Colts @ Eagles: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2026)

Sun, Dec 13, 2026, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 14 · at Philadelphia Eagles

Indianapolis Colts

2-4 · Power #21

projected

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Philadelphia Eagles

2-4 · Power #24

projected

IND 32%

68% PHI

Spread

PHI -5.5

Total

46.5

model 45

Spread edge

IND by 3.5

lean · context

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentPHI -5.5

Total46.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

NowPHI -5.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now46.5

Line context

Home favorites of 4.5–6.5 since 2023: won 69%, covered 48% (122 games)ⓘ

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentPHI -5.5

Total46.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like PHI as a 5.5-point home favorite against IND, the favorite won 7, covered 4, and 7 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 72%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 53%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 7.5 against an average line of 5.3; 52.7 points a game (usually 46). Of the 7 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	MIA vs ARI 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-4.5	27–28	L	O46.5
Close	PIT vs CIN 2025 · Week 11 · close · similar spread & rest	-5.5	34–12	W	U47.5
Close	ARI vs NE 2024 · Week 15 · close · similar spread & total	-5.5	30–17	W	O46.5
Close	CIN vs NYJ 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & situation	-5.5	38–39	L	O43.5
Close	NYJ vs IND 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar situation & season form	-4.5	27–28	L	O43.5
Close	TB vs ARI 2025 · Week 13 · close · similar situation & total	-4.5	20–17	L	U45.5
Close	MIA vs NYJ 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar total & season form	-6.5	32–26	L	O45.5
Close	IND vs TEN 2024 · Week 16 · close · similar season form & spread	-4.5	38–30	W	O43.5
Close	SEA vs WSH 2023 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & spread	-6	29–26	L	O44
Close	HOU vs TEN 2023 · Week 17 · close · similar spread & season form	-5.5	26–3	W	U44

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
IND WWWLL	3-3	50%	1-1	2-2
PHI LLWWL	2-4	33%	1-2	0-3

Venue/role: IND away, as underdog; PHI home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
IND OUUOO	4-2	67%	2-4
PHI OUOUU	3-3	50%	2-4

In 454 games with totals 43.5–49.5, 52% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 21% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
IND	2-8 20%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
PHI	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Indianapolis Colts

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 20	@ TEN	L20–26LO
Dec 27	vs CIN	L14–34LO
Jan 3	@ CLE	L38–39WO

Philadelphia Eagles

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 19	vs SEA	L17–20LU
Dec 24	vs HOU	No meeting since 2023
Jan 3	@ SF	L19–23LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

The series

IND 3–4 PHI PHI leads · 7 games since 1999 · PHI has won the last 4 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

IND+0.7 →−1.8▼ 2.5#21

PHI+1.1 →−2.3▼ 3.4#24

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

IND

Longer bar = better

PHI

#20

Offense

◀ IND better

#30

#25

Defense

PHI better ▶

#21

−1.3 #32

Turnovers

PHI better ▶

−0.3 #20

67 plays #6

Pace

◀ IND faster

58 plays #28

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When IND has the ball

Even matchup

	IND off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	24.0 #14	22.8 #16	Even
Yards / play	4.67 #24	5.38 #17	PHI
EPA / play	−0.06 #22	+0.08 #27	IND
Success rate	42% #19	45% #25	IND

When PHI has the ball

Advantage: IND defense

	PHI off	IND def	Edge
Points / game	17.7 #29	27.3 #27	Even
Yards / play	4.38 #32	5.97 #28	Even
EPA / play	−0.13 #30	+0.07 #26	Even
Success rate	36% #30	44% #19	IND

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

IND scoring against the PHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
IND scored	3.7 #22	10.0 #4	13.7 #8	3.2 #26	6.7 #19	9.8 #27
PHI allowed	5.0 #17	4.3 #6	9.3 #9	3.8 #9	9.7 #31	13.5 #26

PHI scoring against the IND defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PHI scored	0.5 #32	12.2 #2	12.7 #11	1.0 #32	4.0 #30	5.0 #32
IND allowed	6.2 #27	6.8 #20	13.0 #25	4.5 #15	8.8 #27	13.3 #23

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.