Dolphins @ Packers: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 15, 2026)

Sun, Dec 20, 2026, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 15 · at Green Bay Packers

Miami Dolphins

0-5 · Power #31

projected

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Green Bay Packers

4-2 · Power #14

projected

MIA 20%

80% GB

Spread

—

Total

—

model 43

Model line

GB -9

GB 80% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MIA LLLWW	2-3	40%	1-2	—
GB LLWWW	3-3	50%	2-1	—

Venue/role: MIA away; GB home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
MIA UOUUO	2-3	40%	0-5
GB UOUUU	2-4	33%	4-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MIA	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
GB	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Miami Dolphins

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 27	vs LAC	L27–29WO
Jan 3	vs BUF	W30–13WU
Jan 10	@ NE	L10–38LO

Green Bay Packers

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 25	@ CHI	W31–7WU
Jan 4	vs HOU	W24–22LU
Jan 10	vs DET	W31–24O

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

MIA 2–6 GB GB leads · 8 games since 2000 · GB has won the last 4 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 28 2024	Miami Dolphins 17 @ Green Bay Packers 30	GB -3.5	GB W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

MIA−1.7 →−4.4▼ 2.7#31

GB+0.9 →+0.6▼ 0.3#14

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW14

MIA

Longer bar = better

#27

Offense

GB better ▶

#19

#26

Defense

GB better ▶

#10

−0.8 #28

Turnovers

GB better ▶

+0.7 #6

55 plays #31

Pace

GB faster ▶

61 plays #22

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When MIA has the ball

Advantage: GB defense

	MIA off	GB def	Edge
Points / game	14.0 #32	20.8 #10	GB
Yards / play	5.11 #19	4.64 #3	GB
EPA / play	−0.12 #28	−0.06 #7	GB
Success rate	38% #29	44% #21	GB

When GB has the ball

Advantage: GB offense

	GB off	MIA def	Edge
Points / game	21.2 #23	26.4 #24	Even
Yards / play	5.43 #14	5.50 #21	GB
EPA / play	−0.01 #15	+0.11 #29	GB
Success rate	40% #25	49% #30	GB

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

MIA scoring against the GB defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MIA scored	2.8 #28	2.4 #30	5.2 #31	4.6 #17	4.2 #29	8.8 #29
GB allowed	1.7 #2	6.3 #16	8.0 #4	4.7 #18	8.2 #22	12.8 #20

GB scoring against the MIA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GB scored	5.0 #11	7.3 #12	12.3 #14	3.7 #21	4.7 #26	8.3 #30
MIA allowed	6.2 #29	8.8 #27	15.0 #32	8.2 #30	3.2 #2	11.4 #13

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.