Titans @ Bengals: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2026)

Sun, Nov 1, 2026, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 8 · at Cincinnati Bengals

Kickoff forecast60°F6 mphDryWeather watch ›

Tennessee Titans

1-5 · Power #32

projected

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Cincinnati Bengals

3-2 · Power #15

projected

TEN 18%

82% CIN

Spread

CIN -10

open CIN -6.5

Total

46.5

model 43.5

Spread edge

CIN by 1

no lean

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:35 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenCIN -6.5

CurrentCIN -10

Total49.5 → 46.5

Last update7:35 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

OpenCIN -6.5

3.5 → CIN

NowCIN -10

3.5 pts toward Cincinnati Bengals

Total

Open49.5

▼ 3

Now46.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and current line · tap a dot

Opened CIN -6.5 · now CIN -10 · moved 3.5 toward CINmodel CIN -11

model CIN -11

Openline modelNow

Line watch · Moving toward modelModel vs the opening line: CIN by 4.6 pts (open -6.5, now -10). In 2025–2026, with a 4+ pt gap, lines moved toward the ratings in 67.6% of the 37 games where the line moved (44 at that gap), but those sides covered 27.3% at the opener, below the 52.4% break-even: it predicts the line, not the result.

Line context

Home favorites of 8–12 since 2023: won 73%, covered 45% (56 games)ⓘ

Crossed 7The team the line moved toward covered 31% (55 games since 2024)ⓘ

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:35 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenCIN -6.5

CurrentCIN -10

Total49.5 → 46.5

Last update7:35 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Books

6 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotalMoneyline

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	TEN	CIN	Over	Under	TEN	CIN
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	+9.5-110	-9.5-110	46-110	46-110	—	—
BetRiversBetRivers	+10.5-114	-10.5-107	46-109	46-112	+475	-670
BetUSBetUS	+9.5-110	-9.5-110	46-110	46-110	—	—
DraftKingsDK	+10-110	-10-110	46.5-110	46.5-110	+425	-575
FanDuelFD	+10.5-118	-10.5-104	45.5-110	45.5-110	+460	-620
LowVig.agLowVig.ag	+9.5-105	-9.5-105	46-107	46-107	—	—

Prices from ESPN’s odds feed and The Odds API, updated 7:35 PM ET. Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money

Total

Over 46.5Under 46.5

Bets69% 31%

Money82% 18%

Money is 13 pts ahead of bets on Over 46.5

Winner

TEN

CIN

Bets7% 93%

Money41% 59%

Money is 34 pts ahead of bets on TEN

Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read Thu, Oct 22, 4:27 AM ET. ⓘ

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CIN as a 10-point home favorite against TEN, the favorite won 9, covered 7, and 6 went over the total.

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Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 75%

Favorite covered

7 of 978%

Above normal · usually 42%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 62%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 17.2 against an average line of 10.4; 47.8 points a game (usually 47). Of the 6 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	CIN vs CLE 2024 · Week 16 · very close · similar total & rest	-10.5	24–6	W	U46.5
Close	TB vs CAR 2024 · Week 17 · close · similar rest & season form	-9.5	48–14	W	O47.5
Close	DET vs CLE 2025 · Week 4 · close · similar rest	-10.5	34–10	W	U44.5
Close	DAL vs TB 2026 · Week 5 · close · similar season form & situation	-8.5	16–24	L	U49.5
Close	BAL vs TEN 2026 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & season form	-11.5	24–18	L	O41.5
Close	NE vs NYJ 2025 · Week 11 · close · similar season form	-12.5	27–14	W	U42.5
Close	BUF vs NYJ 2024 · Week 17 · close · similar rest & total	-10.5	40–14	W	O44.5
Loose	BUF vs TEN 2024 · Week 7 · loose · similar rest & situation	-9.5	34–10	W	O41.5
Loose	JAX vs NYJ 2025 · Week 15 · loose · similar rest & season form	-13.5	48–20	W	O40.5
Loose	SEA vs LAC 2026 · Week 4 · loose · similar rest & situation	-7	30–23	P	O43.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TEN WLWLW	3-3	50%	2-1	3-2
CIN WWLLL	2-3	40%	1-1	1-3

Venue/role: TEN away, as underdog; CIN home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TEN OUOUO	3-3	50%	1-5
CIN OUOUO	3-2	60%	3-2

In 454 games with totals 43.5–49.5, 52% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 21% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TEN	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%
CIN	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Tennessee Titans

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 15	vs JAX	L7–41LO
Nov 22	@ DAL	No meeting since 2023
Nov 29	@ JAX	L7–41LO

Cincinnati Bengals

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 8	@ ATL	No meeting since 2023
Nov 15	vs PIT	L27–30LO
Nov 23	@ WSH	L33–38LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

TEN 10–9 CIN TEN leads · 19 games since 1999 · CIN has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 15 2024	Cincinnati Bengals 37 @ Tennessee Titans 27	CIN -6.5	CIN W
Oct 1 2023	Cincinnati Bengals 3 @ Tennessee Titans 27	—	—

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TEN−3.1 →−5.8▼ 2.7#32

CIN−1.2 →+0.5▲ 1.7#15

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

TEN

Longer bar = better

CIN

#29

Offense

CIN better ▶

#10

#17

Defense

Even

#17

−0.5 #24

Turnovers

CIN better ▶

+0.4 #12

53 plays #32

Pace

CIN faster ▶

62 plays #17

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TEN has the ball

Advantage: CIN defense

	TEN off	CIN def	Edge
Points / game	14.0 #31	21.8 #14	CIN
Yards / play	4.46 #30	5.61 #23	CIN
EPA / play	−0.15 #31	−0.03 #15	CIN
Success rate	40% #24	43% #14	CIN

When CIN has the ball

Advantage: CIN offense

	CIN off	TEN def	Edge
Points / game	25.6 #10	21.5 #13	Even
Yards / play	5.49 #12	5.21 #15	Even
EPA / play	+0.07 #9	+0.04 #23	CIN
Success rate	47% #8	43% #15	CIN

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

TEN scoring against the CIN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEN scored	3.3 #23	0.5 #32	3.8 #32	2.7 #27	7.5 #16	10.2 #26
CIN allowed	5.4 #24	4.6 #7	10.0 #11	5.2 #20	6.6 #14	11.8 #16

CIN scoring against the TEN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CIN scored	5.6 #6	8.8 #8	14.4 #6	6.0 #11	5.2 #25	11.2 #19
TEN allowed	3.3 #10	10.3 #32	13.7 #29	3.8 #9	4.0 #3	7.8 #3

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.