FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 8: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1313 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS11-285% covered
Upsets2outright
Over / Under10-377% over
Model Favorite11-285% won
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20252024–2026
Any move
5–550%
94–9849%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
3–260%
43–4350%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
0–10%
21–2744%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
—
7–750%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
1–325%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Oct 23

1
Final · Non-conf
3-3 · #17
10
37
Spread
LAC -3.5
✓ LAC W ATS
Total
44.5 ▲1
▲ Over 47 · Q4
Projected
21–24
✓ LAC won
Trend: LAC ATS ✓ Model: MIN by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Oct 26

11
Final · Non-conf
1-6 · #28
34
3-3 · #20
10
Spread
ATL -6.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼2
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
19–26
✗ ATL lost
Trend: MIA ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: MIA by 0 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
0-7 · #32
39
3-4 · #24
38
Spread
CIN -5.5
✓ NYJ W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼3
▲ Over 77 · Q3
Projected
20–26
✗ CIN lost
Trend: CIN ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: NYJ by 3 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
2-5 · #29
13
32
Spread
NE -6.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
40.5
▲ Over 45 · Q4
Projected
16–23
✓ NE won
Trend: NE ATS ✓ Model: CLE by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
2-5 · #22
20
38
Spread
PHI -7.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
43.5
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
19–27
✓ PHI won
Model: PHI by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
4-2 · #4
40
4-3 · #26
9
Spread
BUF -7.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲1
▲ Over 49 · Q4
Projected
26–18
✓ BUF won
Trend: CAR ATS ✗ Model: BUF by 3 ✓ Model: Under 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
4-2 · #16
16
1-5 · #14
30
Spread
BAL -2.5
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼6
▲ Over 46 · Q4
Projected
24–27
✓ BAL won
Trend: CHI ATS ✗ Model: BAL by 3 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
5-2 · #10
15
2-4 · #3
26
Spread
HOU -3.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼2
▼ Under 41
Projected
19–23
✓ HOU won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: SF by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
23
1-6 · #23
3
Spread
TB -3.5
✓ TB W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼3
▼ Under 26
Projected
25–22
✓ TB won
Trend: TB ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: TB by 4 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
3-3-1 · #21
24
5-2 · #8
44
Spread
DEN -4.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲3
▲ Over 68 · Q4
Projected
22–27
✓ DEN won
Trend: DAL ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: DAL by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
1-6 · #31
14
6-1 · #13
38
Spread
IND -14.5
✓ IND W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲2
▲ Over 52 · Q4
Projected
16–31
✓ IND won
Trend: IND ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: TEN by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
4-1-1 · #11
35
4-2 · #19
25
Spread
GB -2.5
✓ GB W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼1
▲ Over 60 · Q4
Projected
24–22
✓ GB won
Trend: PIT ATS ✗ Model: GB by 2 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4

Monday, Oct 27

1
Final · Non-conf
7
4-3 · #12
28
Spread
KC -11.5
✓ KC W ATS
Total
48.5
▼ Under 35
Projected
17–28
✓ KC won
Trend: KC ATS ✓ Model: WSH by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total