49ers @ Giants: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sun, Dec 6, 2026, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at New York Giants

San Francisco 49ers

6-0 · Power #3

projected

Sun 1:00 PM ET

New York Giants

3-2-1 · Power #22

projected

SF 63%

37% NYG

Spread

SF -3

Total

47.5

model 46.5

Spread edge

SF by 5.5

lean · context

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentSF -3

Total47.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

NowSF -3

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now47.5

Line context

Road favorites of 2–4 since 2023: won 64%, covered 54% (152 games)ⓘ

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentSF -3

Total47.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SF as a 3-point road favorite at NYG, the favorite won 9, covered 8, and 5 went over the total.

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games

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 62%

Favorite covered

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 10.8 against an average line of 3.1; 51.6 points a game (usually 44.8). Of the 5 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	PHI @ LAR 2024 · Week 12 · very close · similar total & situation	-2.5	37–20	W	O47.5
Very close	BUF @ LAR 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar situation & rest	-3.5	42–44	L	O50.5
Very close	BUF @ SEA 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	31–10	W	U45.5
Very close	BUF @ IND 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & season form	-4.5	30–20	W	O46.5
Very close	BAL @ LAC 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3	20–10	W	U49
Very close	GB @ SEA 2024 · Week 15 · very close · similar situation & spread	-2.5	30–13	W	U48.5
Very close	LAR @ CHI 2025 · Postseason · very close · similar spread & rest	-3.5	20–17	L	U49.5
Very close	BAL @ CIN 2024 · Week 5 · very close · similar total & rest	-2.5	41–38	W	O47.5
Close	BUF @ PIT 2025 · Week 13 · close · similar spread & situation	-3	26–7	W	U44.5
Close	GB @ PIT 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & situation	-2.5	35–25	W	O45.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SF WLWWL	4-2	67%	1-0	2-2
NYG LWWWL	4-2	67%	3-1	3-2

Venue/role: SF away, as favorite; NYG home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SF OOUOU	3-3	50%	6-0
NYG UUOOO	4-2	67%	3-2-1

In 394 games with totals 44.5–50.5, 54% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 21% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SF	8-2 80%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%
NYG	5-4-1 56%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

San Francisco 49ers

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 13	vs LAR	W27–7WU
Dec 17	@ LAC	No meeting since 2023
Dec 27	@ KC	L18–28LU

New York Giants

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 13	@ SEA	W29–20WO
Dec 20	vs CLE	W21–15WU
Dec 28	@ DET	L27–34WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

SF 8–7 NYG SF leads · 15 games since 2002 · SF has won the last 3 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 2 2025	San Francisco 49ers 34 @ New York Giants 24	SF -2.5	SF W
Sep 21 2023	New York Giants 12 @ San Francisco 49ers 30	—	—

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SF+0.9 →+3.7▲ 2.8#3

NYG−1.1 →−1.9▼ 0.8#22

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

Longer bar = better

NYG

Offense

◀ SF better

#19

Defense

◀ SF better

#21

+0.2 #16

Turnovers

◀ SF better

−0.3 #21

57 plays #29

Pace

NYG faster ▶

66 plays #8

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SF has the ball

Advantage: SF offense

	SF off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	29.5 #3	23.3 #19	SF
Yards / play	6.40 #3	5.43 #20	SF
EPA / play	+0.21 #1	+0.02 #21	SF
Success rate	53% #1	44% #22	SF

When NYG has the ball

Advantage: SF defense

	NYG off	SF def	Edge
Points / game	22.7 #19	18.3 #4	SF
Yards / play	5.03 #20	4.75 #4	SF
EPA / play	−0.02 #18	−0.06 #6	SF
Success rate	42% #18	43% #16	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

SF scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SF scored	6.2 #4	8.0 #10	14.2 #7	7.3 #5	8.0 #12	15.3 #5
NYG allowed	4.5 #15	5.5 #9	10.0 #11	7.5 #28	5.8 #8	13.3 #23

NYG scoring against the SF defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	3.8 #20	5.8 #21	9.7 #20	5.2 #13	7.8 #13	13.0 #9
SF allowed	2.2 #4	4.2 #5	6.3 #1	4.5 #15	7.5 #19	12.0 #17

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.