Browns @ Giants: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 15, 2026)

Sun, Dec 20, 2026, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 15 · at New York Giants

Cleveland Browns

4-2 · Power #30

projected

Sun 1:00 PM ET

New York Giants

3-2-1 · Power #22

projected

CLE 41%

59% NYG

Spread

NYG -2.5

Total

38.5

model 41

Spread edge

NYG by 1

no lean

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Spread

Total

Winner

ESPNupdated Oct 11, 4:15 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentNYG -2.5

Total38.5

Last updateOct 11, 4:15 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

NowNYG -2.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now38.5

Line context

Home favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 62%, covered 52% (234 games)ⓘ

ESPNupdated Oct 11, 4:15 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentNYG -2.5

Total38.5

Last updateOct 11, 4:15 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like NYG as a 2.5-point home favorite against CLE, the favorite won 9, covered 8, and 5 went over the total.

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games

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 61%

Favorite covered

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

5 of 956%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 7.4 against an average line of 2.7; 42.8 points a game (usually 44.7). Of the 5 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	NYJ vs CLE 2026 · Week 5 · very close · similar spread & total	-2.5	17–12	W	U38.5
Very close	TB vs TEN 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & situation	-2.5	20–6	W	U39
Very close	CHI vs ATL 2023 · Week 17 · very close · similar spread & situation	-2.5	37–17	W	O39.5
Very close	CLE vs CHI 2023 · Week 15 · very close · similar spread & situation	-2.5	20–17	W	U38
Very close	PIT vs GB 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar situation & total	-3	23–19	W	O38
Very close	LV vs DEN 2023 · Week 18 · very close · similar season form & rest	-3	27–14	W	O37.5
Very close	HOU vs TB 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & total	-2.5	39–37	L	O39.5
Very close	TEN vs HOU 2023 · Week 15 · very close · similar total & rest	-3	16–19	L	U38
Very close	NYJ vs MIA 2024 · Week 18 · very close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	32–20	W	O39.5
Very close	PIT vs TEN 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & season form	-3	20–16	W	P36

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CLE WWWLW	4-2	67%	1-2	4-2
NYG LWWWL	4-2	67%	3-1	1-0

Venue/role: CLE away, as underdog; NYG home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CLE OUOUU	3-3	50%	4-2
NYG UUOOO	4-2	67%	3-2-1

In 249 games with totals 35.5–41.5, 53% went over; 5% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 27% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CLE	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	4-6 40%
NYG	5-4-1 56%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Cleveland Browns

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 27	@ BAL	W13–10WU
Jan 3	vs IND	W39–38LO
Jan 10	@ CIN	W20–18WU

New York Giants

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 28	@ DET	L27–34WO
Jan 3	@ DAL	W28–20WO
Jan 10	vs PHI	L20–38LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

CLE 2–5 NYG NYG leads · 7 games since 2000 · NYG has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 22 2024	New York Giants 21 @ Cleveland Browns 15	CLE -6.5	NYG W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CLE−1.8 →−2.8▼ 1.0#30

NYG−1.1 →−1.9▼ 0.8#22

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW14

CLE

Longer bar = better

NYG

#27

Offense

NYG better ▶

#19

#10

Defense

◀ CLE better

#21

0.0 #17

Turnovers

◀ CLE better

−0.3 #21

59 plays #26

Pace

NYG faster ▶

66 plays #8

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CLE has the ball

Advantage: NYG defense

	CLE off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	17.7 #28	23.3 #19	NYG
Yards / play	4.53 #29	5.43 #20	NYG
EPA / play	−0.09 #26	+0.02 #21	NYG
Success rate	40% #26	44% #22	Even

When NYG has the ball

Advantage: CLE defense

	NYG off	CLE def	Edge
Points / game	22.7 #19	20.3 #5	CLE
Yards / play	5.03 #20	5.03 #10	CLE
EPA / play	−0.02 #18	−0.03 #13	CLE
Success rate	42% #18	42% #10	CLE

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

CLE scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLE scored	1.0 #30	6.2 #17	7.2 #26	2.7 #27	7.8 #13	10.5 #24
NYG allowed	4.5 #15	5.5 #9	10.0 #11	7.5 #28	5.8 #8	13.3 #23

NYG scoring against the CLE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	3.8 #20	5.8 #21	9.7 #20	5.2 #13	7.8 #13	13.0 #9
CLE allowed	7.3 #32	3.2 #1	10.5 #14	3.8 #9	6.0 #9	9.8 #7

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.