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NFL · 2026

NFL Week 6 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 6: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
14 finalFavorites 5-9 ATS6 upsetsO/U 7-7Model Favorite 8-6Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1414 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS5-936% covered
Upsets6outright
Over / Under7-750% over
Model Favorite8-657% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up7 all 7 final
Over4 57%Under3 43%
Moved down6 all 6 final
Over2 33%Under4 67%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20262024–2026
Any move
7–654%
36–40–447%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
6–555%
27–24–253%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
5–363%
18–17–151%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
2–0100%
4–736%
17–1652%
7+ pts
1–0100%
1–325%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Oct 15

1
Final · Non-conf
Seattle Seahawks
3-2 · #1
14
Denver Broncos
3-2 · #16
17
Spread
SEA -3
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼3
▼ Under 31
Projected
22–19
✗ SEA lost
Trend: Under ✓ Model: DEN by 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2

Sunday, Oct 18

12
Final · Neutral
Houston Texans
1-4 · #11
34
Jacksonville Jaguars
4-1 · #6
31
Spread
JAX -2.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
42.5 ▲1
▲ Over 65 · Q3
Projected
19–21
✗ JAX lost
Trend: JAX ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: HOU by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Chicago Bears
3-2 · #4
31
Atlanta Falcons
2-3 · #18
23
Spread
CHI -1.5
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
50.5 ▲3
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
25–23
✓ CHI won
Trend: ATL ATS ✗Trend: Over ✓ Model: ATL by 2 ✗ Model: Under 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Baltimore Ravens
4-1 · #10
10
Cleveland Browns
3-2 · #30
13
Spread
BAL -3
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
40.5 ▼4
▼ Under 23
Projected
22–19
✗ BAL lost
Trend: CLE ATS ✓ Model: CLE by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
Tennessee Titans
0-5 · #32
26
Indianapolis Colts
2-3 · #21
20
Spread
IND -6.5
✓ TEN W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼5
▲ Over 46 · Q4
Projected
19–25
✗ IND lost
Trend: IND ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: IND by 1 ✗ Model: Over 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
New York Jets
2-3 · #27
19
New England Patriots
3-2 · #7
26
Spread
NE -7.5
✓ NYJ W ATS
Total
42.5
▲ Over 45 · Q4
Projected
17–25
✓ NE won
Trend: NYJ ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: NE by 3 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
New Orleans Saints
1-4 · #29
34
New York Giants
3-1-1 · #22
27
Spread
NO -1.5
✓ NO W ATS
Total
46.5 ▲1
▲ Over 61 · Q4
Projected
23–22
✓ NO won
Trend: NYG ATS ✗ Model: NYG by 4 ✗ Model: Under 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Carolina Panthers
2-2 · #13
25
Philadelphia Eagles
2-3 · #24
14
Spread
CAR -3
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
39.5 ▼4
▼ Under 39
Projected
22–19
✓ CAR won
Trend: CAR ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: CAR by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Pittsburgh Steelers
3-2 · #17
26
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1-4 · #19
19
Spread
PIT -2.5
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
37.5 ▼8
▲ Over 45 · Q4
Projected
21–19
✓ PIT won
Trend: PIT ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: TB by 5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: OT
Final · Division
Arizona Cardinals
1-4 · #28
18
Los Angeles Rams
2-3 · #5
16
Spread
LAR -13.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲5
▼ Under 34
Projected
18–31
✗ LAR lost
Trend: ARI ATS ✓Trend: Over ✗ Model: ARI by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Los Angeles Chargers
0-5 · #25
6
Kansas City Chiefs
4-0 · #2
22
Spread
KC -7.5
✓ KC W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼5
▼ Under 28
Projected
17–25
✓ KC won
Trend: KC ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: KC by 0.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Buffalo Bills
4-1 · #9
33
Las Vegas Raiders
3-2 · #23
30
Spread
BUF -5.5
✓ LV W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲7
▲ Over 63 · Q4
Projected
29–23
✓ BUF won
Trend: Over ✓ Model: BUF by 2 ✗ Model: Under 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Dallas Cowboys
2-3 · #20
13
Green Bay Packers
3-2 · #14
23
Spread
DAL -1.5
✓ GB W ATS
Total
54.5 ▲3
▼ Under 36
Projected
25–24
✗ DAL lost
Trend: DAL ATS ✗Trend: Over ✗ Model: GB by 5 ✓ Model: Under 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Oct 19

1
Final · Non-conf
Washington Commanders
1-3-1 · #26
17
San Francisco 49ers
5-0 · #3
23
Spread
SF -7.5
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
51.5 ▲1
▼ Under 40
Projected
19–27
✓ SF won
Trend: SF ATS ✗ Model: SF by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total