Giants @ Texans: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2026)

Sun, Oct 25, 2026, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Houston Texans

Kickoff forecastIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

New York Giants

3-2-1 · Power #22

projected

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Houston Texans

2-4 · Power #11

projected

NYG 18%

82% HOU

Spread

HOU -10.5

earliest HOU -5.5

Total

42.5

model 44

Spread edge

NYG by 3

lean · context

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

1H spread

1H total

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 6:34 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenHOU -5.5

CurrentHOU -10.5

Total43.5 → 42.5

Last update6:34 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

OpenHOU -5.5

5 → HOU

NowHOU -10.5

5 pts toward Houston Texans

Total

Open43.5

▼ 1

Now42.5

Down 1 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened HOU -5.5 · now HOU -10.5 · moved 5 toward HOUmodel HOU -7.5

model HOU -7.5

Openline modelNow

Line context

Home favorites of 8.5–12.5 since 2023: won 75%, covered 50% (64 games)ⓘ

Crossed 7The team the line moved toward covered 31% (55 games since 2024)ⓘ

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 6:34 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenHOU -5.5

CurrentHOU -10.5

Total43.5 → 42.5

Last update6:34 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Books

9 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotalMoneyline

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	NYG	HOU	Over	Under	NYG	HOU
BetMGMMGM	+10.5-110	-10.5-108	42.5-110	42.5-108	+380	-500
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	+10.5-113	-10.5-107	42.5-107	42.5-113	+370	-480
BetRiversBetRivers	+10-107	-10-114	42.5-109	42.5-112	+375	-500
BetUSBetUS	+10.5-115	-10.5-105	42.5-105	42.5-115	+378	-480
BovadaBovada	+10.5-115	-10.5-105	42.5-115	42.5-105	+355	-490
DraftKingsDK	+10.5-112	-10.5-108	42.5-112	42.5-108	+390	-520
FanDuelFD	+10.5-115	-10.5-105	43.5-102	43.5-120	+410	-550
LowVig.agLowVig.ag	+10.5-108	-10.5-102	42.5-104	42.5-110	+370	-480
MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag	+10-110	-10-110	42.5-110	42.5-110	+380	-526

Prices from ESPN’s odds feed and The Odds API, updated 6:34 PM ET. Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

1st-half prices

7 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotal

Book	Spread		Total
Book	NYG	HOU	Over	Under
BetMGMMGM	+5.5-105	-5.5-112	31.5+525	31.5-800
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	+4.5-105	-4.5-115	21.5-110	21.5-110
BetRiversBetRivers	+5.5-109	-5.5-114	21.5-106	21.5-118
BetUSBetUS	+4.5-105	-4.5-115	21.5-110	21.5-110
BovadaBovada	+4.5-105	-4.5-115	21.5-110	21.5-110
DraftKingsDK	+4.5-108	-4.5-112	21.5-105	21.5-115
FanDuelFD	+5.5+100	-5.5-120	21.5-110	21.5-110

Prices from The Odds API’s 1st-half markets (graded on the halftime score). Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money

Spread

NYG +10.5

HOU -10.5

Bets62% 38%

Money39% 61%

Money is 23 pts ahead of bets on HOU -10.5

Winner

NYG

HOU

Bets12% 88%

Money66% 34%

Money is 54 pts ahead of bets on NYG

Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read Thu, Oct 22, 4:27 AM ET. ⓘ

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like HOU as a 10.5-point home favorite against NYG, the favorite won 7, covered 6, and 3 went over the total.

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games

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 86%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 58%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 12.7 against an average line of 10.7; 41.5 points a game (usually 46.8). Of the 3 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	HOU vs ARI 2025 · Week 15 · very close · similar rest & situation	-10.5	40–20	W	O42.5
Close	LAR vs SF 2025 · Week 5 · close · similar season form	-8.5	23–26	L	O43.5
Close	KC vs HOU 2024 · Postseason · close · similar total & season form	-9.5	23–14	L	U41.5
Close	CIN vs CLE 2024 · Week 16 · close · similar rest	-10.5	24–6	W	U46.5
Loose	JAX vs CIN 2023 · Week 13 · loose · similar rest & season form	-10	31–34	L	O41
Loose	DEN vs KC 2024 · Week 18 · loose	-11.5	38–0	W	U40.5
Loose	NE vs NYJ 2025 · Week 11 · loose · similar total	-12.5	27–14	W	U42.5
Loose	KC vs LV 2023 · Week 16 · loose · similar season form & team ratings	-11	14–20	L	U40.5
Loose	KC vs LV 2025 · Week 7 · loose · similar rest	-13.5	31–0	W	U45.5
Loose	SEA vs ARI 2023 · Week 7 · loose · similar rest	-9.5	20–10	W	U43.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NYG LWWWL	4-2	67%	1-1	3-2
HOU LLLWW	2-4	33%	0-3	1-3

Venue/role: NYG away, as underdog; HOU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NYG UUOOO	4-2	67%	3-2-1
HOU UUOUO	3-3	50%	2-4

In 460 games with totals 39.5–45.5, 52% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 23% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NYG	5-4-1 56%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%
HOU	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

New York Giants

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 8	@ PHI	L20–38LO
Nov 12	vs WSH	T27–27WO
Nov 22	vs JAX	No meeting since 2023

Houston Texans

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 8	@ LAC	W20–16WU
Nov 15	@ CLE	W45–14WO
Nov 19	vs IND	L17–19LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

The series

NYG 5–1 HOU NYG leads · 6 games since 2002 · NYG has won the last 5 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NYG−1.1 →−1.9▼ 0.8#22

HOU+2.4 →+1.6▼ 0.8#11

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

NYG

Longer bar = better

HOU

#19

Offense

HOU better ▶

#14

#21

Defense

HOU better ▶

#15

−0.3 #21

Turnovers

HOU better ▶

+0.5 #11

66 plays #8

Pace

◀ NYG faster

63 plays #14

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NYG has the ball

Even matchup

	NYG off	HOU def	Edge
Points / game	22.7 #19	23.8 #20	Even
Yards / play	5.03 #20	5.18 #14	HOU
EPA / play	−0.02 #18	0.00 #18	Even
Success rate	42% #18	41% #6	HOU

When HOU has the ball

Advantage: HOU offense

	HOU off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	24.0 #15	23.3 #19	Even
Yards / play	5.66 #11	5.43 #20	HOU
EPA / play	+0.04 #13	+0.02 #21	HOU
Success rate	43% #16	44% #22	HOU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

NYG scoring against the HOU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	3.8 #20	5.8 #21	9.7 #20	5.2 #13	7.8 #13	13.0 #9
HOU allowed	2.0 #3	9.2 #28	11.2 #16	5.7 #22	7.0 #17	12.7 #18

HOU scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
HOU scored	4.5 #14	8.2 #9	12.7 #11	5.2 #13	6.2 #21	11.3 #18
NYG allowed	4.5 #15	5.5 #9	10.0 #11	7.5 #28	5.8 #8	13.3 #23

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.

Game conditions

Before kickoff

Home field

HOU +1.8

home-field points in the model

Weather

Indoors

Dome or closed roof

Rest

NYG7d

HOU7d

Even

Tempo

Average 129 plays

slowavg 125fast

Injury report

ESPN, refreshed every 20 minutes

New York Giants

LB	Tremaine Edmunds	Shoulder	Out
CB	Greg Newsome II	Concussion	Out
TE	Theo Johnson	Neck	Doubtful
OT	Jermaine Eluemunor	Calf	Questionable
S	Jevon Holland	Concussion	Questionable