Cowboys @ Rams: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 15, 2026)

Sun, Dec 20, 2026, 4:25 PM ESTWeek 15 · at Los Angeles Rams

Dallas Cowboys

2-4 · Power #20

projected

Sun 4:25 PM ET

Los Angeles Rams

2-4 · Power #5

projected

DAL 31%

69% LAR

Spread

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Total

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model 51

Model line

LAR -5.5

LAR 69% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DAL WPWLL	2-3-1	40%	1-2	—
LAR WLLLL	1-5	17%	1-2	—

Venue/role: DAL away; LAR home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
DAL OOOUU	4-2	67%	2-4
LAR UOOOU	3-3	50%	2-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DAL	3-7 30%	2-7-1 22%	8-2 80%
LAR	5-5 50%	2-8 20%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Dallas Cowboys

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 27	vs JAX	No meeting since 2023
Jan 3	vs NYG	L20–28LO
Jan 10	@ WSH	W37–20WO

Los Angeles Rams

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 25	@ SEA	L27–31LO
Jan 3	@ TB	W34–7WU
Jan 10	vs SEA	L27–31LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

DAL 8–5 LAR DAL leads · 13 games since 2002 · DAL has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 29 2023	Los Angeles Rams 20 @ Dallas Cowboys 43	DAL -7	DAL W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

DAL−0.6 →−1.3▼ 0.7#20

LAR+3.0 →+3.1▲ 0.1#5

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW14

DAL

Longer bar = better

LAR

#11

Offense

Even

#12

#30

Defense

LAR better ▶

#13

−0.7 #27

Turnovers

Even

−0.5 #25

63 plays #15

Pace

LAR faster ▶

68 plays #3

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When DAL has the ball

Even matchup

	DAL off	LAR def	Edge
Points / game	25.2 #12	23.0 #18	DAL
Yards / play	5.49 #13	4.85 #7	LAR
EPA / play	+0.08 #8	−0.04 #10	Even
Success rate	47% #9	44% #18	DAL

When LAR has the ball

Advantage: LAR offense

	LAR off	DAL def	Edge
Points / game	22.5 #20	26.5 #25	LAR
Yards / play	5.87 #8	6.04 #31	LAR
EPA / play	+0.04 #12	+0.16 #32	LAR
Success rate	47% #7	49% #32	LAR

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

DAL scoring against the LAR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DAL scored	5.0 #11	3.8 #27	8.8 #24	7.7 #4	8.7 #7	16.3 #3
LAR allowed	2.5 #6	6.7 #17	9.2 #8	5.8 #24	7.5 #19	13.3 #23

LAR scoring against the DAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LAR scored	3.3 #23	7.2 #14	10.5 #17	2.3 #30	9.7 #3	12.0 #14
DAL allowed	5.2 #22	8.3 #24	13.5 #27	7.3 #27	5.7 #7	13.0 #21

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.