Giants @ Seahawks: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2026)

Sun, Dec 13, 2026, 4:25 PM ESTWeek 14 · at Seattle Seahawks

New York Giants

3-2-1 · Power #22

projected

Sun 4:25 PM ET

Seattle Seahawks

3-3 · Power #1

projected

NYG 25%

75% SEA

Spread

SEA -7.5

Total

45.5

model 43.5

Spread edge

NYG by 1

no lean

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentSEA -7.5

Total45.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

NowSEA -7.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now45.5

Line context

Home favorites of 6.5–8.5 since 2023: won 71%, covered 49% (125 games)ⓘ

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentSEA -7.5

Total45.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SEA as a 7.5-point home favorite against NYG, the favorite won 9, covered 6, and 7 went over the total.

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games

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 72%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 45%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 60%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 10.6 against an average line of 7.4; 48.4 points a game (usually 47). Of the 7 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	KC vs CIN 2023 · Week 17 · very close · similar spread & situation	-7.5	25–17	W	U46
Very close	PHI vs CHI 2025 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & season form	-7	15–24	L	U43.5
Very close	PHI vs NYG 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7.5	38–20	W	O43.5
Very close	SEA vs ARI 2025 · Week 10 · very close · similar spread & total	-7.5	44–22	W	O44.5
Very close	NE vs NYG 2025 · Week 13 · very close · similar situation & spread	-7	33–15	W	O46.5
Very close	KC vs TB 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & season form	-8.5	30–24	L	O45.5
Very close	PHI vs JAX 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & rest	-7.5	28–23	L	O46.5
Very close	PHI vs LAR 2024 · Postseason · very close · similar spread & rest	-7.5	28–22	L	O43.5
Very close	GB vs ARI 2024 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & total	-6.5	34–13	W	O46.5
Very close	SF vs CAR 2025 · Week 12 · very close · similar situation & spread	-7	20–9	W	U48.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NYG LWWWL	4-2	67%	1-1	3-2
SEA WLPLL	1-3-2	25%	0-1-2	1-3-2

Venue/role: NYG away, as underdog; SEA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NYG UUOOO	4-2	67%	3-2-1
SEA UOOOU	3-3	50%	3-3

In 491 games with totals 42.5–48.5, 52% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 24% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NYG	5-4-1 56%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%
SEA	7-3 70%	5-3-2 63%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

New York Giants

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 20	vs CLE	W21–15WU
Dec 28	@ DET	L27–34WO
Jan 3	@ DAL	W28–20WO

Seattle Seahawks

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 19	@ PHI	W20–17WU
Dec 25	vs LAR	W31–27WO
Jan 3	@ CAR	W27–10WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

NYG 6–8 SEA SEA leads · 14 games since 2001 · NYG has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 6 2024	New York Giants 29 @ Seattle Seahawks 20	SEA -7.5	NYG W
Oct 2 2023	Seattle Seahawks 24 @ New York Giants 3	—	—

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NYG−1.1 →−1.9▼ 0.8#22

SEA+3.2 →+4.3▲ 1.1#1

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

NYG

Longer bar = better

SEA

#19

Offense

Even

#19

#21

Defense

SEA better ▶

−0.3 #21

Turnovers

Even

−0.2 #19

66 plays #8

Pace

◀ NYG faster

63 plays #12

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NYG has the ball

Advantage: SEA defense

	NYG off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	22.7 #19	20.3 #6	SEA
Yards / play	5.03 #20	3.96 #1	SEA
EPA / play	−0.02 #18	−0.13 #2	SEA
Success rate	42% #18	37% #2	SEA

When SEA has the ball

Even matchup

	SEA off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	24.7 #13	23.3 #19	SEA
Yards / play	5.26 #17	5.43 #20	Even
EPA / play	−0.08 #24	+0.02 #21	Even
Success rate	41% #22	44% #22	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

NYG scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	3.8 #20	5.8 #21	9.7 #20	5.2 #13	7.8 #13	13.0 #9
SEA allowed	2.8 #7	9.2 #28	12.0 #20	2.8 #3	5.0 #6	7.8 #3

SEA scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	4.0 #18	4.8 #25	8.8 #24	7.2 #6	8.7 #7	15.8 #4
NYG allowed	4.5 #15	5.5 #9	10.0 #11	7.5 #28	5.8 #8	13.3 #23

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.