Eagles @ Cardinals: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sun, Dec 6, 2026, 4:05 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Arizona Cardinals

Kickoff forecastIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Philadelphia Eagles

2-4 · Power #24

projected

Sun 4:05 PM ET

Arizona Cardinals

2-4 · Power #28

projected

PHI 76%

24% ARI

Spread

PHI -8.5

Total

43.5

model 43.5

Spread edge

ARI by 8

no lean

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentPHI -8.5

Total43.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

NowPHI -8.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now43.5

Line context

Road favorites of 6.5–10.5 since 2023: won 75%, covered 41% (68 games)ⓘ

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentPHI -8.5

Total43.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like PHI as an 8.5-point road favorite at ARI, the favorite won 5, covered 4, and 7 went over the total.

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games

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 71%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 41%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 60%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 2.3 against an average line of 6.9; 45.9 points a game (usually 47). Of the 7 overs, 3 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	IND @ NYG 2024 · Week 17 · close · similar season form & situation	-7.5	33–45	L	O40.5
Close	HOU @ DAL 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar situation & rest	-7.5	34–10	W	O41.5
Close	NYJ @ NE 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar season form & spread	-7.5	22–25	L	O41.5
Loose	SEA @ LAR 2024 · Week 18 · loose · similar rest & spread	-7.5	30–25	L	O38.5
Loose	NO @ CAR 2024 · Week 9 · loose · similar total & spread	-7.5	22–23	L	O43.5
Loose	PHI @ WSH 2025 · Week 16 · loose · similar total	-7	29–18	W	O43.5
Loose	KC @ NYG 2025 · Week 3 · loose · similar season form & total	-5.5	22–9	W	U44.5
Loose	TB @ MIA 2025 · Week 17 · loose · similar total & situation	-5.5	17–20	L	U44.5
Loose	ATL @ LV 2024 · Week 15 · loose · similar total & situation	-5.5	15–9	W	U43.5
Loose	PHI @ NYG 2025 · Week 6 · loose · similar spread & total	-7.5	17–34	L	O41.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PHI LLWWL	2-4	33%	0-2	0-3
ARI LWLLW	3-3	50%	0-2	3-2

Venue/role: PHI away, as favorite; ARI home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
PHI OUOUU	3-3	50%	2-4
ARI UOOOU	3-3	50%	2-4

In 495 games with totals 40.5–46.5, 52% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 24% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PHI	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
ARI	2-8 20%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Philadelphia Eagles

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 13	vs IND	No meeting since 2023
Dec 19	vs SEA	L17–20LU
Dec 24	vs HOU	No meeting since 2023

Arizona Cardinals

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 20	vs NYJ	W31–6WU
Dec 27	@ NO	W20–13WU
Jan 3	vs LV	No meeting since 2023

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

PHI 8–11 ARI ARI leads · 19 games since 1999 · ARI has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 31 2023	Arizona Cardinals 35 @ Philadelphia Eagles 31	PHI -12.5	ARI W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

PHI+1.1 →−2.3▼ 3.4#24

ARI−1.3 →−2.5▼ 1.2#28

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

PHI

Longer bar = better

ARI

#30

Offense

ARI better ▶

#20

#21

Defense

◀ PHI better

#29

−0.3 #20

Turnovers

ARI better ▶

+0.3 #13

58 plays #28

Pace

ARI faster ▶

67 plays #4

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When PHI has the ball

Even matchup

	PHI off	ARI def	Edge
Points / game	17.7 #29	29.7 #32	Even
Yards / play	4.38 #32	6.01 #30	Even
EPA / play	−0.13 #30	+0.08 #28	Even
Success rate	36% #30	45% #24	ARI

When ARI has the ball

Even matchup

	ARI off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	21.0 #24	22.8 #16	PHI
Yards / play	4.56 #28	5.38 #17	PHI
EPA / play	−0.02 #17	+0.08 #27	ARI
Success rate	46% #11	45% #25	ARI

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

PHI scoring against the ARI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PHI scored	0.5 #32	12.2 #2	12.7 #11	1.0 #32	4.0 #30	5.0 #32
ARI allowed	4.5 #15	9.3 #30	13.8 #31	7.5 #28	8.3 #26	15.8 #29

ARI scoring against the PHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARI scored	5.2 #8	4.7 #26	9.8 #19	4.5 #18	6.7 #19	11.2 #20
PHI allowed	5.0 #17	4.3 #6	9.3 #9	3.8 #9	9.7 #31	13.5 #26

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.