Colts @ Seahawks: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 15, 2025)

Sun, Dec 14, 2025, 4:25 PM ESTWeek 15 · at Seattle Seahawks

Weather at kickoff54°F8 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›

Indianapolis Colts

8-5 · Power #13

final

Final

Seattle Seahawks

10-3 · Power #1

▲ winner

Closing spread

SEA -12.5

✓ IND W

Total

41.5

▼ Under · 34 pts

Model before kickoff

IND 18–30 SEA

✓ SEA (85%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenSEA -3.5

CloseSEA -12.5

Total46.5 → 41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenSEA -3.5

9 → SEA

CloseSEA -12.5

9 pts toward Seattle Seahawks

Total

Open46.5

▼ 5

Close41.5

Down 5 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened SEA -3.5 · closed SEA -12.5 · moved 9 toward SEAmodel SEA -3.5

model SEA -3.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 10.5–14.5 since 2023: won 86%, covered 52% (42 games)ⓘ

Crossed 7The team the line moved toward covered 33% (33 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenSEA -3.5

CloseSEA -12.5

Total46.5 → 41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 1 games most like SEA as a 12.5-point home favorite against IND, the favorite won 1, covered 0, and 1 went over the total.

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This game: SEA won 18–16; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 0 of the 1 similar games. 34 points stayed under 41.5, as in 0 of 1.

Favorite won

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 84%

Favorite covered

—

Went over

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 53%

Only 1 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 11 against an average line of 11; 43 points a game (usually 45.5). When games like this go over ›

All 1 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	CIN vs BAL 2022 · Week 18 · loose · similar rest & situation	-11	27–16	P	O39

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2022 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
IND LWWLL	8-5	62%	3-3	3-1
SEA WWLWW	10-3	77%	4-2	8-2

Venue/role: IND away, as underdog; SEA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
IND UOUUO	7-6	54%	8-5
SEA OUOUO	8-5	62%	10-3

Stayed under: it needed 20 in the 4th quarter and got 12. 52% of games with totals 38.5–44.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
IND	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%
SEA	8-2 80%	8-2 80%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

IND 3–4 SEA SEA leads · 7 games since 2000 · SEA has won the last 3 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

IND−0.8 →+2.4▲ 3.2#8

SEA−0.1 →+5.1▲ 5.2#2

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW14

IND

Longer bar = better

SEA

Offense

◀ IND better

#16

Defense

SEA better ▶

+0.2 #9

Turnovers

◀ IND better

−0.2 #20

60 plays #21

Pace

◀ IND faster

58 plays #27

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When IND has the ball

Even matchup

	IND off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	28.9 #5	17.4 #2	Even
Yards / play	6.12 #2	4.54 #2	Even
EPA / play	+0.12 #4	−0.12 #2	Even
Success rate	48% #3	40% #4	Even

When SEA has the ball

Advantage: SEA offense

	SEA off	IND def	Edge
Points / game	29.8 #2	21.9 #13	SEA
Yards / play	6.05 #5	5.23 #15	SEA
EPA / play	+0.04 #12	−0.02 #13	Even
Success rate	46% #9	45% #21	SEA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

IND scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
IND scored	6.6 #3	8.3 #6	14.9 #6	6.8 #5	6.8 #16	13.5 #6
SEA allowed	3.5 #4	3.6 #1	7.1 #1	3.5 #5	6.8 #19	10.3 #11

SEA scoring against the IND defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	6.6 #3	10.0 #2	16.6 #2	7.5 #2	5.7 #23	13.2 #8
IND allowed	3.8 #9	7.0 #17	10.8 #18	3.7 #8	7.2 #20	10.8 #13

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.