Cardinals @ Giants: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2026)

Sun, Oct 4, 2026, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 4 · at New York Giants

Weather at kickoff61°F9 mphgusts 14DryWeather watch ›

Arizona Cardinals

1-2 · Power #28

final

Final

New York Giants

2-1 · Power #22

▲ winner

Closing spread

ARI -2.5

✓ NYG W

Total

43.5

▲ Over · 60 pts

Model before kickoff

ARI 23–21 NYG

✗ ARI (58%) lost

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenNYG -7

CloseARI -2.5

Total45.5 → 43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenNYG -7

9.5 → ARI

CloseARI -2.5

9.5 pts toward Arizona Cardinals

Total

Open45.5

▼ 2

Close43.5

Down 2 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened NYG -7 · closed ARI -2.5 · moved 9.5 toward ARImodel NYG -1.5

model NYG -1.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 61%, covered 51% (173 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 45% (55 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenNYG -7

CloseARI -2.5

Total45.5 → 43.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ARI as a 2.5-point road favorite at NYG, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: NYG won 36–24 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 60 points went over 43.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 62%

Favorite covered

4 of 944%

Normal range · usually 53%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 48%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 1.9 against an average line of 2.4; 43.9 points a game (usually 44.5). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	SEA @ TEN 2023 · Week 16 · loose · similar rest & season form	-3	20–17	P	U42.5
Loose	IND @ CAR 2023 · Week 9 · loose · similar rest & situation	-2.5	27–13	W	U45
Loose	JAX @ TB 2023 · Week 16 · loose · similar rest & season form	-1.5	12–30	L	U43
Loose	ATL @ ARI 2023 · Week 10 · loose · similar rest	-2	23–25	L	O43.5
Loose	LAR @ ARI 2023 · Week 12 · loose · similar rest	-3	37–14	W	O45
Loose	LAC @ NYJ 2023 · Week 9 · loose · similar rest & situation	-2	27–6	W	U42
Loose	IND @ TEN 2023 · Week 13 · loose · similar rest & season form	-1	31–28	W	O42
Loose	SEA @ ARI 2023 · Week 18 · loose · similar rest & team ratings	-3	21–20	L	U47.5
Loose	LAC @ GB 2023 · Week 11 · loose · similar rest	-3	20–23	L	U44
Loose	CIN @ PIT 2023 · Week 16 · loose · similar rest & season form	-3	11–34	L	O39

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARI WLW	2-1	67%	2-0	—
NYG WLW	2-1	67%	2-0	1-1

Venue/role: ARI away, as favorite; NYG home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARI UUO	1-2	33%	1-2
NYG OUU	1-2	33%	2-1

Went over in Q3. Of 242 earlier overs in games with totals 40.5–46.5, 23% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARI	1-9 10%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%
NYG	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

ARI 9–9 NYG Series tied · 18 games since 1999 · NYG has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 17 2023	New York Giants 31 @ Arizona Cardinals 28	—	—

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ARI−1.3 →−1.6▼ 0.3#23

NYG−1.1 →−1.8▼ 0.7#27

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

ARI

Longer bar = better

NYG

#17

Offense

◀ ARI better

#24

#27

Defense

NYG better ▶

#22

+1.0 #7

Turnovers

Even

+1.0 #9

67 plays #4

Pace

◀ ARI faster

60 plays #16

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ARI has the ball

Even matchup

	ARI off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	21.0 #18	18.3 #9	NYG
Yards / play	4.54 #30	5.84 #26	Even
EPA / play	+0.04 #13	+0.12 #27	ARI
Success rate	47% #8	47% #25	ARI

When NYG has the ball

Even matchup

	NYG off	ARI def	Edge
Points / game	15.3 #28	27.0 #24	Even
Yards / play	4.50 #31	6.46 #31	Even
EPA / play	−0.04 #19	+0.12 #28	NYG
Success rate	43% #18	47% #26	NYG

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

ARI scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARI scored	2.3 #22	6.3 #17	8.7 #23	3.3 #18	9.0 #6	12.3 #13
NYG allowed	2.3 #8	4.7 #8	7.0 #6	4.7 #15	6.7 #18	11.3 #16

NYG scoring against the ARI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	3.3 #19	5.3 #22	8.7 #23	4.3 #16	2.3 #29	6.7 #27
ARI allowed	7.0 #28	3.3 #2	10.3 #10	7.7 #27	9.0 #25	16.7 #28

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.