Bengals @ Panthers: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 15, 2026)

Sun, Dec 20, 2026, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 15 · at Carolina Panthers

Cincinnati Bengals

3-2 · Power #15

projected

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Carolina Panthers

3-2 · Power #13

projected

CIN 48%

52% CAR

Spread

—

Total

—

model 49.5

Model line

CAR -0.5

CAR 52% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CIN WWLLL	2-3	40%	1-2	—
CAR LWLWW	3-2	60%	1-1	—

Venue/role: CIN away; CAR home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CIN OUOUO	3-2	60%	3-2
CAR OUUOU	2-3	40%	3-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CIN	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%
CAR	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Cincinnati Bengals

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 27	@ IND	W34–14WO
Dec 31	vs BAL	L0–24LU
Jan 10	vs CLE	L18–20LU

Carolina Panthers

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 27	@ PIT	No meeting since 2023
Jan 3	vs SEA	L10–27LU
Jan 10	vs ATL	W34–3WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

CIN 4–3 CAR (1 tied) CIN leads · 8 games since 1999 · CIN has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 29 2024	Cincinnati Bengals 34 @ Carolina Panthers 24	CIN -5.5	CIN W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CIN−1.2 →+0.5▲ 1.7#15

CAR−1.6 →+0.7▲ 2.3#13

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW14

CIN

Longer bar = better

CAR

#10

Offense

Even

#17

Defense

Even

#17

+0.4 #12

Turnovers

Even

+0.6 #9

62 plays #17

Pace

CAR faster ▶

68 plays #2

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CIN has the ball

Advantage: CIN offense

	CIN off	CAR def	Edge
Points / game	25.6 #10	24.6 #21	CIN
Yards / play	5.49 #12	5.38 #18	CIN
EPA / play	+0.07 #9	−0.01 #17	CIN
Success rate	47% #8	42% #12	Even

When CAR has the ball

Advantage: CAR offense

	CAR off	CIN def	Edge
Points / game	29.2 #4	21.8 #14	CAR
Yards / play	5.91 #7	5.61 #23	CAR
EPA / play	+0.12 #6	−0.03 #15	CAR
Success rate	44% #14	43% #14	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

CIN scoring against the CAR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CIN scored	5.6 #6	8.8 #8	14.4 #6	6.0 #11	5.2 #25	11.2 #19
CAR allowed	3.4 #12	10.0 #31	13.4 #26	3.4 #7	7.8 #21	11.2 #11

CAR scoring against the CIN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CAR scored	5.4 #7	9.2 #7	14.6 #5	8.6 #3	6.0 #22	14.6 #7
CIN allowed	5.4 #24	4.6 #7	10.0 #11	5.2 #20	6.6 #14	11.8 #16

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.