Browns @ Titans: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2026)

Sun, Oct 25, 2026, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Tennessee Titans

Kickoff forecast73°F3 mphDryWeather watch ›

Cleveland Browns

4-2 · Power #30

projected

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Tennessee Titans

1-5 · Power #32

projected

CLE 59%

41% TEN

Spread

CLE -2.5

earliest TEN -2.5

Total

36.5

model 37.5

Spread edge

Even

matches market

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

1H spread

1H total

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 6:54 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenTEN -2.5

CurrentCLE -2.5

Total40.5 → 36.5

Last update6:54 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

OpenTEN -2.5

5 → CLE

NowCLE -2.5

5 pts toward Cleveland Browns

Total

Open40.5

▼ 4

Now36.5

Down 4 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened TEN -2.5 · now CLE -1.5 · moved 4 toward CLEmodel CLE -2.5

model CLE -2.5

Openline modelNow

Line watch · Already at the modelModel vs the opening line: CLE by 5.0 pts (open +2.5, now -2.5). In 2025–2026, with a 4+ pt gap, lines moved toward the ratings in 67.6% of the 37 games where the line moved (44 at that gap), but those sides covered 27.3% at the opener, below the 52.4% break-even: it predicts the line, not the result.

Line context

Road favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 60%, covered 51% (187 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 3.5+ pts toward the favorite: that team covered 54% (70 games since 2024)ⓘ

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 6:54 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenTEN -2.5

CurrentCLE -2.5

Total40.5 → 36.5

Last update6:54 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Books

9 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotalMoneyline

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	CLE	TEN	Over	Under	CLE	TEN
BetMGMMGM	-1.5-110	+1.5-108	37.5-105	37.5-112	-130	+105
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	-1-120	+1+100	37.5-105	37.5-115	-128	+108
BetRiversBetRivers	-1.5-113	+1.5-109	37.5-109	37.5-113	-127	+102
BetUSBetUS	-1-120	+1+100	37.5-105	37.5-115	-130	+110
BovadaBovada	-1.5-110	+1.5-110	37.5-105	37.5-115	-130	+110
DraftKingsDK	-2.5-108	+2.5-112	36.5-118	36.5-102	-135	+114
FanDuelFD	-1.5-110	+1.5-110	37.5-105	37.5-115	-122	+104
LowVig.agLowVig.ag	-1-116	+1+105	37.5-102	37.5-113	-128	+108
MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag	-2-110	+2-110	37-110	37-110	-131	+107

Prices from ESPN’s odds feed and The Odds API, updated 6:54 PM ET. Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

1st-half prices

7 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotal

Book	Spread		Total
Book	CLE	TEN	Over	Under
BetMGMMGM	-0.5+100	+0.5-120	28.5+525	28.5-800
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	-0.5+100	+0.5-120	18.5-110	18.5-110
BetRiversBetRivers	-0.5+100	+0.5-124	19.5-114	19.5-108
BetUSBetUS	-0.5+100	+0.5-120	18.5-110	18.5-110
BovadaBovada	-0.5+105	+0.5-125	19-110	19-110
DraftKingsDK	-0.5-102	+0.5-118	18.5-112	18.5-108
FanDuelFD	-1.5+120	+1.5-140	19.5-105	19.5-115

Prices from The Odds API’s 1st-half markets (graded on the halftime score). Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money

Spread

CLE -2.5

TEN +2.5

Bets72% 28%

Money55% 45%

Money is 17 pts ahead of bets on TEN +2.5

Winner

CLE

TEN

Bets82% 18%

Money89% 12%

Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read Thu, Oct 22, 4:27 AM ET. ⓘ

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CLE as a 2.5-point road favorite at TEN, the favorite won 5, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.

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games

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 61%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 2.3 against an average line of 2.8; 34.9 points a game (usually 44.7). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	DEN @ LAC 2026 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & spread	-3	23–17	W	U42.5
Close	LV @ NO 2024 · Week 17 · close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	25–10	W	U37.5
Loose	TEN @ JAX 2024 · Week 17 · loose · similar rest & situation	-1.5	13–20	L	U38.5
Loose	GB @ CAR 2023 · Week 16 · loose · similar rest & season form	-3.5	33–30	L	O39.5
Loose	ATL @ NYJ 2023 · Week 13 · loose · similar rest & season form	-2	13–8	W	U33
Loose	ATL @ CAR 2023 · Week 15 · loose · similar rest & team ratings	-2.5	7–9	L	U32.5
Loose	CIN @ PIT 2023 · Week 16 · loose · similar rest & season form	-3	11–34	L	O39
Loose	ATL @ TEN 2023 · Week 8 · loose · similar situation & season form	-2.5	23–28	L	O35
Loose	TB @ CAR 2023 · Week 18 · loose · similar rest & season form	-4.5	9–0	W	U36.5
Loose	HOU @ NYJ 2023 · Week 14 · loose · similar rest & situation	-3	6–30	L	O33.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CLE WWWLW	4-2	67%	1-2	—
TEN WLWLW	3-3	50%	1-2	3-2

Venue/role: CLE away, as favorite; TEN home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CLE OUOUU	3-3	50%	4-2
TEN OUOUO	3-3	50%	1-5

In 125 games with totals 33.5–39.5, 50% went over; 6% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CLE	6-4 60%	7-3 70%	4-6 40%
TEN	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Cleveland Browns

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 1	@ PIT	W27–24WO
Nov 8	@ NO	L14–35LO
Nov 15	vs HOU	L14–45LO

Tennessee Titans

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 1	@ CIN	L27–37LO
Nov 15	vs JAX	L7–41LO
Nov 22	@ DAL	No meeting since 2023

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

CLE 7–11 TEN TEN leads · 18 games since 1999 · TEN has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 7 2025	Tennessee Titans 31 @ Cleveland Browns 29	CLE -4.5	TEN W
Sep 24 2023	Tennessee Titans 3 @ Cleveland Browns 27	—	—

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CLE−1.8 →−2.8▼ 1.0#30

TEN−3.1 →−5.8▼ 2.7#32

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

CLE

Longer bar = better

TEN

#27

Offense

Even

#29

#10

Defense

◀ CLE better

#17

0.0 #17

Turnovers

◀ CLE better

−0.5 #24

59 plays #26

Pace

◀ CLE faster

53 plays #32

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CLE has the ball

Advantage: TEN defense

	CLE off	TEN def	Edge
Points / game	17.7 #28	21.5 #13	TEN
Yards / play	4.53 #29	5.21 #15	TEN
EPA / play	−0.09 #26	+0.04 #23	Even
Success rate	40% #26	43% #15	TEN

When TEN has the ball

Advantage: CLE defense

	TEN off	CLE def	Edge
Points / game	14.0 #31	20.3 #5	CLE
Yards / play	4.46 #30	5.03 #10	CLE
EPA / play	−0.15 #31	−0.03 #13	CLE
Success rate	40% #24	42% #10	CLE

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

CLE scoring against the TEN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLE scored	1.0 #30	6.2 #17	7.2 #26	2.7 #27	7.8 #13	10.5 #24
TEN allowed	3.3 #10	10.3 #32	13.7 #29	3.8 #9	4.0 #3	7.8 #3

TEN scoring against the CLE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEN scored	3.3 #23	0.5 #32	3.8 #32	2.7 #27	7.5 #16	10.2 #26
CLE allowed	7.3 #32	3.2 #1	10.5 #14	3.8 #9	6.0 #9	9.8 #7

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.