Cardinals @ Rams: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2026)

Sun, Oct 18, 2026, 4:05 PM EDTWeek 6 · at Los Angeles Rams · Division game

Weather at kickoff88°F3 mphDryWeather watch ›

Arizona Cardinals

1-4 · Power #28

▲ winner

Final

Los Angeles Rams

2-3 · Power #5

final

Closing spread

LAR -13.5

✓ ARI W

Total

51.5

▼ Under · 34 pts

Model before kickoff

ARI 18–31 LAR

✗ LAR (89%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenLAR -13.5

CloseLAR -13.5

Total46.5 → 51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Game recap · 1:33

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams: game recap

Made automatically (Oct 19, 11:51 AM ET). The “Model before kickoff” score on this card was updated after the video was made, so the video quotes an older one.

Watch on YouTube ↗More game recaps ›

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenLAR -13.5

no move

CloseLAR -13.5

No change since the open

Total

Open46.5

▲ 5

Close51.5

Up 5 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened LAR -13.5 · unchangedmodel LAR -11

model LAR -11

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 11.5–15.5 since 2023: won 93%, covered 51% (45 games)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenLAR -13.5

CloseLAR -13.5

Total46.5 → 51.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Books

9 sportsbooks · prices at kickoff

SpreadTotalMoneyline

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	ARI	LAR	Over	Under	ARI	LAR
BetMGMMGM	+12.5-110	-12.5-108	51.5-110	51.5-108	+600	-800
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	+13-113	-13-107	51.5-110	51.5-110	+613	-900
BetRiversBetRivers	+12.5-110	-12.5-110	51.5-113	51.5-108	+550	-835
BetUSBetUS	+13-110	-13-110	51.5-110	51.5-110	+600	-900
BovadaBovada	+13-110	-13-110	51.5-110	51.5-110	+575	-900
DraftKingsDK	+12.5-105	-12.5-115	51.5-105	51.5-115	+500	-700
FanDuelFD	+12.5-110	-12.5-110	51.5-110	51.5-110	+560	-800
LowVig.agLowVig.ag	+13-108	-13-102	51.5-107	51.5-107	+613	-900
MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag	+13-110	-13-110	51.5-110	51.5-110	+601	-918

Last prices before kickoff from ESPN’s odds feed and The Odds API. Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Each row is that book’s own last price, so it can differ from the closing line on this card. DraftKings’ row has LAR -12.5, while the closing line on this card (the close recorded for DraftKings) is LAR -13.5. Prices vary by state; check your book.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 9 games most like LAR as a 13.5-point home favorite against ARI, the favorite won 8, covered 4, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: ARI won 18–16 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 9 similar games. 34 points stayed under 51.5, as in 2 of 9.

Favorite won

8 of 989%

Normal range · usually 93%

Favorite covered

4 of 944%

Normal range · usually 55%

Went over

7 of 978%

Normal range · usually 59%

Only 9 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 15.4 against an average line of 13.5; 53.2 points a game (usually 46.4). Of the 7 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 9 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	PHI vs ARI 2023 · Week 17 · loose · similar rest & season form	-12.5	31–35	L	O48
Loose	BUF vs MIA 2025 · Week 3 · loose · similar situation	-11.5	31–21	L	O50.5
Loose	BUF vs NE 2024 · Week 16 · loose · similar rest & situation	-14.5	24–21	L	U47.5
Loose	DET vs TEN 2024 · Week 8 · loose · similar rest & spread	-12.5	52–14	W	O46.5
Loose	TB vs NO 2024 · Week 18 · loose · similar rest & team ratings	-14.5	27–19	L	O44.5
Loose	IND vs TEN 2025 · Week 8 · loose · similar rest & situation	-14.5	38–14	W	O47.5
Loose	BAL vs CLE 2025 · Week 2 · loose · similar rest & situation	-12.5	41–17	W	O46.5
Loose	LAR vs NO 2025 · Week 9 · loose · similar situation & team ratings	-14.5	34–10	W	U45.5
Loose	BUF vs NO 2025 · Week 4 · loose · similar spread & situation	-14.5	31–19	L	O48.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARI WLWLL	2-3	40%	2-1	2-2
LAR LWLLL	1-4	20%	1-1	1-3

Venue/role: ARI away, as underdog; LAR home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARI UUOOO	3-2	60%	1-4
LAR UUOOO	3-2	60%	2-3

Stayed under: it needed 31 in the 4th quarter and got 13. 48% of games with totals 48.5–54.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARI	1-9 10%	2-8 20%	6-4 60%
LAR	5-5 50%	2-8 20%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

ARI 21–29 LAR LAR leads · 50 games since 2002 · ARI has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Jan 4 2025	Arizona Cardinals 20 @ Los Angeles Rams 37	LAR -14.5	LAR W
Dec 7 2025	Los Angeles Rams 45 @ Arizona Cardinals 17	LAR -9.5	LAR W
Dec 28 2024	Arizona Cardinals 9 @ Los Angeles Rams 13	LAR -6.5	ARI W
Sep 15 2024	Los Angeles Rams 10 @ Arizona Cardinals 41	ARI -1.5	ARI W
Nov 26 2023	Los Angeles Rams 37 @ Arizona Cardinals 14	LAR -3	LAR W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ARI−1.3 →−3.1▼ 1.8#30

LAR+3.0 →+3.9▲ 0.9#3

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

ARI

Longer bar = better

LAR

#21

Offense

LAR better ▶

#27

Defense

LAR better ▶

#12

+0.4 #16

Turnovers

◀ ARI better

−0.6 #22

67 plays #5

Pace

Even

71 plays #2

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ARI has the ball

Advantage: LAR defense

	ARI off	LAR def	Edge
Points / game	21.6 #23	24.0 #20	Even
Yards / play	4.51 #31	4.85 #6	LAR
EPA / play	−0.02 #16	−0.04 #10	LAR
Success rate	46% #12	42% #13	Even

When LAR has the ball

Advantage: LAR offense

	LAR off	ARI def	Edge
Points / game	23.8 #15	32.4 #32	LAR
Yards / play	5.99 #6	6.18 #29	LAR
EPA / play	+0.07 #9	+0.12 #29	LAR
Success rate	47% #7	44% #19	LAR

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

ARI scoring against the LAR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARI scored	5.6 #7	4.4 #27	10.0 #21	4.8 #16	6.8 #19	11.6 #18
LAR allowed	2.4 #6	6.8 #18	9.2 #7	6.4 #25	7.8 #20	14.2 #25

LAR scoring against the ARI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LAR scored	3.4 #23	7.4 #12	10.8 #17	2.8 #27	10.2 #2	13.0 #10
ARI allowed	4.8 #17	10.0 #30	14.8 #31	9.0 #32	8.6 #24	17.6 #31

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.