Titans @ Colts: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2026)

Sun, Oct 18, 2026, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 6 · at Indianapolis Colts · Division game

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Tennessee Titans

0-5 · Power #32

▲ winner

Final

Indianapolis Colts

2-3 · Power #21

final

Closing spread

IND -6.5

✓ TEN W

Total

43.5

▲ Over · 46 pts

Model before kickoff

TEN 19–25 IND

✗ IND (73%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenIND -3.5

CloseIND -6.5

Total48.5 → 43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Game recap · 1:29

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts: game recap

Made automatically (Oct 19, 11:40 AM ET). The “Model before kickoff” score on this card was updated after the video was made, so the video quotes an older one.

Watch on YouTube ↗More game recaps ›

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenIND -3.5

3 → IND

CloseIND -6.5

3 pts toward Indianapolis Colts

Total

Open48.5

▼ 5

Close43.5

Down 5 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened IND -3.5 · closed IND -6.5 · moved 3 toward INDmodel IND -7.5

model IND -7.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 5.5–7.5 since 2023: won 71%, covered 50% (146 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 46% (80 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenIND -3.5

CloseIND -6.5

Total48.5 → 43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Books

9 sportsbooks · prices at kickoff

SpreadTotalMoneyline

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	TEN	IND	Over	Under	TEN	IND
BetMGMMGM	+6.5-108	-6.5-105	43.5-110	43.5-108	+250	-300
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	+6.5-110	-6.5-110	43.5-115	43.5-105	+256	-315
BetRiversBetRivers	+6.5-114	-6.5-108	43.5-113	43.5-109	+255	-335
BetUSBetUS	+6.5-110	-6.5-110	43.5-110	43.5-110	+240	-290
BovadaBovada	+6.5-115	-6.5-105	43.5-110	43.5-110	+255	-310
DraftKingsDK	+6.5-115	-6.5-105	43.5-112	43.5-108	+240	-298
FanDuelFD	+6.5-110	-6.5-110	43.5-115	43.5-105	+250	-310
LowVig.agLowVig.ag	+6.5-108	-6.5-102	43.5-113	43.5-102	+256	-315
MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag	+6.5-110	-6.5-110	43.5-110	43.5-110	+251	-309

Last prices before kickoff from ESPN’s odds feed and The Odds API. Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Each row is that book’s own last price, so it can differ from the closing line on this card. Prices vary by state; check your book.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like IND as a 6.5-point home favorite against TEN, the favorite won 5, covered 3, and 4 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: TEN won 26–20 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 46 points went over 43.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 72%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 55%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 3.9 against an average line of 6.6; 44.9 points a game (usually 46.3). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	CIN vs NYJ 2025 · Week 8 · close	-5.5	38–39	L	O43.5
Loose	PHI vs ATL 2024 · Week 2 · loose	-5.5	21–22	L	U46.5
Loose	LAR vs LV 2024 · Week 7 · loose · similar team ratings & season form	-7.5	20–15	L	U43.5
Loose	MIA vs LV 2024 · Week 11 · loose · similar season form	-8.5	34–19	W	O43.5
Loose	CHI vs NYG 2025 · Week 10 · loose · similar rest & total	-4.5	24–20	L	U44.5
Loose	NO vs NYJ 2025 · Week 16 · loose · similar rest & spread	-7	29–6	W	U39.5
Loose	BAL vs LV 2024 · Week 2 · loose · similar season form	-8.5	23–26	L	O42.5
Loose	WSH vs NYG 2023 · Week 11 · loose · similar rest & season form	-7.5	19–31	L	O39
Loose	PIT vs ARI 2023 · Week 13 · loose · similar rest & season form	-6	10–24	L	U41
Loose	HOU vs TEN 2023 · Week 17 · loose · similar rest & situation	-5.5	26–3	W	U44

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TEN LWLWL	2-3	40%	1-1	2-2
IND LWWWL	3-2	60%	1-1	1-0

Venue/role: TEN away, as underdog; IND home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TEN UOUOU	2-3	40%	0-5
IND OOUUO	3-2	60%	2-3

Went over in Q4. Of 252 earlier overs in games with totals 40.5–46.5, 24% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TEN	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%
IND	2-8 20%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

TEN 16–34 IND IND leads · 50 games since 1999 · TEN has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 26 2025	Tennessee Titans 14 @ Indianapolis Colts 38	IND -14.5	IND W
Sep 21 2025	Indianapolis Colts 41 @ Tennessee Titans 20	IND -5.5	IND W
Dec 22 2024	Tennessee Titans 30 @ Indianapolis Colts 38	IND -4.5	IND W
Oct 13 2024	Indianapolis Colts 20 @ Tennessee Titans 17	TEN -2.5	IND W
Dec 3 2023	Indianapolis Colts 31 @ Tennessee Titans 28	IND -1	IND W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TEN−3.1 →−5.8▼ 2.7#32

IND+0.7 →−1.7▼ 2.4#23

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

TEN

Longer bar = better

IND

#30

Offense

IND better ▶

#20

#17

Defense

◀ TEN better

#27

−1.0 #28

Turnovers

Even

−1.2 #31

55 plays #32

Pace

IND faster ▶

64 plays #9

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TEN has the ball

Even matchup

	TEN off	IND def	Edge
Points / game	11.6 #32	27.6 #27	IND
Yards / play	4.51 #30	6.24 #31	Even
EPA / play	−0.15 #31	+0.10 #27	Even
Success rate	41% #25	44% #23	Even

When IND has the ball

Even matchup

	IND off	TEN def	Edge
Points / game	24.8 #10	21.8 #12	Even
Yards / play	4.56 #28	5.23 #14	TEN
EPA / play	−0.05 #22	+0.08 #25	Even
Success rate	42% #19	44% #18	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

TEN scoring against the IND defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEN scored	4.0 #19	0.6 #32	4.6 #32	2.0 #31	5.0 #25	7.0 #31
IND allowed	7.4 #32	8.2 #23	15.6 #32	4.2 #12	6.6 #13	10.8 #10

IND scoring against the TEN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
IND scored	4.4 #16	9.4 #7	13.8 #5	3.8 #22	6.6 #18	10.4 #24
TEN allowed	4.0 #13	9.8 #30	13.8 #28	4.6 #17	3.4 #3	8.0 #4

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.