Ravens @ Browns: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2026)

Sun, Oct 18, 2026, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 6 · at Cleveland Browns · Division game

Weather at kickoff60°F7 mphDryWeather watch ›

Baltimore Ravens

4-1 · Power #10

final

Final

Cleveland Browns

3-2 · Power #30

▲ winner

Closing spread

BAL -3

✓ CLE W

Total

40.5

▼ Under · 23 pts

Model before kickoff

BAL 22–19 CLE

✗ BAL (60%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenBAL -6.5

CloseBAL -3

Total44.5 → 40.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Game recap · 1:27

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns: game recap

Made automatically (Oct 19, 11:37 AM ET). The “Model before kickoff” score on this card was updated after the video was made, so the video quotes an older one.

Watch on YouTube ↗More game recaps ›

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenBAL -6.5

3.5 → CLE

CloseBAL -3

3.5 pts toward Cleveland Browns

Total

Open44.5

▼ 4

Close40.5

Down 4 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened BAL -6.5 · closed BAL -3 · moved 3.5 toward CLEmodel BAL -0.5

model BAL -0.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 2–4 since 2023: won 64%, covered 53% (149 games)ⓘ

Moved onto 3The team the line moved toward covered 45% (22 games since 2025)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenBAL -6.5

CloseBAL -3

Total44.5 → 40.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Books

9 sportsbooks · prices at kickoff

SpreadTotalMoneyline

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	BAL	CLE	Over	Under	BAL	CLE
BetMGMMGM	-3-118	+3-102	39.5-110	39.5-108	-175	+150
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	-3-115	+3-105	39.5-110	39.5-110	-170	+149
BetRiversBetRivers	-3.5-105	+3.5-117	39.5-113	39.5-108	-175	+140
BetUSBetUS	-3-115	+3-105	39.5-110	39.5-110	-170	+146
BovadaBovada	-3-115	+3-105	39.5-110	39.5-110	-175	+150
DraftKingsDK	-3-118	+3-102	39.5-112	39.5-108	-170	+142
FanDuelFD	-3-115	+3-105	39.5-105	39.5-115	-180	+150
LowVig.agLowVig.ag	-3-114	+3+103	39.5-107	39.5-107	-170	+149
MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag	-3-115	+3-105	39.5-110	39.5-110	-172	+145

Last prices before kickoff from ESPN’s odds feed and The Odds API. Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Each row is that book’s own last price, so it can differ from the closing line on this card. DraftKings’ row has a total of 39.5, while the closing line on this card (the close recorded for DraftKings) is a total of 40.5. Prices vary by state; check your book.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like BAL as a 3-point road favorite at CLE, the favorite won 5, covered 5, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: CLE won 13–10 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 23 points stayed under 40.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 62%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 0.5 against an average line of 2.7; 43.7 points a game (usually 44.8). Of the 7 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	SF @ NO 2025 · Week 2 · close · similar rest & season form	-2.5	26–21	W	O40.5
Close	PHI @ TB 2024 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & season form	-0.5	16–33	L	O43.5
Close	MIN @ CHI 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & situation	-2.5	30–27	W	O39.5
Close	KC @ CLE 2024 · Week 15 · close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	21–7	W	U41.5
Loose	PIT @ CLE 2024 · Week 12 · loose	-3.5	19–24	L	O36.5
Loose	TB @ NO 2025 · Week 8 · loose · similar rest	-3.5	23–3	W	U45.5
Loose	PHI @ NYG 2024 · Week 7 · loose · similar rest & situation	-3.5	28–3	W	U42.5
Loose	LAC @ HOU 2024 · Postseason · loose · similar rest & season form	-2.5	12–32	L	O41.5
Loose	DAL @ CAR 2025 · Week 6 · loose · similar rest & season form	-2.5	27–30	L	O45.5
Loose	IND @ JAX 2025 · Week 14 · loose · similar rest & situation	-2.5	19–36	L	O44.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BAL WLPLW	2-2-1	50%	2-0	1-2-1
CLE LWWWL	3-2	60%	2-0	3-2

Venue/role: BAL away, as favorite; CLE home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
BAL OUOOO	4-1	80%	4-1
CLE OOUOU	3-2	60%	3-2

Stayed under: it needed 28 in the 4th quarter and got 10. 51% of games with totals 37.5–43.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BAL	6-4 60%	4-5-1 44%	8-2 80%
CLE	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

BAL 39–16 CLE BAL leads · 55 games since 1999 · CLE has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 16 2025	Baltimore Ravens 23 @ Cleveland Browns 16	BAL -7.5	CLE W
Sep 14 2025	Cleveland Browns 17 @ Baltimore Ravens 41	BAL -12.5	BAL W
Jan 4 2024	Cleveland Browns 10 @ Baltimore Ravens 35	BAL -20.5	BAL W
Oct 27 2024	Baltimore Ravens 24 @ Cleveland Browns 29	BAL -7.5	CLE W
Nov 12 2023	Cleveland Browns 33 @ Baltimore Ravens 31	BAL -6	CLE W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

BAL+0.7 →+2.1▲ 1.4#10

CLE−1.8 →−3.0▼ 1.2#29

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

BAL

Longer bar = better

CLE

Offense

◀ BAL better

#27

#14

Defense

Even

#15

+0.6 #8

Turnovers

◀ BAL better

−0.2 #19

62 plays #17

Pace

◀ BAL faster

59 plays #24

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When BAL has the ball

Advantage: BAL offense

	BAL off	CLE def	Edge
Points / game	29.2 #6	22.4 #14	BAL
Yards / play	6.36 #4	5.19 #13	BAL
EPA / play	+0.15 #5	−0.02 #15	BAL
Success rate	51% #2	43% #16	BAL

When CLE has the ball

Advantage: BAL defense

	CLE off	BAL def	Edge
Points / game	18.6 #27	23.8 #19	BAL
Yards / play	4.65 #26	5.25 #15	BAL
EPA / play	−0.08 #26	−0.02 #16	BAL
Success rate	39% #27	41% #7	BAL

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

BAL scoring against the CLE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BAL scored	7.6 #2	11.4 #3	19.0 #1	3.2 #26	5.6 #21	8.8 #28
CLE allowed	6.8 #28	3.8 #1	10.6 #12	4.6 #17	7.2 #18	11.8 #15

CLE scoring against the BAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLE scored	1.2 #30	7.4 #12	8.6 #25	2.6 #30	7.4 #12	10.0 #27
BAL allowed	6.0 #26	4.6 #4	10.6 #12	4.0 #6	9.2 #28	13.2 #22

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.