Week in numbers
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Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
| Moved toward | This week | 2025 | 2024–2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Any move | 94–9849% | 229–252–448% | |
| 1.5+ pts | 43–4350% | 116–117–250% | |
| 3+ pts | 0–10% | 21–2744% | 56–58–149% |
| 5+ pts | — | 7–750% | 17–1652% |
| 7+ pts | — | 1–325% | 2–722% |
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Oct 23
1Final · Non-conf
Spread
LAC -3.5
✓ LAC W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲1
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
21–24
✓ LAC won
Sunday, Oct 26
11Final · Non-conf
Spread
ATL -6.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼2
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
19–26
✗ ATL lost
Final · Non-conf
Spread
CIN -5.5
✓ NYJ W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼3
▲ Over 77 · Q3
Projected
20–26
✗ CIN lost
Final · Non-conf
Spread
NE -6.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
40.5
▲ Over 45 · Q4
Projected
16–23
✓ NE won
Final · Division
Spread
PHI -7.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
43.5
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
19–27
✓ PHI won
Final · Non-conf
Spread
BUF -7.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲1
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
26–18
✓ BUF won
Final · Non-conf
Spread
BAL -2.5
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼6
▲ Over 46 · Q4
Projected
24–27
✓ BAL won
Final · Non-conf
Spread
HOU -3.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼2
▼ Under 41
Projected
19–23
✓ HOU won
Final · Division
Spread
TB -3.5
✓ TB W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼3
▼ Under 26
Projected
25–22
✓ TB won
Final · Non-conf
Spread
DEN -4.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲3
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
22–27
✓ DEN won
Final · Division
Spread
IND -14.5
✓ IND W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲2
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
16–31
✓ IND won
Final · Non-conf
Spread
GB -2.5
✓ GB W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▲ Over 60 · Q4
Projected
24–22
✓ GB won
Monday, Oct 27
1Final · Non-conf
Spread
KC -11.5
✓ KC W ATS
Total
48.5
▼ Under 35
Projected
17–28
✓ KC won
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| Status | Matchup | Spread | Move | Total | Model | Signal | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading… | |||||||
Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total