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NFL · 2026

NFL Week 5 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 5: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
15 finalFavorites 7-8 ATS5 upsetsO/U 8-7Model Favorite 9-5Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1515 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS7-847% covered
Upsets5outright
Over / Under8-753% over
Model Favorite9-564% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up3 all 3 final
Over3 100%Under0 0%
Moved down10 all 10 final
Over4 40%Under6 60%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20262024–2026
Any move
6–843%
36–40–447%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
2–625%
27–24–253%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
2–529%
18–17–151%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
1–325%
4–736%
17–1652%
7+ pts
0–20%
1–325%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Oct 8

1
Final · Non-conf
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0-4 · #19
24
Dallas Cowboys
2-2 · #20
16
Spread
DAL -8.5
✓ TB W ATS
Total
49.5 ▼3
▼ Under 40
Projected
19–28
✗ DAL lost
Trend: DAL ATS ✗ Model: TB by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Oct 11

13
Final · Neutral
Philadelphia Eagles
2-2 · #24
17
Jacksonville Jaguars
3-1 · #6
19
Spread
JAX -7.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼3
▼ Under 36
Projected
18–25
✓ JAX won
Trend: JAX ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: PHI by 3.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Chicago Bears
3-1 · #4
7
Green Bay Packers
2-2 · #14
31
Spread
CHI -1.5
✓ GB W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼3
▼ Under 38
Projected
24–22
✗ CHI lost
Trend: CHI ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: CHI by 1 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Houston Texans
0-4 · #11
26
Tennessee Titans
0-4 · #32
3
Spread
HOU -6.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
37.5 ▼6
▼ Under 29
Projected
23–17
✓ HOU won
Trend: TEN ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: TEN by 1 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Cincinnati Bengals
2-2 · #15
31
Miami Dolphins
0-4 · #31
24
Spread
CIN -7.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
45.5 ▼3
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
26–19
✓ CIN won
Trend: CIN ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: MIA by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Las Vegas Raiders
3-1 · #23
17
New England Patriots
2-2 · #7
45
Spread
NE -8.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲7
▲ Over 62 · Q4
Projected
17–25
✓ NE won
Trend: LV ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: LV by 4 ✗ Model: Under 9.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Minnesota Vikings
4-0 · #8
23
New Orleans Saints
1-3 · #29
13
Spread
MIN -2.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼3
▼ Under 36
Projected
23–20
✓ MIN won
Trend: MIN ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: MIN by 0 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Cleveland Browns
3-1 · #30
12
New York Jets
1-3 · #27
17
Spread
NYJ -2.5
✓ NYJ W ATS
Total
38.5
▼ Under 29
Projected
19–21
✓ NYJ won
Trend: CLE ATS ✗ Model: CLE by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Indianapolis Colts
2-2 · #21
22
Pittsburgh Steelers
2-2 · #17
34
Spread
PIT -3
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼5
▲ Over 56 · Q3
Projected
21–24
✓ PIT won
Trend: IND ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: IND by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
New York Giants
3-1 · #22
27
Washington Commanders
1-3 · #26
27
Spread
WSH -3.5
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼7
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
20–23
 
Trend: Under ✗ Model: NYG by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
Denver Broncos
2-2 · #16
23
Los Angeles Chargers
0-4 · #25
17
Spread
DEN -3
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼2
▼ Under 40
Projected
21–18
✓ DEN won
Trend: DEN ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: LAC by 2 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Detroit Lions
2-2 · #12
45
Arizona Cardinals
1-3 · #28
21
Spread
DET -4.5
✓ DET W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲6
▲ Over 66 · Q4
Projected
28–24
✓ DET won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
San Francisco 49ers
4-0 · #3
32
Seattle Seahawks
3-1 · #1
29
Spread
SEA -3
✓ SF W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 61 · Q3
Projected
20–23
✗ SEA lost
Trend: SF ATS ✓ Model: SF by 3 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Baltimore Ravens
3-1 · #10
30
Atlanta Falcons
2-2 · #18
23
Spread
ATL -3
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
44.5 ▼4
▲ Over 53 · Q4
Projected
21–24
✗ ATL lost
Trend: ATL ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: ATL by 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3

Monday, Oct 12

1
Final · Non-conf
Buffalo Bills
3-1 · #9
37
Los Angeles Rams
2-2 · #5
34
Spread
LAR -3.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
55.5 ▲2
▲ Over 71 · Q4
Projected
23–26
✗ LAR lost
Trend: BUF ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: BUF by 2 ✓ Model: Under 6 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total