Bengals @ Ravens: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2026)

Sun, Oct 25, 2026, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Baltimore Ravens · Division game

Kickoff forecast63°F4 mphDryWeather watch ›

Cincinnati Bengals

3-2 · Power #15

projected

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Baltimore Ravens

4-2 · Power #10

projected

CIN 54%

46% BAL

Spread

CIN -1.5

earliest BAL -3.5

Total

48.5

model 49.5

Spread edge

BAL by 2.5

lean · context

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Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

1H spread

1H total

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 6:34 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenBAL -3.5

CurrentCIN -1.5

Total52.5 → 48.5

Last update6:34 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

OpenBAL -3.5

5 → CIN

NowCIN -1.5

5 pts toward Cincinnati Bengals

Total

Open52.5

▼ 4

Now48.5

Down 4 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened BAL -3.5 · now BAL -1.5 · moved 2 toward CINmodel BAL -1

model BAL -1

Openline modelNow

Line watch · Already at the modelModel vs the opening line: CIN by 2.4 pts (open +3.5, now -1.5). In 2025–2026, with a 2+ pt gap, lines moved toward the ratings in 60.5% of the 124 games where the line moved (160 at that gap), but those sides covered 46.3% at the opener, below the 52.4% break-even: it predicts the line, not the result.

Line context

Road favorites of 0.5–2.5 since 2023: won 59%, covered 55% (114 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 43% (60 games since 2024)ⓘ

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 6:34 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenBAL -3.5

CurrentCIN -1.5

Total52.5 → 48.5

Last update6:34 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Books

9 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotalMoneyline

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	CIN	BAL	Over	Under	CIN	BAL
BetMGMMGM	+1.5-110	-1.5-108	48.5-110	48.5-108	+100	-120
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	+1.5-110	-1.5-110	49-108	49-112	+105	-125
BetRiversBetRivers	+1-110	-1-110	48.5-112	48.5-109	-104	-118
BetUSBetUS	+1+100	-1-120	49-110	49-110	+105	-125
BovadaBovada	+1.5-110	-1.5-110	49-110	49-110	+100	-120
DraftKingsDK	-1.5+100	+1.5-120	48.5-110	48.5-110	-112	-108
FanDuelFD	+1.5-110	-1.5-110	48.5-115	48.5-105	+102	-120
LowVig.agLowVig.ag	+1.5-103	-1.5-107	49-105	49-109	+105	-125
MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag	+1.5-110	-1.5-110	49-110	49-110	+100	-122

Prices from ESPN’s odds feed and The Odds API, updated 6:34 PM ET. Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

1st-half prices

7 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotal

Book	Spread		Total
Book	CIN	BAL	Over	Under
BetMGMMGM	+1.5-110	-1.5-108	34.5+425	34.5-625
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	+2.5-110	-2.5-110	25.5-110	25.5-110
BetRiversBetRivers	+1.5-122	-1.5-103	26.5-106	26.5-118
BetUSBetUS	+2.5-110	-2.5-110	25.5-110	25.5-110
BovadaBovada	+2.5-110	-2.5-110	25.5-110	25.5-110
DraftKingsDK	+2.5-112	-2.5-108	25.5-108	25.5-112
FanDuelFD	+1.5-120	-1.5+100	25.5-110	25.5-110

Prices from The Odds API’s 1st-half markets (graded on the halftime score). Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money

Total

Over 48.5Under 48.5

Bets27% 73%

Money34% 66%

Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read Thu, Oct 22, 4:27 AM ET. ⓘ

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CIN as a 1.5-point road favorite at BAL, the favorite won 6, covered 6, and 5 went over the total.

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games

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 58%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 53%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 1.8 against an average line of 2; 48.8 points a game (usually 44.5). Of the 5 overs, 3 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	ATL @ TB 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar situation & season form	-0.5	31–26	W	O47.5
Loose	ARI @ SEA 2024 · Week 12 · loose · similar rest & situation	-1.5	6–16	L	U46.5
Loose	PHI @ CHI 2026 · Week 3 · loose · similar season form	-3	7–27	L	U42.5
Loose	TB @ NO 2024 · Week 6 · loose · similar situation	-3.5	51–27	W	O42.5
Loose	DET @ LAC 2023 · Week 10 · loose · similar rest & season form	-2.5	41–38	W	O48
Loose	SF @ MIA 2024 · Week 16 · loose · similar situation	-1.5	17–29	L	O44.5
Loose	JAX @ HOU 2023 · Week 12 · loose · similar season form & situation	-1	24–21	W	U48
Loose	BUF @ MIA 2023 · Week 18 · loose · similar situation & season form	-2.5	21–14	W	U48
Loose	DET @ MIN 2023 · Week 16 · loose · similar season form & situation	-2.5	30–24	W	O48
Loose	CHI @ GB 2026 · Week 5 · loose · similar spread & situation	-1.5	7–31	L	U46.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CIN WWLLL	2-3	40%	1-2	1-3
BAL LPLWL	2-3-1	40%	0-2	1-0

Venue/role: CIN away, as favorite; BAL home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CIN OUOUO	3-2	60%	3-2
BAL UOOOU	4-2	67%	4-2

In 334 games with totals 45.5–51.5, 51% went over; 2% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 23% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CIN	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%
BAL	6-4 60%	4-5-1 44%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Cincinnati Bengals

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 1	vs TEN	W37–27WO
Nov 8	@ ATL	No meeting since 2023
Nov 15	vs PIT	L27–30LO

Baltimore Ravens

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 1	@ BUF	L40–41LO
Nov 5	vs JAX	W23–7WU
Nov 16	vs LAC	W30–23WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

CIN 25–30 BAL BAL leads · 55 games since 1999 · BAL has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 14 2025	Baltimore Ravens 24 @ Cincinnati Bengals 0	BAL -2.5	BAL W
Nov 27 2025	Cincinnati Bengals 32 @ Baltimore Ravens 14	BAL -7	CIN W
Nov 7 2024	Cincinnati Bengals 34 @ Baltimore Ravens 35	BAL -5.5	CIN W
Oct 6 2024	Baltimore Ravens 41 @ Cincinnati Bengals 38	BAL -2.5	BAL W
Nov 16 2023	Cincinnati Bengals 20 @ Baltimore Ravens 34	BAL -3.5	BAL W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CIN−1.2 →+0.5▲ 1.7#15

BAL+0.7 →+1.9▲ 1.2#10

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

CIN

Longer bar = better

BAL

#10

Offense

BAL better ▶

#17

Defense

BAL better ▶

#13

+0.4 #12

Turnovers

Even

+0.3 #14

62 plays #17

Pace

◀ CIN faster

61 plays #21

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CIN has the ball

Even matchup

	CIN off	BAL def	Edge
Points / game	25.6 #10	22.0 #15	CIN
Yards / play	5.49 #12	5.04 #12	Even
EPA / play	+0.07 #9	−0.03 #14	CIN
Success rate	47% #8	42% #9	Even

When BAL has the ball

Advantage: BAL offense

	BAL off	CIN def	Edge
Points / game	26.0 #7	21.8 #14	BAL
Yards / play	6.01 #4	5.61 #23	BAL
EPA / play	+0.11 #7	−0.03 #15	BAL
Success rate	48% #5	43% #14	BAL

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

CIN scoring against the BAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CIN scored	5.6 #6	8.8 #8	14.4 #6	6.0 #11	5.2 #25	11.2 #19
BAL allowed	5.0 #17	3.8 #3	8.8 #6	3.8 #9	9.3 #29	13.2 #22

BAL scoring against the CIN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BAL scored	8.0 #1	9.5 #6	17.5 #1	2.7 #27	4.7 #26	7.3 #31
CIN allowed	5.4 #24	4.6 #7	10.0 #11	5.2 #20	6.6 #14	11.8 #16

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.