Lions @ Vikings: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 15, 2026)

Sun, Dec 20, 2026, 8:20 PM ESTWeek 15 · at Minnesota Vikings · Division game

Kickoff forecastIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Detroit Lions

3-2 · Power #12

projected

Sun 8:20 PM ET

Minnesota Vikings

5-0 · Power #8

projected

DET 46%

54% MIN

Spread

—

Total

—

model 46.5

Model line

MIN -1

MIN 54% to win

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DET LLPLW	1-3-1	25%	1-2	—
MIN WWWLW	4-1	80%	1-1	—

Venue/role: DET away; MIN home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
DET OOOOO	5-0	100%	3-2
MIN OUUUU	1-4	20%	5-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DET	5-5 50%	3-6-1 33%	8-2 80%
MIN	10-0 100%	8-2 80%	2-8 20%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Detroit Lions

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 28	vs NYG	W34–27LO
Jan 3	@ CHI	W19–16WU
Jan 10	@ GB	L24–31O

Minnesota Vikings

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 27	vs WSH	W31–0WU
Jan 3	@ NYJ	W23–17WU
Jan 10	vs CHI	W9–3WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

DET 18–36 MIN MIN leads · 54 games since 1999 · MIN has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 25 2025	Detroit Lions 10 @ Minnesota Vikings 23	DET -7.5	MIN W
Nov 2 2025	Minnesota Vikings 27 @ Detroit Lions 24	DET -9.5	MIN W
Jan 5 2024	Minnesota Vikings 9 @ Detroit Lions 31	DET -2.5	DET W
Oct 20 2024	Detroit Lions 31 @ Minnesota Vikings 29	MIN -1.5	DET W
Jan 7 2023	Minnesota Vikings 20 @ Detroit Lions 30	DET -3.5	DET W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

DET+1.6 →+1.6–#12

MIN+0.1 →+2.7▲ 2.6#8

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW14

DET

Longer bar = better

MIN

Offense

◀ DET better

#27

#28

Defense

MIN better ▶

+0.8 #5

Turnovers

MIN better ▶

+1.2 #1

66 plays #7

Pace

◀ DET faster

61 plays #20

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When DET has the ball

Even matchup

	DET off	MIN def	Edge
Points / game	32.8 #2	12.8 #1	Even
Yards / play	5.93 #6	4.62 #2	Even
EPA / play	+0.18 #3	−0.21 #1	Even
Success rate	49% #3	33% #1	Even

When MIN has the ball

Even matchup

	MIN off	DET def	Edge
Points / game	21.8 #22	29.6 #30	MIN
Yards / play	4.61 #27	5.63 #24	Even
EPA / play	−0.10 #27	+0.15 #31	Even
Success rate	36% #32	48% #28	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

DET scoring against the MIN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DET scored	2.0 #29	11.4 #3	13.4 #10	9.0 #2	9.0 #4	18.0 #1
MIN allowed	3.8 #13	4.0 #4	7.8 #3	4.4 #14	0.6 #1	5.0 #1

MIN scoring against the DET defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MIN scored	4.4 #15	5.2 #24	9.6 #21	3.4 #23	8.8 #6	12.2 #13
DET allowed	5.6 #25	5.8 #11	11.4 #17	8.8 #32	8.2 #25	17.0 #32

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.