Packers @ Cardinals: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2025)

Sun, Oct 19, 2025, 4:25 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Arizona Cardinals

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Green Bay Packers

3-1-1 · Power #11

▲ winner

Final

Arizona Cardinals

2-4 · Power #25

final

Closing spread

GB -6.5

✓ ARI W

Total

44.5

▲ Over · 50 pts

Model before kickoff

GB 26–19 ARI

✓ GB (71%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenGB -6.5

CloseGB -6.5

Total43.5 → 44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenGB -6.5

no move

CloseGB -6.5

No change since the open

Total

Open43.5

▲ 1

Close44.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened GB -6.5 · unchangedmodel GB -4

model GB -4

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 5.5–7.5 since 2023: won 69%, covered 45% (54 games)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenGB -6.5

CloseGB -6.5

Total43.5 → 44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like GB as a 6.5-point road favorite at ARI, the favorite won 8, covered 5, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: GB won 27–23; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 50 points went over 44.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 70%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 46%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 7.9 against an average line of 6.1; 41.1 points a game (usually 45.5). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	WSH @ NO 2024 · Week 15 · very close · similar total & spread	-7.5	20–19	L	U44.5
Very close	GB @ CHI 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & season form	-6.5	20–19	L	U41.5
Close	BUF @ IND 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & situation	-4.5	30–20	W	O46.5
Close	MIN @ TEN 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-5.5	23–13	W	U40.5
Close	PHI @ DAL 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar total & rest	-7.5	34–6	W	U44.5
Close	LAC @ LV 2024 · Week 18 · close · similar rest & situation	-6.5	34–20	W	O41.5
Close	PHI @ WSH 2024 · Week 16 · close · similar rest	-4.5	33–36	L	O47.5
Close	ATL @ NO 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & season form	-4.5	17–20	L	U47.5
Close	LAR @ BAL 2025 · Week 6 · close · similar spread & total	-6.5	17–3	W	U44.5
Close	KC @ LAC 2024 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & spread	-7.5	17–10	L	U41.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
GB WWLLL	2-3	40%	0-2	2-3
ARI LWLLW	3-3	50%	0-3	2-1

Venue/role: GB away, as favorite; ARI home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
GB UUUOO	2-3	40%	3-1-1
ARI OUUOO	3-3	50%	2-4

Went over in Q4. Of 187 earlier overs in games with totals 41.5–47.5, 24% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
GB	5-4-1 56%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%
ARI	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

GB 8–5 ARI GB leads · 13 games since 1999 · GB has won the last 3 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 13 2024	Arizona Cardinals 13 @ Green Bay Packers 34	GB -6.5	GB W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

GB+2.2 →+3.4▲ 1.2#2

ARI+0.1 →−0.7▼ 0.8#19

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

Longer bar = better

ARI

Offense

◀ GB better

#24

#10

Defense

◀ GB better

#16

−0.2 #19

Turnovers

ARI better ▶

0.0 #13

62 plays #13

Pace

Even

62 plays #14

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When GB has the ball

Advantage: GB offense

	GB off	ARI def	Edge
Points / game	26.2 #8	21.2 #14	GB
Yards / play	5.80 #8	5.29 #12	Even
EPA / play	+0.17 #2	0.00 #14	GB
Success rate	49% #5	47% #22	GB

When ARI has the ball

Advantage: GB defense

	ARI off	GB def	Edge
Points / game	21.7 #20	20.4 #10	GB
Yards / play	4.96 #26	4.43 #2	GB
EPA / play	+0.01 #18	+0.02 #18	Even
Success rate	41% #30	43% #11	GB

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

GB scoring against the ARI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GB scored	4.8 #14	6.6 #16	11.4 #15	3.4 #25	10.8 #2	14.2 #5
ARI allowed	3.3 #8	5.5 #12	8.8 #8	2.0 #1	10.3 #28	12.3 #21

ARI scoring against the GB defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARI scored	6.2 #7	6.2 #19	12.3 #11	5.0 #14	4.3 #27	9.3 #26
GB allowed	0.0 #1	4.4 #5	4.4 #1	3.4 #8	12.0 #32	15.4 #29

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.