Commanders @ Eagles: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2026)

Sun, Sep 13, 2026, 4:25 PM EDTWeek 1 · at Philadelphia Eagles · Division game

Weather at kickoff81°F4 mphgusts 9DryWeather watch ›

Washington Commanders

0-0 · Power #26

final

Final

Philadelphia Eagles

0-0 · Power #24

▲ winner

Closing spread

PHI -6

✓ WSH W

Total

43.5

▲ Over · 46 pts

Model before kickoff

WSH 20–26 PHI

✓ PHI (71%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenPHI -5.5

ClosePHI -6

Total46.5 → 43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenPHI -5.5

0.5 → PHI

ClosePHI -6

0.5 pts toward Philadelphia Eagles

Total

Open46.5

▼ 3

Close43.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened PHI -5.5 · closed PHI -6 · moved 0.5 toward PHImodel PHI -5.5

model PHI -5.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 5–7 since 2023: won 72%, covered 54% (97 games)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenPHI -5.5

ClosePHI -6

Total46.5 → 43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like PHI as a 6-point home favorite against WSH, the favorite won 6, covered 3, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: PHI won 24–22; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 46 points went over 43.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 70%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 52%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 4.4 against an average line of 6.3; 49.2 points a game (usually 46). Of the 7 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	TB vs NYJ 2025 · Week 3 · very close · similar spread & situation	-6.5	29–27	L	O42.5
Very close	BUF vs ARI 2024 · Week 1 · very close · similar team ratings & spread	-6.5	34–28	L	O45.5
Very close	GB vs CHI 2025 · Week 14 · very close · similar team ratings & spread	-6.5	28–21	W	O44.5
Very close	KC vs LAC 2025 · Week 15 · very close · similar spread & total	-5.5	13–16	L	U41.5
Very close	ATL vs MIA 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar team ratings & total	-6.5	10–34	L	O43.5
Very close	TB vs ATL 2025 · Week 15 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-6	28–29	L	O43.5
Very close	GB vs ARI 2024 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & situation	-6.5	34–13	W	O46.5
Very close	DET vs CHI 2025 · Week 2 · very close · similar spread & situation	-6.5	52–21	W	O45.5
Very close	HOU vs CHI 2024 · Week 2 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-6.5	19–13	L	U45.5
Very close	PHI vs ATL 2024 · Week 2 · very close · similar situation & spread	-5.5	21–22	L	U46.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WSH	0-0	—	—	—
PHI	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: WSH away, as underdog; PHI home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WSH	0-0	—	0-0
PHI	0-0	—	0-0

Went over in Q4. Of 232 earlier overs in games with totals 40.5–46.5, 23% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WSH	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	7-3 70%
PHI	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	2-8 20%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

WSH 21–35 PHI PHI leads · 56 games since 1999 · PHI has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Jan 4 2025	Washington Commanders 24 @ Philadelphia Eagles 17	PHI -3	WSH W
Dec 20 2025	Philadelphia Eagles 29 @ Washington Commanders 18	PHI -7	PHI W
Jan 26 2024	Washington Commanders 23 @ Philadelphia Eagles 55	PHI -6.5	PHI W
Dec 22 2024	Philadelphia Eagles 33 @ Washington Commanders 36	PHI -4.5	WSH W
Nov 14 2024	Washington Commanders 18 @ Philadelphia Eagles 26	PHI -4.5	PHI W