Rams @ Cardinals: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2025)

Sun, Dec 7, 2025, 4:25 PM ESTWeek 14 · at Arizona Cardinals · Division game

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Los Angeles Rams

9-3 · Power #2

▲ winner

Final

Arizona Cardinals

3-9 · Power #25

final

Closing spread

LAR -9.5

✓ LAR W

Total

49.5

▲ Over · 62 pts

Model before kickoff

LAR 28–19 ARI

✓ LAR (80%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenLAR -7.5

CloseLAR -9.5

Total48.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenLAR -7.5

2 → LAR

CloseLAR -9.5

2 pts toward Los Angeles Rams

Total

Open48.5

▲ 1

Close49.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened LAR -7.5 · closed LAR -9.5 · moved 2 toward LARmodel LAR -5.5

model LAR -5.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 50% (60 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenLAR -7.5

CloseLAR -9.5

Total48.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like LAR as a 9.5-point road favorite at ARI, the favorite won 8, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: LAR won 45–17; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 62 points went over 49.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 80%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 45%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 56%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 9.8 against an average line of 7.5; 47 points a game (usually 46.5). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	LAR @ SF 2025 · Week 10 · close · similar total & rest	-6.5	42–26	W	O49.5
Close	BAL @ HOU 2024 · Week 17 · close · similar situation & season form	-6.5	31–2	W	U47.5
Close	BUF @ MIA 2025 · Week 10 · close · similar season form & situation	-8.5	13–30	L	U50.5
Close	WSH @ NO 2024 · Week 15 · close · similar season form & situation	-7.5	20–19	L	U44.5
Close	PHI @ DAL 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & situation	-7.5	34–6	W	U44.5
Loose	NE @ CIN 2025 · Week 12 · loose · similar total & situation	-7.5	26–20	L	U50.5
Loose	BUF @ CAR 2025 · Week 8 · loose · similar total	-7.5	40–9	W	O48.5
Loose	LAR @ CAR 2025 · Week 13 · loose · similar season form & rest	-10	28–31	L	O44.5
Loose	GB @ ARI 2025 · Week 7 · loose · similar rest & team ratings	-6.5	27–23	L	O44.5
Loose	SF @ TB 2024 · Week 10 · loose · similar total & team ratings	-6.5	23–20	L	U50.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LAR WWLWL	8-4	67%	3-2	8-3
ARI WLLLW	6-6	50%	1-5	5-4

Venue/role: LAR away, as favorite; ARI home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LAR UOUUO	5-7	42%	9-3
ARI UOOOU	7-5	58%	3-9

Went over in Q4. Of 112 earlier overs in games with totals 46.5–52.5, 24% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LAR	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%
ARI	1-9 10%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 4 since 2023

LAR 29–21 ARI LAR leads · 50 games since 2002 · ARI has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 28 2024	Arizona Cardinals 9 @ Los Angeles Rams 13	LAR -6.5	ARI W
Sep 15 2024	Los Angeles Rams 10 @ Arizona Cardinals 41	ARI -1.5	ARI W
Nov 26 2023	Los Angeles Rams 37 @ Arizona Cardinals 14	LAR -3	LAR W
Oct 15 2023	Arizona Cardinals 9 @ Los Angeles Rams 26	LAR -7.5	LAR W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LAR+0.2 →+4.7▲ 4.5#1

ARI+0.1 →−0.4▼ 0.5#19

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

LAR

Longer bar = better

ARI

Offense

◀ LAR better

#20

Defense

◀ LAR better

#22

+0.8 #4

Turnovers

◀ LAR better

+0.2 #13

61 plays #21

Pace

ARI faster ▶

66 plays #4

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LAR has the ball

Advantage: LAR offense

	LAR off	ARI def	Edge
Points / game	27.8 #6	25.3 #24	LAR
Yards / play	5.93 #6	5.37 #19	LAR
EPA / play	+0.11 #6	+0.01 #19	LAR
Success rate	51% #1	47% #26	LAR

When ARI has the ball

Advantage: LAR defense

	ARI off	LAR def	Edge
Points / game	22.1 #20	17.5 #2	LAR
Yards / play	5.14 #21	4.85 #6	LAR
EPA / play	−0.02 #23	−0.10 #3	LAR
Success rate	44% #16	42% #8	LAR

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

LAR scoring against the ARI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LAR scored	7.5 #1	8.1 #8	15.6 #3	4.9 #14	7.3 #10	12.3 #11
ARI allowed	5.1 #23	7.3 #20	12.4 #21	3.8 #11	8.8 #28	12.6 #22

ARI scoring against the LAR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARI scored	4.8 #15	6.8 #19	11.5 #16	5.2 #10	5.4 #26	10.6 #23
LAR allowed	3.3 #3	5.8 #10	9.1 #5	3.1 #5	5.1 #5	8.2 #4

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.