49ers vs Rams: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 1, 2026)

Thu, Sep 10, 2026, 8:35 PM EDTWeek 1 · Neutral site · Division game

Weather at kickoff56°F1 mphgusts 9DryWeather watch ›

San Francisco 49ers

0-0 · Power #3

▲ winner

Final

Los Angeles Rams

0-0 · Power #5

final

Closing spread

LAR -3.5

✓ SF W

Total

47.5

▼ Under · 34 pts

Model before kickoff

SF 22–26 LAR

✗ LAR (62%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenLAR -2.5

CloseLAR -3.5

Total48.5 → 47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenLAR -2.5

1 → LAR

CloseLAR -3.5

1 pt toward Los Angeles Rams

Total

Open48.5

▼ 1

Close47.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened LAR -2.5 · closed LAR -3.5 · moved 1 toward LARmodel LAR -2

model LAR -2

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 45% (51 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenLAR -2.5

CloseLAR -3.5

Total48.5 → 47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like LAR as a 3.5-point neutral-site favorite against SF, the favorite won 6, covered 6, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: SF won 27–7 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 34 points stayed under 47.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 64%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 53%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 1.8 against an average line of 2.9; 47.8 points a game (usually 44.7). Of the 6 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	SEA vs NE 2025 · Postseason · very close · similar spread & total	-4.5	29–13	W	U45.5
Very close	LAR vs JAX 2025 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-3.5	35–7	W	U43.5
Close	KC vs LAC 2025 · Week 1 · close · similar situation & spread	-3.5	21–27	L	O47.5
Close	MIA vs WSH 2025 · Week 11 · close · similar total & spread	-2.5	16–13	W	U46.5
Close	IND vs ATL 2025 · Week 10 · close · similar team ratings & total	-5.5	31–25	W	O48.5
Close	PHI vs GB 2024 · Week 1 · close · similar team ratings & situation	-1.5	34–29	W	O49.5
Close	MIN vs NYJ 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar team ratings & spread	-2.5	23–17	W	U42.5
Close	KC vs PHI 2024 · Postseason · close · similar total	-1.5	22–40	L	O48.5
Loose	MIN vs PIT 2025 · Week 4 · loose · similar spread & situation	-2.5	21–24	L	O41.5
Loose	JAX vs CHI 2024 · Week 6 · loose · similar situation	-1.5	16–35	L	O44.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
SF	0-0	—	—	—
LAR	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: SF neutral, as underdog; LAR neutral, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SF	0-0	—	0-0
LAR	0-0	—	0-0

Stayed under: it needed 24 in the 4th quarter and got 10. 53% of games with totals 44.5–50.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SF	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%
LAR	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

SF 31–24 LAR (1 tied) SF leads · 56 games since 1999 · SF has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 9 2025	Los Angeles Rams 42 @ San Francisco 49ers 26	LAR -6.5	LAR W
Oct 2 2025	San Francisco 49ers 26 @ Los Angeles Rams 23	LAR -8.5	SF W
Dec 12 2024	Los Angeles Rams 12 @ San Francisco 49ers 6	SF -2.5	LAR W
Sep 22 2024	San Francisco 49ers 24 @ Los Angeles Rams 27	SF -6.5	LAR W
Jan 7 2023	Los Angeles Rams 21 @ San Francisco 49ers 20	SF -5.5	LAR W