Week in numbers
Tap a number to filter the games below
Biggest Model FavoriteGB 80%win probability
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
| Moved toward | This week | 2026 | 2024–2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Any move | — | 36–40–447% | 229–252–448% |
| 1.5+ pts | — | 27–24–253% | 116–117–250% |
| 3+ pts | — | 18–17–151% | 56–58–149% |
| 5+ pts | — | 4–736% | 17–1652% |
| 7+ pts | — | 1–325% | 2–722% |
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
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Thursday, Dec 17
1Non-conf
Spread
LAC -3.5
Total
47.5
Under 3.5
Spread edge
SF by 11
no lean
Spread
Total
Winner
Saturday, Dec 19
2Non-conf
3-3 · #1
2-4 · #24
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 41
Spread edge
—
model SEA -5
Winner
Non-conf
5-2 · #4
5-1 · #9
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 53.5
Spread edge
—
model BUF -2
Winner
Sunday, Dec 20
12Non-conf
0-5 · #31
4-2 · #14
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 43
Spread edge
—
model GB -9
Winner
Division
2-4 · #21
1-5 · #32
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 44
Spread edge
—
model IND -5
Winner
Non-conf
Spread
NYG -2.5
Total
38.5
Over 2.5
Spread edge
NYG by 1
no lean
Spread
Total
Winner
Division
4-2 · #10
4-2 · #17
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 45.5
Spread edge
—
model BAL -2.5
Winner
Division
2-4 · #29
1-5 · #19
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 46
Spread edge
—
model TB -1.5
Winner
Non-conf
2-4 · #18
1-4-1 · #26
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 47.5
Spread edge
—
model WSH -1
Winner
Non-conf
3-2 · #15
3-2 · #13
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 49.5
Spread edge
—
model CAR -0.5
Winner
Division
4-2 · #6
2-4 · #11
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 44.5
Spread edge
—
model JAX -0.5
Winner
Non-conf
2-4 · #27
2-4 · #28
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 44
Spread edge
—
model ARI -1
Winner
Division
4-2 · #16
3-3 · #23
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 44
Spread edge
—
model DEN -1.5
Winner
Non-conf
2-4 · #20
2-4 · #5
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 51
Spread edge
—
model LAR -5.5
Winner
Division
3-2 · #12
5-0 · #8
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 46.5
Spread edge
—
model MIN -1
Winner
Monday, Dec 21
1Non-conf
4-3 · #7
5-0 · #2
Spread
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 45
Spread edge
—
model KC -2
Winner
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| Status | Matchup | Spread | Move | Total | Model | Signal | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading… | |||||||
Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.