the MIN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	7.5 #1	10.4 #2	17.9 #1	6.7 #5	4.8 #28	11.5 #16
MIN allowed	5.3 #25	6.0 #12	11.3 #18	5.5 #24	6.5 #16	11.9 #21

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.