Seahawks @ Cowboys: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2023)

Thu, Nov 30, 2023, 8:15 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Dallas Cowboys

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Seattle Seahawks

6-5 · Power #20

final

Final

Dallas Cowboys

8-3 · Power #3

▲ winner

Closing spread

DAL -9.5

✓ SEA W

Total

47.5

▲ Over · 76 pts

Model before kickoff

SEA 21–31 DAL

✓ DAL (81%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseDAL -9.5

Total47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseDAL -9.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close47.5

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseDAL -9.5

Total47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like DAL as a 9.5-point home favorite against SEA, the favorite won 9, covered 6, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: DAL won 41–35; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 76 points went over 47.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 85%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 13.6 against an average line of 10; 45.2 points a game (usually 46.6). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	BUF vs GB 2022 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & season form	-10.5	27–17	L	U47
Very close	DAL vs WSH 2021 · Week 16 · very close · similar spread & situation	-10	56–14	W	O46
Close	DAL vs DEN 2021 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & spread	-10	16–30	L	U50
Close	DAL vs NYG 2022 · Week 12 · close · similar spread & situation	-10	28–20	L	O45.5
Close	NO vs CHI 2020 · Postseason · close · similar rest & total	-11	21–9	W	U48
Close	KC vs SEA 2022 · Week 16 · close · similar spread & rest	-10	24–10	W	U50
Close	BUF vs TB 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & team ratings	-10	24–18	L	U43
Close	KC vs JAX 2022 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & rest	-9.5	27–17	W	U51
Close	BUF vs TEN 2022 · Week 2 · close · similar total & spread	-10	41–7	W	O47.5
Close	GB vs PHI 2020 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & situation	-8.5	30–16	W	U50

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SEA PLLWL	2-4-1	33%	1-2	1-3
DAL WLWWW	5-1	83%	3-0	5-0

Venue/role: SEA away, as underdog; DAL home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SEA OUOUO	3-4	43%	6-5
DAL OOOUO	4-2	67%	8-3

Went over in Q3. Of 17 earlier overs in games with totals 44.5–50.5, 12% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SEA	6-4 60%	2-4-1 33%	3-4 43%
DAL	7-3 70%	5-1 83%	4-2 67%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

SEA 9–7 DAL SEA leads · 16 games since 2001 · DAL has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SEA−7.8 →−0.8▲ 7.0#17

DAL+9.1 →+6.1▼ 3.0#2

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

SEA

Longer bar = better

DAL

#14

Offense

DAL better ▶

#18

Defense

DAL better ▶

+0.2 #14

Turnovers

DAL better ▶

+0.6 #5

60 plays #28

Pace

DAL faster ▶

65 plays #8

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SEA has the ball

Advantage: DAL defense

	SEA off	DAL def	Edge
Points / game	20.8 #19	16.8 #4	DAL
Yards / play	5.33 #14	4.65 #3	DAL
EPA / play	−0.01 #13	−0.17 #2	DAL
Success rate	44% #9	42% #9	Even

When DAL has the ball

Advantage: DAL offense

	DAL off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	31.5 #1	22.6 #22	DAL
Yards / play	5.77 #7	5.17 #12	DAL
EPA / play	+0.11 #4	−0.03 #16	DAL
Success rate	46% #6	43% #20	DAL

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

SEA scoring against the DAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	5.8 #7	4.6 #25	10.5 #20	4.8 #10	5.0 #22	9.8 #18
DAL allowed	3.3 #8	5.6 #8	8.9 #6	4.2 #16	3.7 #3	7.9 #3

DAL scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DAL scored	8.0 #1	11.5 #2	19.5 #1	3.5 #22	8.5 #3	12.1 #7
SEA allowed	4.3 #14	7.7 #21	12.0 #18	3.5 #11	7.1 #26	10.6 #20

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.