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NFL · 2025

NFL Week 3 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 3: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
16 finalFavorites 9-7 ATS4 upsetsO/U 8-8Model Favorite 12-4Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS9-756% covered
Upsets4outright
Over / Under8-850% over
Model Favorite12-475% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up4 all 4 final
Over2 50%Under2 50%
Moved down9 all 9 final
Over5 56%Under4 44%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
2–820%
94–9849%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
1–420%
43–4350%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
0–30%
21–2744%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
—
7–750%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
1–325%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Sep 18

1
Final · Division
Miami Dolphins
0-2 · #28
21
Buffalo Bills
2-0 · #4
31
Spread
BUF -11.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲2
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
19–30
✓ BUF won
Trend: BUF ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: MIA by 1 ✓ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Sep 21

14
Final · Non-conf
Green Bay Packers
2-0 · #11
10
Cleveland Browns
0-2 · #29
13
Spread
GB -7.5
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼3
▼ Under 23
Projected
25–17
✗ GB lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: CLE by 0 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
Indianapolis Colts
2-0 · #13
41
Tennessee Titans
0-2 · #31
20
Spread
IND -5.5
✓ IND W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼1
▲ Over 61 · Q3
Projected
26–21
✓ IND won
Trend: IND ATS ✓ Model: TEN by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Cincinnati Bengals
2-0 · #24
10
Minnesota Vikings
1-1 · #17
48
Spread
MIN -3.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼2
▲ Over 58 · Q3
Projected
21–23
✓ MIN won
Trend: CIN ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: CIN by 9 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Pittsburgh Steelers
1-1 · #19
21
New England Patriots
1-1 · #5
14
Spread
PIT -1.5
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 35
Projected
24–22
✓ PIT won
Model: NE by 2 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Los Angeles Rams
2-0 · #2
26
Philadelphia Eagles
2-0 · #9
33
Spread
PHI -3.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
45.5
▲ Over 59 · Q3
Projected
21–24
✓ PHI won
Trend: LAR ATS ✗ Model: LAR by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
New York Jets
0-2 · #32
27
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2-0 · #18
29
Spread
TB -6.5
✓ NYJ W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼2
▲ Over 56 · Q4
Projected
20–26
✓ TB won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: TB by 1 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Las Vegas Raiders
1-1 · #30
24
Washington Commanders
1-1 · #27
41
Spread
WSH -2.5
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼3
▲ Over 65 · Q4
Projected
20–22
✓ WSH won
Trend: LV ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: LV by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Atlanta Falcons
1-1 · #20
0
Carolina Panthers
0-2 · #26
30
Spread
ATL -4.5
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼1
▼ Under 30
Projected
25–20
✗ ATL lost
Trend: ATL ATS ✗ Model: ATL by 1 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Houston Texans
0-2 · #3
10
Jacksonville Jaguars
1-1 · #7
17
Spread
JAX -1.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼1
▼ Under 27
Projected
21–22
✓ JAX won
Model: HOU by 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Denver Broncos
1-1 · #8
20
Los Angeles Chargers
2-0 · #15
23
Spread
LAC -2.5
✓ LAC W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▼ Under 43
Projected
21–23
✓ LAC won
Model: DEN by 0 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
New Orleans Saints
0-2 · #23
13
Seattle Seahawks
1-1 · #1
44
Spread
SEA -6.5
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼1
▲ Over 57 · Q2
Projected
19–25
✓ SEA won
Trend: NO ATS ✗ Model: NO by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Dallas Cowboys
1-1 · #21
14
Chicago Bears
0-2 · #16
31
Spread
DAL -1.5
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲1
▼ Under 45
Projected
25–23
✗ DAL lost
Trend: DAL ATS ✗ Model: DAL by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Arizona Cardinals
2-0 · #25
15
San Francisco 49ers
2-0 · #10
16
Spread
SF -1.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
43.5
▼ Under 31
Projected
22–24
✓ SF won
Trend: SF ATS ✗ Model: SF by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Kansas City Chiefs
0-2 · #12
22
New York Giants
0-2 · #22
9
Spread
KC -5.5
✓ KC W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲2
▼ Under 31
Projected
25–20
✓ KC won
Trend: NYG ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: NYG by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3

Monday, Sep 22

1
Final · Non-conf
Detroit Lions
1-1 · #6
38
Baltimore Ravens
1-1 · #14
30
Spread
BAL -4.5
✓ DET W ATS
Total
53.5 ▲1
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
25–29
✗ BAL lost
Trend: DET ATS ✓ Model: DET by 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total