Jets @ Cardinals: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 15, 2026)

Sun, Dec 20, 2026, 4:05 PM ESTWeek 15 · at Arizona Cardinals

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New York Jets

2-4 · Power #27

projected

Sun 4:05 PM ET

Arizona Cardinals

2-4 · Power #28

projected

NYJ 46%

54% ARI

Spread

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Total

—

model 44

Model line

ARI -1

ARI 54% to win

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Winner

Market

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Total

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NYJ WPLWW	4-1-1	80%	2-1-1	—
ARI LWLLW	3-3	50%	0-2	—

Venue/role: NYJ away; ARI home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NYJ UOUUO	2-4	33%	2-4
ARI UOOOU	3-3	50%	2-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NYJ	2-8 20%	4-5-1 44%	5-5 50%
ARI	2-8 20%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

New York Jets

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 27	vs NE	L19–26WO
Jan 3	vs MIN	L17–23LU
Jan 10	@ BUF	L8–35LO

Arizona Cardinals

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 27	@ NO	W20–13WU
Jan 3	vs LV	No meeting since 2023
Jan 10	vs SF	L30–36WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

NYJ 4–3 ARI NYJ leads · 7 games since 1999 · ARI has won the last 3 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 10 2024	New York Jets 6 @ Arizona Cardinals 31	NYJ -1.5	ARI W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NYJ−3.3 →−2.4▲ 0.9#27

ARI−1.3 →−2.5▼ 1.2#28

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW14

NYJ

Longer bar = better

ARI

#21

Offense

Even

#20

#11

Defense

◀ NYJ better

#29

+0.7 #8

Turnovers

◀ NYJ better

+0.3 #13

59 plays #27

Pace

ARI faster ▶

67 plays #4

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NYJ has the ball

Advantage: NYJ offense

	NYJ off	ARI def	Edge
Points / game	18.7 #27	29.7 #32	NYJ
Yards / play	4.93 #22	6.01 #30	NYJ
EPA / play	−0.03 #19	+0.08 #28	NYJ
Success rate	44% #15	45% #24	NYJ

When ARI has the ball

Advantage: NYJ defense

	ARI off	NYJ def	Edge
Points / game	21.0 #24	20.3 #7	NYJ
Yards / play	4.56 #28	4.80 #5	NYJ
EPA / play	−0.02 #17	−0.05 #8	NYJ
Success rate	46% #11	44% #23	ARI

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

NYJ scoring against the ARI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYJ scored	2.8 #26	3.3 #28	6.2 #28	5.5 #12	7.0 #18	12.5 #10
ARI allowed	4.5 #15	9.3 #30	13.8 #31	7.5 #28	8.3 #26	15.8 #29

ARI scoring against the NYJ defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARI scored	5.2 #8	4.7 #26	9.8 #19	4.5 #18	6.7 #19	11.2 #20
NYJ allowed	3.3 #10	6.0 #12	9.3 #9	2.3 #2	8.2 #22	10.5 #9

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.