Eagles @ Cowboys: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2026)

Thu, Nov 26, 2026, 4:30 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Dallas Cowboys · Division game

Kickoff forecastIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Philadelphia Eagles

2-4 · Power #24

projected

Thu 4:30 PM ET

Dallas Cowboys

2-4 · Power #20

projected

PHI 44%

56% DAL

Spread

DAL -1.5

Total

49.5

model 47

Spread edge

DAL by 1.5

no lean

Pick this game

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Spread

Total

Winner

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentDAL -1.5

Total49.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

NowDAL -1.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now49.5

Line context

Home favorites of 0.5–2.5 since 2023: won 57%, covered 52% (122 games)ⓘ

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentDAL -1.5

Total49.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like DAL as a 1.5-point home favorite against PHI, the favorite won 4, covered 3, and 6 went over the total.

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Favorite won

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 58%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 53%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 2.3 against an average line of 2.5; 47.1 points a game (usually 44.5). Of the 6 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	LAR vs MIA 2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar total & season form	-2.5	15–23	L	U50.5
Close	NO vs ATL 2026 · Week 4 · close · similar spread & total	-1.5	24–45	L	O48.5
Close	ARI vs LAR 2024 · Week 2 · close · similar spread & season form	-1.5	41–10	W	O47.5
Close	NYJ vs DAL 2025 · Week 5 · close · similar season form & spread	-2.5	22–37	L	O47.5
Close	ATL vs DAL 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar season form & total	-3.5	27–21	W	U51.5
Close	SF vs LAR 2024 · Week 15 · close · similar rest & total	-2.5	6–12	L	U48.5
Close	LV vs CHI 2025 · Week 4 · close · similar season form & spread	-2.5	24–25	L	O46.5
Close	DAL vs LAC 2025 · Week 16 · close · similar spread & total	-1.5	17–34	L	O50.5
Close	HOU vs DEN 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar situation	-3	22–17	W	U47
Close	IND vs JAX 2024 · Week 18 · close · similar situation & season form	-3.5	26–23	L	O45.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PHI LLWWL	2-4	33%	0-2	2-1
DAL WPWLL	2-3-1	40%	1-1	1-3

Venue/role: PHI away, as underdog; DAL home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
PHI OUOUU	3-3	50%	2-4
DAL OOOUU	4-2	67%	2-4

In 279 games with totals 46.5–52.5, 53% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 22% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PHI	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
DAL	3-7 30%	2-7-1 22%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Philadelphia Eagles

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 6	@ ARI	L31–35LO
Dec 13	vs IND	No meeting since 2023
Dec 19	vs SEA	L17–20LU

Dallas Cowboys

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 7	@ SEA	W41–35LO
Dec 20	@ LAR	W43–20WO
Dec 27	vs JAX	No meeting since 2023

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

PHI 29–26 DAL PHI leads · 55 games since 1999 · DAL has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 23 2025	Philadelphia Eagles 21 @ Dallas Cowboys 24	PHI -2.5	DAL W
Sep 4 2025	Dallas Cowboys 20 @ Philadelphia Eagles 24	PHI -7.5	DAL W
Dec 29 2024	Dallas Cowboys 7 @ Philadelphia Eagles 41	PHI -7.5	PHI W
Nov 10 2024	Philadelphia Eagles 34 @ Dallas Cowboys 6	PHI -7.5	PHI W
Dec 10 2023	Philadelphia Eagles 13 @ Dallas Cowboys 33	DAL -3.5	DAL W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

PHI+1.1 →−2.3▼ 3.4#24

DAL−0.6 →−1.3▼ 0.7#20

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

PHI

Longer bar = better

DAL

#30

Offense

DAL better ▶

#11

#21

Defense

◀ PHI better

#30

−0.3 #20

Turnovers

◀ PHI better

−0.7 #27

58 plays #28

Pace

DAL faster ▶

63 plays #15

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When PHI has the ball

Even matchup

	PHI off	DAL def	Edge
Points / game	17.7 #29	26.5 #25	Even
Yards / play	4.38 #32	6.04 #31	Even
EPA / play	−0.13 #30	+0.16 #32	Even
Success rate	36% #30	49% #32	Even

When DAL has the ball

Advantage: DAL offense

	DAL off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	25.2 #12	22.8 #16	Even
Yards / play	5.49 #13	5.38 #17	Even
EPA / play	+0.08 #8	+0.08 #27	DAL
Success rate	47% #9	45% #25	DAL

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

PHI scoring against the DAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PHI scored	0.5 #32	12.2 #2	12.7 #11	1.0 #32	4.0 #30	5.0 #32
DAL allowed	5.2 #22	8.3 #24	13.5 #27	7.3 #27	5.7 #7	13.0 #21

DAL scoring against the PHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DAL scored	5.0 #11	3.8 #27	8.8 #24	7.7 #4	8.7 #7	16.3 #3
PHI allowed	5.0 #17	4.3 #6	9.3 #9	3.8 #9	9.7 #31	13.5 #26

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.