Cowboys @ Eagles: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2026)

Mon, Oct 26, 2026, 8:15 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Philadelphia Eagles · Division game

Kickoff forecast61°F5 mphgusts 13DryWeather watch ›

Dallas Cowboys

2-4 · Power #20

projected

Mon 8:15 PM ET

Philadelphia Eagles

2-4 · Power #24

projected

DAL 65%

35% PHI

Spread

DAL -4.5

earliest PHI -3

Total

44.5

model 47

Spread edge

PHI by 4

lean · context

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

1H spread

1H total

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 6:54 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenPHI -3

CurrentDAL -4.5

Total48.5 → 44.5

Last update6:54 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

OpenPHI -3

7.5 → DAL

NowDAL -4.5

7.5 pts toward Dallas Cowboys

Total

Open48.5

▼ 4

Now44.5

Down 4 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened PHI -3 · now DAL -4.5 · moved 7.5 toward DALmodel DAL -0.5

model DAL -0.5

Openline modelNow

Line watch · Already at the modelModel vs the opening line: DAL by 3.5 pts (open +3, now -4.5). In 2025–2026, with a 3+ pt gap, lines moved toward the ratings in 63.8% of the 69 games where the line moved (86 at that gap), but those sides covered 39.5% at the opener, below the 52.4% break-even: it predicts the line, not the result.

Line context

Road favorites of 3.5–5.5 since 2023: won 68%, covered 50% (101 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 43% (60 games since 2024)ⓘ

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 6:54 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenPHI -3

CurrentDAL -4.5

Total48.5 → 44.5

Last update6:54 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Books

9 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotalMoneyline

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	DAL	PHI	Over	Under	DAL	PHI
BetMGMMGM	-4-110	+4-110	44.5-105	44.5-112	-210	+175
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	-4-104	+4-116	44-110	44-110	-200	+174
BetRiversBetRivers	-4.5-112	+4.5-109	44.5-108	44.5-113	-225	+180
BetUSBetUS	-4-105	+4-115	44-110	44-110	-200	+170
BovadaBovada	-4-105	+4-115	44-110	44-110	-210	+175
DraftKingsDK	-4.5-112	+4.5-108	44.5-110	44.5-110	-218	+180
FanDuelFD	-4.5-104	+4.5-118	44.5-110	44.5-110	-200	+168
LowVig.agLowVig.ag	-4+104	+4-115	44-107	44-107	-200	+174
MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag	-4-110	+4-110	44-110	44-110	-216	+166

Prices from ESPN’s odds feed and The Odds API, updated 6:54 PM ET. Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

1st-half prices

7 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotal

Book	Spread		Total
Book	DAL	PHI	Over	Under
BetMGMMGM	-2.5-120	+2.5+100	32.5+500	32.5-750
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	-3-110	+3-110	21.5-110	21.5-110
BetRiversBetRivers	-2.5-122	+2.5-103	22.5-112	22.5-113
BetUSBetUS	-3-110	+3-110	21.5-110	21.5-110
BovadaBovada	-3-105	+3-115	21.5-110	21.5-110
DraftKingsDK	-3.5+100	+3.5-120	22.5-112	22.5-108
FanDuelFD	-3.5+105	+3.5-125	22.5-110	22.5-110

Prices from The Odds API’s 1st-half markets (graded on the halftime score). Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money

Spread

DAL -4.5

PHI +4.5

Bets67% 33%

Money67% 33%

Winner

DAL

PHI

Bets78% 22%

Money55% 45%

Money is 23 pts ahead of bets on PHI

Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read Thu, Oct 22, 4:27 AM ET. ⓘ

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like DAL as a 4.5-point road favorite at PHI, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 4 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 66%

Favorite covered

5 of 956%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 4.2 against an average line of 3; 41 points a game (usually 45.1). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	DEN @ LAC 2026 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & situation	-3	23–17	W	U42.5
Close	ARI @ NYG 2026 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-2.5	24–36	L	O43.5
Loose	CAR @ PHI 2026 · Week 6 · loose · similar situation & season form	-3	25–14	W	U39.5
Loose	IND @ CAR 2023 · Week 9 · loose · similar rest & team ratings	-2.5	27–13	W	U45
Loose	LAR @ ARI 2023 · Week 12 · loose · similar rest & season form	-3	37–14	W	O45
Loose	SEA @ ARI 2023 · Week 18 · loose · similar rest & season form	-3	21–20	L	U47.5
Loose	SEA @ TEN 2023 · Week 16 · loose · similar season form & rest	-3	20–17	P	U42.5
Loose	JAX @ TEN 2023 · Week 18 · loose · similar rest & season form	-3.5	20–28	L	O41
Loose	ATL @ ARI 2023 · Week 10 · loose · similar rest & season form	-2	23–25	L	O43.5
Loose	LAC @ NE 2023 · Week 13 · loose · similar rest & season form	-4.5	6–0	W	U38.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DAL WPWLL	2-3-1	40%	1-2	1-3
PHI LLWWL	2-4	33%	1-2	2-1

Venue/role: DAL away, as favorite; PHI home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
DAL OOOUU	4-2	67%	2-4
PHI OUOUU	3-3	50%	2-4

In 510 games with totals 41.5–47.5, 52% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 24% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DAL	3-7 30%	2-7-1 22%	8-2 80%
PHI	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Dallas Cowboys

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 1	vs ARI	L17–27LU
Nov 8	@ IND	No meeting since 2023
Nov 15	vs SF	L24–30LO

Philadelphia Eagles

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 1	@ WSH	W24–22LO
Nov 8	vs NYG	W38–20WO
Nov 22	vs PIT	W27–13WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

DAL 26–29 PHI PHI leads · 55 games since 1999 · DAL has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 23 2025	Philadelphia Eagles 21 @ Dallas Cowboys 24	PHI -2.5	DAL W
Sep 4 2025	Dallas Cowboys 20 @ Philadelphia Eagles 24	PHI -7.5	DAL W
Dec 29 2024	Dallas Cowboys 7 @ Philadelphia Eagles 41	PHI -7.5	PHI W
Nov 10 2024	Philadelphia Eagles 34 @ Dallas Cowboys 6	PHI -7.5	PHI W
Dec 10 2023	Philadelphia Eagles 13 @ Dallas Cowboys 33	DAL -3.5	DAL W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

DAL−0.6 →−1.3▼ 0.7#20

PHI+1.1 →−2.3▼ 3.4#25

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

DAL

Longer bar = better

PHI

#11

Offense

◀ DAL better

#30

Defense

PHI better ▶

#21

−0.7 #27

Turnovers

PHI better ▶

−0.3 #20

63 plays #15

Pace

◀ DAL faster

58 plays #28

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When DAL has the ball

Advantage: DAL offense

	DAL off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	25.2 #12	22.8 #16	Even
Yards / play	5.49 #13	5.38 #17	Even
EPA / play	+0.08 #8	+0.08 #27	DAL
Success rate	47% #9	45% #25	DAL

When PHI has the ball

Even matchup

	PHI off	DAL def	Edge
Points / game	17.7 #29	26.5 #25	Even
Yards / play	4.38 #32	6.04 #31	Even
EPA / play	−0.13 #30	+0.16 #32	Even
Success rate	36% #30	49% #32	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

DAL scoring against the PHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DAL scored	5.0 #11	3.8 #27	8.8 #24	7.7 #4	8.7 #7	16.3 #3
PHI allowed	5.0 #17	4.3 #6	9.3 #9	3.8 #9	9.7 #31	13.5 #26

PHI scoring against the DAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PHI scored	0.5 #32	12.2 #2	12.7 #11	1.0 #32	4.0 #30	5.0 #32
DAL allowed	5.2 #22	8.3 #24	13.5 #27	7.3 #27	5.7 #7	13.0 #21

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.

Game conditions

Before kickoff

Home field

PHI +1.8

home-field points in the model

Weather

61° · 5 mph

gusts 13 mph · kickoff forecast

Rest

DAL8d

PHI8d

Even

Tempo

Average 121 plays

slowavg 125fast

Injury report

ESPN, refreshed every 20 minutes

Dallas Cowboys

LB	Dee Winters	Calf	Doubtful
WR	KaVontae Turpin	Ribs	Questionable
OT	Broderick Jones	Wrist	Questionable
OT	Drew Shelton	Hamstring	Questionable

Philadelphia Eagles

RB	Saquon Barkley	Hamstring	Questionable
WR	Dontayvion Wicks	Ankle	Questionable
WR	DeVonta Smith	Hamstring	Questionable
TE	Dallas Goedert	Knee	Questionable
OT	Fred Johnson	Illness	Questionable