FinalCurrentUpcomingConference Championship: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games22 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS1-150% covered
Upsets0outright
Over / Under1-150% over
Model Favorite2-0100% won
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
2–0100%
94–9849%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
—
43–4350%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
—
21–2744%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
—
7–750%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
1–325%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Sunday, Jan 25

2
Final · AFC Championship
10
15-3 · #8
7
Spread
NE -3.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
43.5 ▲2
▼ Under 17
Projected
22–19
✓ NE won
Trend: NE ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: NE by 3 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · NFC Championship
14-5 · #2
27
15-3 · #1
31
Spread
SEA -2.5
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼2
▲ Over 58 · Q3
Projected
23–25
✓ SEA won
Trend: SEA ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: LAR by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total