Ravens @ Steelers: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 15, 2026)

Sun, Dec 20, 2026, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 15 · at Pittsburgh Steelers · Division game

Baltimore Ravens

4-2 · Power #10

projected

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Pittsburgh Steelers

4-2 · Power #17

projected

BAL 59%

41% PIT

Spread

—

Total

—

model 45.5

Model line

BAL -2.5

BAL 59% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BAL LPLWL	2-3-1	40%	2-1	—
PIT LWLWW	4-2	67%	3-0	—

Venue/role: BAL away; PIT home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
BAL UOOOU	4-2	67%	4-2
PIT UOOOO	4-2	67%	4-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BAL	6-4 60%	4-5-1 44%	7-3 70%
PIT	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Baltimore Ravens

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 27	vs CLE	L10–13LU
Dec 31	@ CIN	W24–0WU
Jan 10	vs PIT	L24–26LO

Pittsburgh Steelers

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 27	vs CAR	No meeting since 2023
Jan 3	@ TEN	W20–16WP
Jan 10	@ BAL	W26–24WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

BAL 26–33 PIT PIT leads · 59 games since 1999 · PIT has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Jan 4 2025	Baltimore Ravens 24 @ Pittsburgh Steelers 26	BAL -4.5	PIT W
Dec 7 2025	Pittsburgh Steelers 27 @ Baltimore Ravens 22	BAL -5.5	PIT W
Jan 11 2024	Pittsburgh Steelers 14 @ Baltimore Ravens 28	BAL -9.5	BAL W
Dec 21 2024	Pittsburgh Steelers 17 @ Baltimore Ravens 34	BAL -7.5	BAL W
Nov 17 2024	Baltimore Ravens 16 @ Pittsburgh Steelers 18	BAL -3.5	PIT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

BAL+0.7 →+1.9▲ 1.2#10

PIT−0.5 →+0.2▲ 0.7#17

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW14

BAL

Longer bar = better

PIT

Offense

◀ BAL better

#21

#13

Defense

PIT better ▶

+0.3 #14

Turnovers

PIT better ▶

+0.5 #10

61 plays #21

Pace

PIT faster ▶

64 plays #10

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When BAL has the ball

Even matchup

	BAL off	PIT def	Edge
Points / game	26.0 #7	21.3 #12	BAL
Yards / play	6.01 #4	4.99 #8	Even
EPA / play	+0.11 #7	−0.06 #5	Even
Success rate	48% #5	42% #7	Even

When PIT has the ball

Advantage: BAL defense

	PIT off	BAL def	Edge
Points / game	22.8 #18	22.0 #15	Even
Yards / play	5.01 #21	5.04 #12	BAL
EPA / play	−0.08 #23	−0.03 #14	BAL
Success rate	41% #23	42% #9	BAL

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

BAL scoring against the PIT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BAL scored	8.0 #1	9.5 #6	17.5 #1	2.7 #27	4.7 #26	7.3 #31
PIT allowed	5.0 #17	8.5 #25	13.5 #27	3.0 #4	4.8 #5	7.8 #3

PIT scoring against the BAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PIT scored	5.2 #8	5.3 #22	10.5 #17	2.3 #30	8.8 #5	11.2 #20
BAL allowed	5.0 #17	3.8 #3	8.8 #6	3.8 #9	9.3 #29	13.2 #22

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.