Cowboys @ Seahawks: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Mon, Dec 7, 2026, 8:15 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Seattle Seahawks

Dallas Cowboys

2-4 · Power #20

projected

Mon 8:15 PM ET

Seattle Seahawks

3-3 · Power #1

projected

DAL 34%

66% SEA

Spread

SEA -4.5

Total

48.5

model 48

Spread edge

Even

matches market

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Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentSEA -4.5

Total48.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

NowSEA -4.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now48.5

Line context

Home favorites of 3.5–5.5 since 2023: won 65%, covered 49% (153 games)ⓘ

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentSEA -4.5

Total48.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SEA as a 4.5-point home favorite against DAL, the favorite won 9, covered 7, and 6 went over the total.

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games

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 66%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 9.6 against an average line of 4.4; 50 points a game (usually 45.1). Of the 6 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	MIN vs ATL 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar season form & situation	-5.5	42–21	W	O46.5
Very close	LAC vs PIT 2025 · Week 10 · very close · similar situation & season form	-3.5	25–10	W	U45.5
Very close	TB vs ARI 2025 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & situation	-4.5	20–17	L	U45.5
Very close	DEN vs DAL 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & situation	-4.5	44–24	W	O51.5
Very close	WSH vs CHI 2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar total & situation	-5.5	24–25	L	O48.5
Very close	WSH vs ATL 2024 · Week 17 · very close · similar situation & season form	-3.5	30–24	W	O46.5
Very close	SF vs DAL 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & situation	-5.5	30–24	W	O47.5
Very close	HOU vs IND 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & season form	-4.5	23–20	L	U45.5
Close	GB vs MIA 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar situation & total	-3.5	30–17	W	U47.5
Close	DET vs MIN 2023 · Week 18 · close · similar total & season form	-3.5	30–20	W	O47.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DAL WPWLL	2-3-1	40%	1-2	1-0-1
SEA WLPLL	1-3-2	25%	0-1-2	1-3-2

Venue/role: DAL away, as underdog; SEA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
DAL OOOUU	4-2	67%	2-4
SEA UOOOU	3-3	50%	3-3

In 334 games with totals 45.5–51.5, 51% went over; 2% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 23% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DAL	3-7 30%	2-7-1 22%	8-2 80%
SEA	7-3 70%	5-3-2 63%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Dallas Cowboys

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 20	@ LAR	W43–20WO
Dec 27	vs JAX	No meeting since 2023
Jan 3	vs NYG	L20–28LO

Seattle Seahawks

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 13	vs NYG	L20–29LO
Dec 19	@ PHI	W20–17WU
Dec 25	vs LAR	W31–27WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

DAL 7–9 SEA SEA leads · 16 games since 2001 · DAL has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 30 2023	Seattle Seahawks 35 @ Dallas Cowboys 41	DAL -9.5	SEA W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

DAL−0.6 →−1.3▼ 0.7#20

SEA+3.2 →+4.3▲ 1.1#1

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

DAL

Longer bar = better

SEA

#11

Offense

◀ DAL better

#19

#30

Defense

SEA better ▶

−0.7 #27

Turnovers

SEA better ▶

−0.2 #19

63 plays #15

Pace

Even

63 plays #12

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When DAL has the ball

Advantage: SEA defense

	DAL off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	25.2 #12	20.3 #6	SEA
Yards / play	5.49 #13	3.96 #1	SEA
EPA / play	+0.08 #8	−0.13 #2	SEA
Success rate	47% #9	37% #2	SEA

When SEA has the ball

Advantage: SEA offense

	SEA off	DAL def	Edge
Points / game	24.7 #13	26.5 #25	SEA
Yards / play	5.26 #17	6.04 #31	SEA
EPA / play	−0.08 #24	+0.16 #32	SEA
Success rate	41% #22	49% #32	SEA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

DAL scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DAL scored	5.0 #11	3.8 #27	8.8 #24	7.7 #4	8.7 #7	16.3 #3
SEA allowed	2.8 #7	9.2 #28	12.0 #20	2.8 #3	5.0 #6	7.8 #3

SEA scoring against the DAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	4.0 #18	4.8 #25	8.8 #24	7.2 #6	8.7 #7	15.8 #4
DAL allowed	5.2 #22	8.3 #24	13.5 #27	7.3 #27	5.7 #7	13.0 #21

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.