Sat, Dec 19, 2026, 5:00 PM ESTWeek 15 · at Philadelphia Eagles
SEA 68%32% PHI
Spread
—
Total
—
model 41
Model line
SEA -5
SEA 68% to win
Pick this game
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Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Seattle Seahawks 68%
Projected SEA 23 – PHI 18 · Model Favorite won 66.2% in backtest
Model line
SEA -5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 41
How the model gets there (points from PHI’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadPHI rating edge−6.6+Home field+1.8+QB EPA gap+1.3+Travel−1.5=Model marginSEA by 5.0
TotalScoring ratings40.8=Model total40.8
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7-3 70% | 5-3-2 63% | 5-5 50% | |
| 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 1 since 2023
SEA 10–3 PHI
SEA leads · 13 games since 2001 · SEA has won the last 8 meetings
All-time series from nflverse.
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18 2023 | Philadelphia Eagles 17 @ Seattle Seahawks 20 | PHI -5 | SEA W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
SEA+3.2 →+4.3▲ 1.1#1
PHI+1.1 →−2.3▼ 3.4#24
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW14
Longer bar = better
#19
Offense
◀ SEA better#30
#3
Defense
◀ SEA better#21
−0.2 #19
Turnovers
Even−0.3 #20
63 plays #12
Pace
◀ SEA faster58 plays #28
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| SEA off | PHI def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 24.7 #13 | 22.8 #16 | Even |
| Yards / play | 5.26 #17 | 5.38 #17 | Even |
| EPA / play | −0.08 #24 | +0.08 #27 | Even |
| Success rate | 41% #22 | 45% #25 | Even |
| PHI off | SEA def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 17.7 #29 | 20.3 #6 | SEA |
| Yards / play | 4.38 #32 | 3.96 #1 | SEA |
| EPA / play | −0.13 #30 | −0.13 #2 | SEA |
| Success rate | 36% #30 | 37% #2 | SEA |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams
SEA scoring against the PHI defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.0 #18 | 4.8 #25 | 8.8 #24 | 7.2 #6 | 8.7 #7 | 15.8 #4 | |
5.0 #17 | 4.3 #6 | 9.3 #9 | 3.8 #9 | 9.7 #31 | 13.5 #26 |
PHI scoring against the SEA defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.5 #32 | 12.2 #2 | 12.7 #11 | 1.0 #32 | 4.0 #30 | 5.0 #32 | |
2.8 #7 | 9.2 #28 | 12.0 #20 | 2.8 #3 | 5.0 #6 | 7.8 #3 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
SEA6d
PHI6d
Even
Tempo
Average 122 plays
slowavg 125fast
Travel
SEA 2,375 mi
Model moves the line 1.5 pts
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

