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NFL · 2026

NFL Week 1 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 1: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
16 finalFavorites 9-6 ATS4 upsetsO/U 9-7Model Favorite 12-4Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS9-660% covered
Upsets4outright
Over / Under9-756% over
Model Favorite12-475% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up4 all 4 final
Over3 75%Under1 25%
Moved down7 all 7 final
Over4 57%Under3 43%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20262024–2026
Any move
6–4–160%
36–40–447%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
5–0100%
27–24–253%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
3–0100%
18–17–151%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
—
4–736%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
1–325%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Wednesday, Sep 9

1
Final · Non-conf
New England Patriots
0-0 · #7
10
Seattle Seahawks
0-0 · #1
13
Spread
SEA -3
Push
Total
44.5
▼ Under 23
Projected
21–24
✓ SEA won
Trend: NE ATS Model: NE by 2.5 Model: Over 0.5 ✗

Thursday, Sep 10

1
Final · Neutral
San Francisco 49ers
0-0 · #3
27
Los Angeles Rams
0-0 · #5
7
Spread
LAR -3.5
✓ SF W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼1
▼ Under 34
Projected
22–26
✗ LAR lost
Trend: LAR ATS ✗ Model: SF by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Sep 13

13
Final · Non-conf
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0-0 · #19
27
Cincinnati Bengals
0-0 · #15
33
Spread
CIN -3.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
50.5
▲ Over 60 · Q4
Projected
23–26
✓ CIN won
Model: TB by 2 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
New Orleans Saints
0-0 · #29
30
Detroit Lions
0-0 · #12
31
Spread
DET -7
✓ NO W ATS
Total
49.5 ▲1
▲ Over 61 · OT
Projected
20–27
✓ DET won
Model: NO by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
New York Jets
0-0 · #27
23
Tennessee Titans
0-0 · #32
10
Spread
TEN -1.5
✓ NYJ W ATS
Total
39.5
▼ Under 33
Projected
22–23
✗ TEN lost
Trend: NYJ ATS ✓ Model: TEN by 1 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Baltimore Ravens
0-0 · #10
41
Indianapolis Colts
0-0 · #21
23
Spread
BAL -3
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
48.5 ▼1
▲ Over 64 · Q4
Projected
26–23
✓ BAL won
Model: IND by 4 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Atlanta Falcons
0-0 · #18
13
Pittsburgh Steelers
0-0 · #17
20
Spread
PIT -6.5
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼2
▼ Under 33
Projected
19–25
✓ PIT won
Trend: PIT ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: ATL by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Chicago Bears
0-0 · #4
59
Carolina Panthers
0-0 · #13
37
Spread
CHI -3
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲3
▲ Over 96 · Q2
Projected
24–22
✓ CHI won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: CAR by 2 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Cleveland Browns
0-0 · #30
10
Jacksonville Jaguars
0-0 · #6
34
Spread
JAX -8.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
40.5
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
17–26
✓ JAX won
Trend: JAX ATS ✓ Model: CLE by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Buffalo Bills
0-0 · #9
36
Houston Texans
0-0 · #11
31
Spread
BUF -1.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼1
▲ Over 67 · Q2
Projected
24–22
✓ BUF won
Model: HOU by 1 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Miami Dolphins
0-0 · #31
13
Las Vegas Raiders
0-0 · #23
27
Spread
LV -3
✓ LV W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼1
▼ Under 40
Projected
21–23
✓ LV won
Trend: MIA ATS ✗ Model: MIA by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Green Bay Packers
0-0 · #14
22
Minnesota Vikings
0-0 · #8
39
Spread
MIN -2.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲2
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
21–23
✓ MIN won
Trend: MIN ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: GB by 5.5 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
Washington Commanders
0-0 · #26
22
Philadelphia Eagles
0-0 · #24
24
Spread
PHI -6
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼3
▲ Over 46 · Q4
Projected
20–26
✓ PHI won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: WSH by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Arizona Cardinals
0-0 · #28
26
Los Angeles Chargers
0-0 · #25
14
Spread
LAC -8.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲2
▼ Under 40
Projected
18–26
✗ LAC lost
Trend: ARI ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: ARI by 4 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Dallas Cowboys
0-0 · #20
20
New York Giants
0-0 · #22
28
Spread
DAL -3
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
47.5 ▼1
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
26–24
✗ DAL lost
Model: NYG by 3 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Sep 14

1
Final · Division
Denver Broncos
0-0 · #16
10
Kansas City Chiefs
0-0 · #2
31
Spread
KC -2.5
✓ KC W ATS
Total
42.5
▼ Under 41
Projected
20–21
✓ KC won
Model: DEN by 5.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total