Packers @ Vikings: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 18, 2025)

Sun, Jan 4, 2026, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 18 · at Minnesota Vikings · Division game

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Green Bay Packers

9-6-1 · Power #11

final

Final

Minnesota Vikings

8-8 · Power #17

▲ winner

Closing spread

MIN -13.5

✓ GB W

Total

37.5

▼ Under · 19 pts

Model before kickoff

GB 15–26 MIN

✓ MIN (85%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenMIN -6.5

CloseMIN -13.5

Total37.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
GB –WLLL	5-10	33%	1-6	0-1
MIN LWWWW	8-8	50%	3-4	4-3

Venue/role: GB away, as underdog; MIN home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
GB OOOUO	9-7	56%	9-6-1
MIN UUOUU	8-8	50%	8-8

Stayed under: it needed 25 in the 4th quarter and got 6. 54% of games with totals 34.5–40.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
GB	5-5 50%	3-6 33%	6-4 60%
MIN	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

GB 31–24 MIN (2 tied) GB leads · 57 games since 1999 · MIN has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 23 2025	Minnesota Vikings 6 @ Green Bay Packers 23	GB -6.5	GB W
Dec 29 2024	Green Bay Packers 25 @ Minnesota Vikings 27	GB -0.5	MIN W
Sep 29 2024	Minnesota Vikings 31 @ Green Bay Packers 29	GB -2.5	MIN W
Dec 31 2023	Green Bay Packers 33 @ Minnesota Vikings 10	GB -1	GB W
Oct 29 2023	Minnesota Vikings 24 @ Green Bay Packers 10	Pick’em	MIN W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

GB+2.2 →+2.3▲ 0.1#11

MIN+1.0 →−0.3▼ 1.3#17

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW17

Longer bar = better

MIN

Offense

◀ GB better

#27

#14

Defense

MIN better ▶

0.0 #15

Turnovers

◀ GB better

−0.5 #29

60 plays #21

Pace

◀ GB faster

56 plays #31

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When GB has the ball

Even matchup

	GB off	MIN def	Edge
Points / game	24.3 #13	20.6 #10	Even
Yards / play	5.76 #8	4.80 #5	Even
EPA / play	+0.14 #3	−0.09 #5	Even
Success rate	48% #3	41% #5	Even

When MIN has the ball

Advantage: GB defense

	MIN off	GB def	Edge
Points / game	20.5 #26	21.5 #11	GB
Yards / play	4.84 #28	4.95 #7	GB
EPA / play	−0.12 #29	+0.04 #21	GB
Success rate	42% #25	45% #18	GB

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

GB scoring against the MIN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GB scored	3.2 #28	7.2 #14	10.4 #24	5.6 #11	8.1 #4	13.7 #6
MIN allowed	4.1 #13	6.6 #15	10.7 #12	4.5 #17	5.4 #6	9.9 #10

MIN scoring against the GB defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MIN scored	4.9 #12	4.8 #28	9.7 #26	4.4 #18	6.4 #16	10.8 #19
GB allowed	1.4 #1	7.0 #17	8.4 #3	4.4 #13	8.1 #28	12.5 #22

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.