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NFL · 2026

NFL Week 8 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 8: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
14 games13 lines moved4 signalsWeek in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games140 final · 14 to play
Biggest Model FavoriteCIN 82%win probability
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up4 of 14 games
Moved down9 of 14 games
Ratings disagree with the opening line by 2+ pts
LAC @ LARSun 4:05 PM
Toward model
RatingsLAROpen-3.5Now-7Gap6.2Closed3.5 of 6.2
ARI @ DALSun 1:00 PM
Toward model
RatingsARIOpen+10.5Now+6.5Gap6.1Closed4 of 6.1
KC @ DENSun 4:25 PM
Toward model
RatingsKCOpen+1.5Now-1.5Gap5.1Closed3 of 5.1
ATL @ TBSun 1:00 PM
Toward model
RatingsATLOpen+4.5Now+1.5Gap4.7Closed3 of 4.7
TEN @ CINSun 1:00 PM
Toward model
RatingsCINOpen-6.5Now-10Gap4.6Closed3.5 of 4.6
CAR @ GBThu 8:15 PM
Toward model
RatingsCAROpen+7Now+3Gap4.2Closed4 of 4.2
IND @ JAXSun 1:00 PM
Toward model
RatingsJAXOpen-4.5Now-7.5Gap3.2Closed3 of 3.2
MIN @ DETSun 1:00 PM
Toward model
RatingsMINOpen+4.5Now+2.5Gap3.1Closed2 of 3.1
BAL @ BUFSun 1:00 PM
Toward model
RatingsBUFOpen-2.5Now-3Gap2.9Closed0.5 of 2.9
PHI @ WSHSun 8:20 PM
At the model
RatingsWSHOpen+2.5Now-3.5Gap4.4Closed4.4 of 4.4
LV @ NYJSun 1:00 PM
At the model
RatingsLVOpen+1.5Now-1.5Gap2.5Closed2.5 of 2.5
In 2025–2026, with a 2+ pt gap, lines moved toward the ratings in 60.5% of the 124 games where the line moved (160 at that gap); those teams covered 46.3% vs the opener, below the 52.4% break-even. How we tested this
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20262024–2026
Any move
—13 to play
36–40–447%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
—11 to play
27–24–253%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
—9 to play
18–17–151%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
—1 to play
4–736%
17–1652%
7+ pts
—
1–325%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Oct 29

1
Non-conf
Carolina Panthers
3-2 · #13
+3
Green Bay Packers
4-2 · #14
-3
Spread
GB -3
↗ 4 toward CAR
Total
47.5 ▲2
Under 3
Spread edge
Even
matches market
Spread
Total
Winner
Trend: CAR ATSTrend: Over

Sunday, Nov 1

12
Non-conf
Baltimore Ravens
4-2 · #10
+3
Buffalo Bills
5-1 · #9
-3
Spread
BUF -3
↗ 0.5 toward BUF
Total
52.5 ▲1
Under 4
Spread edge
BUF by 2.5
no lean
Spread
Total
Winner
QB
Non-conf
Tennessee Titans
1-5 · #32
+10
Cincinnati Bengals
3-2 · #15
-10
Spread
CIN -10
↗ 3.5 toward CIN
Total
46.5 ▼3
Under 3
Spread edge
CIN by 1
no lean
Spread
Total
Winner
Trend: Under
Non-conf
Arizona Cardinals
2-4 · #28
+6.5
Dallas Cowboys
2-4 · #20
-6.5
Spread
DAL -6.5
↗ 4 toward ARI
Total
51.5 ▲2
Under 1
Spread edge
ARI by 2
no lean
Spread
Total
Winner
Trend: ARI ATSTrend: Over
Division
Minnesota Vikings
5-0 · #8
+2.5
Detroit Lions
3-2 · #12
-2.5
Spread
DET -2.5
↗ 2 toward MIN
Total
46.5 ▼1
model 46.5
Spread edge
MIN by 1
no lean
Spread
Total
Winner
Trend: MIN ATS
Non-conf
Las Vegas Raiders
3-3 · #23
-1.5
New York Jets
2-4 · #27
+1.5
Spread
LV -1.5
↗ 3 toward LV
Total
42.5 ▲1
Over 1.5
Spread edge
NYJ by 0.5
no lean
Spread
Total
Winner
Trend: LV ATS
Division
Cleveland Browns
4-2 · #30
+4.5
Pittsburgh Steelers
4-2 · #17
-4.5
Spread
PIT -4.5
↗ 1 toward CLE
Total
38.5 ▼1
Over 1
Spread edge
PIT by 1
no lean
Spread
Total
Winner
Trend: PIT ATS
Division
Atlanta Falcons
2-4 · #18
+1.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1-5 · #19
-1.5
Spread
TB -1.5
↗ 3 toward ATL
Total
44.5 ▼2
Under 2
Spread edge
ATL by 1.5
no lean
Spread
Total
Winner
Trend: ATL ATSTrend: Under QB
Division
Indianapolis Colts
2-4 · #21
+7.5
Jacksonville Jaguars
4-2 · #6
-7.5
Spread
JAX -7.5
↗ 3 toward JAX
Total
47.5 ▼2
Under 1
Spread edge
Even
matches market
Spread
Total
Winner
Trend: JAX ATSTrend: Under
Non-conf
Los Angeles Chargers
0-6 · #25
+7
Los Angeles Rams
2-4 · #5
-7
Spread
LAR -7
↗ 3.5 toward LAR
Total
45.5 ▼3
Under 3
Spread edge
LAR by 2.5
lean · context
Spread
Total
Winner
Trend: LAR ATSTrend: Under
Division
Kansas City Chiefs
5-0 · #2
-1.5
Denver Broncos
4-2 · #16
+1.5
Spread
KC -1.5
↗ 3 toward KC
Total
42.5 ▼1
Over 0.5
Spread edge
KC by 2
no lean
Spread
Total
Winner
Trend: Under
Division
New England Patriots
4-3 · #7
-8.5
Miami Dolphins
0-5 · #31
+8.5
Spread
NE -8.5
↗ 1.5 toward NE
Total
44.5 ▼1
Under 5.5
Spread edge
MIA by 0.5
no lean
Spread
Total
Winner
Trend: NE ATSTrend: Under QB
Division
Philadelphia Eagles
2-4 · #24
+3.5
Washington Commanders
1-4-1 · #26
-3.5
Spread
WSH -3.5
↗ 6 toward WSH
Total
41.5 ▼5
Over 3
Spread edge
PHI by 1.5
no lean
Spread
Total
Winner
Trend: WSH ATSTrend: Under QB

Monday, Nov 2

1
Non-conf
Chicago Bears
5-2 · #4
+3
Seattle Seahawks
3-3 · #1
-3
Spread
SEA -3
 
Total
46.5
Under 0.5
Spread edge
CHI by 3
lean · context
Spread
Total
Winner
Trend: CHI ATS
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.