Colts @ Titans: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 15, 2026)

Sun, Dec 20, 2026, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 15 · at Tennessee Titans · Division game

Indianapolis Colts

2-4 · Power #21

projected

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Tennessee Titans

1-5 · Power #32

projected

IND 67%

33% TEN

Spread

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Total

—

model 44

Model line

IND -5

IND 67% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

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no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
IND WWWLL	3-3	50%	1-1	—
TEN WLWLW	3-3	50%	1-2	—

Venue/role: IND away; TEN home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
IND OUUOO	4-2	67%	2-4
TEN OUOUO	3-3	50%	1-5

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
IND	2-8 20%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
TEN	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Indianapolis Colts

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 27	vs CIN	L14–34LO
Jan 3	@ CLE	L38–39WO
Jan 10	vs JAX	L17–23LU

Tennessee Titans

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 27	@ LV	L10–20LU
Jan 3	vs PIT	L16–20LP
Jan 10	@ HOU	L3–26LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

IND 34–16 TEN IND leads · 50 games since 1999 · TEN has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 18 2026	Tennessee Titans 26 @ Indianapolis Colts 20	IND -6.5	TEN W
Oct 26 2025	Tennessee Titans 14 @ Indianapolis Colts 38	IND -14.5	IND W
Sep 21 2025	Indianapolis Colts 41 @ Tennessee Titans 20	IND -5.5	IND W
Dec 22 2024	Tennessee Titans 30 @ Indianapolis Colts 38	IND -4.5	IND W
Oct 13 2024	Indianapolis Colts 20 @ Tennessee Titans 17	TEN -2.5	IND W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

IND+0.7 →−1.8▼ 2.5#21

TEN−3.1 →−5.8▼ 2.7#32

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW14

IND

Longer bar = better

TEN

#20

Offense

◀ IND better

#29

#25

Defense

TEN better ▶

#17

−1.3 #32

Turnovers

TEN better ▶

−0.5 #24

67 plays #6

Pace

◀ IND faster

53 plays #32

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When IND has the ball

Even matchup

	IND off	TEN def	Edge
Points / game	24.0 #14	21.5 #13	Even
Yards / play	4.67 #24	5.21 #15	TEN
EPA / play	−0.06 #22	+0.04 #23	Even
Success rate	42% #19	43% #15	Even

When TEN has the ball

Even matchup

	TEN off	IND def	Edge
Points / game	14.0 #31	27.3 #27	Even
Yards / play	4.46 #30	5.97 #28	Even
EPA / play	−0.15 #31	+0.07 #26	IND
Success rate	40% #24	44% #19	IND

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

IND scoring against the TEN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
IND scored	3.7 #22	10.0 #4	13.7 #8	3.2 #26	6.7 #19	9.8 #27
TEN allowed	3.3 #10	10.3 #32	13.7 #29	3.8 #9	4.0 #3	7.8 #3

TEN scoring against the IND defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEN scored	3.3 #23	0.5 #32	3.8 #32	2.7 #27	7.5 #16	10.2 #26
IND allowed	6.2 #27	6.8 #20	13.0 #25	4.5 #15	8.8 #27	13.3 #23

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.