Titans @ Giants: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2026)

Sun, Sep 27, 2026, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at New York Giants

Weather at kickoff61°F13 mphgusts 30Wet0.0 mmWindy Over 46% of 93 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Tennessee Titans

0-2 · Power #32

final

Final

New York Giants

1-1 · Power #22

▲ winner

Closing spread

NYG -2.5

✓ NYG W

Total

37.5

▼ Under · 19 pts

Model before kickoff

TEN 19–22 NYG

✓ NYG (61%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenNYG -3

CloseNYG -2.5

Total45.5 → 37.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenNYG -3

0.5 → TEN

CloseNYG -2.5

0.5 pts toward Tennessee Titans

Total

Open45.5

▼ 8

Close37.5

Down 8 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened NYG -3 · closed NYG -2.5 · moved 0.5 toward TENmodel NYG -7

model NYG -7

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 63%, covered 53% (217 games)ⓘ

Moved off 3The team the line moved toward covered 29% (31 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenNYG -3

CloseNYG -2.5

Total45.5 → 37.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like NYG as a 2.5-point home favorite against TEN, the favorite won 8, covered 5, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: NYG won 12–7; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 19 points stayed under 37.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 63%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 53%

Went over

3 of 933%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 8.4 against an average line of 3; 34.4 points a game (usually 44.5). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	NYJ vs CAR 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & situation	-1.5	6–13	L	U39.5
Close	CLE vs MIA 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	31–6	W	O35.5
Loose	NE vs WSH 2023 · Week 9 · loose · similar rest & season form	-2.5	17–20	L	U40
Loose	TEN vs CAR 2023 · Week 12 · loose · similar rest & season form	-3.5	17–10	W	U36
Loose	LV vs NYG 2023 · Week 9 · loose · similar rest & team ratings	-3	30–6	W	U38.5
Loose	NYJ vs WSH 2023 · Week 16 · loose · similar rest & season form	-3	30–28	L	O36
Loose	PIT vs TEN 2023 · Week 9 · loose	-3	20–16	W	P36
Loose	JAX vs CAR 2023 · Week 17 · loose · similar rest & season form	-3.5	26–0	W	U38
Loose	TB vs CAR 2023 · Week 13 · loose · similar rest & season form	-3.5	21–18	L	O37
Loose	CHI vs CAR 2023 · Week 10 · loose	-3.5	16–13	L	U38

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TEN LW	1-1	50%	—	1-0
NYG WL	1-1	50%	1-0	—

Venue/role: TEN away, as underdog; NYG home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TEN UO	1-1	50%	0-2
NYG OU	1-1	50%	1-1

Stayed under: it needed 26 in the 4th quarter and got 7. 53% of games with totals 34.5–40.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TEN	2-8 20%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
NYG	3-7 30%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

TEN 5–3 NYG TEN leads · 8 games since 2000 · NYG has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TEN−3.1 →−4.6▼ 1.5#32

NYG−1.1 →−1.7▼ 0.6#25

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

TEN

Longer bar = better

NYG

#21

Offense

Even

#20

#19

Defense

◀ TEN better

#28

+0.5 #12

Turnovers

Even

+0.5 #15

50 plays #32

Pace

NYG faster ▶

62 plays #12

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TEN has the ball

Advantage: TEN offense

	TEN off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	15.0 #27	24.0 #20	NYG
Yards / play	4.86 #26	6.47 #31	TEN
EPA / play	−0.02 #17	+0.26 #31	TEN
Success rate	44% #15	51% #29	TEN

When NYG has the ball

Even matchup

	NYG off	TEN def	Edge
Points / game	17.0 #24	23.5 #17	TEN
Yards / play	4.68 #29	5.24 #16	TEN
EPA / play	0.00 #16	+0.10 #25	NYG
Success rate	45% #12	45% #19	NYG

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 2 teams

TEN scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEN scored	5.0	1.5	6.5	3.5	5.0	8.5
NYG allowed	3.5	7.0	10.5	7.0	6.5	13.5

NYG scoring against the TEN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	3.5	5.0	8.5	5.0	3.5	8.5
TEN allowed	3.5	8.5	12.0	6.5	5.0	11.5

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.