1. Home
  2. NFL
  3. 2026 Week 4
NFL · 2026

NFL Week 4 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 4: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
16 finalFavorites 4-11 ATS7 upsetsO/U 10-6Model Favorite 9-7Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS4-1127% covered
Upsets7outright
Over / Under10-663% over
Model Favorite9-756% won
Totals moved 1+ ptTap to filter
Moved up5 all 5 final
Over4 80%Under1 20%
Moved down9 all 9 final
Over5 56%Under4 44%
Did the team the spread moved toward cover? ATS vs the closing line, by how far it moved
Moved towardThis week20262024–2026
Any move
5–8–138%
36–40–447%
229–252–448%
1.5+ pts
2–6–125%
27–24–253%
116–117–250%
3+ pts
1–5–117%
18–17–151%
56–58–149%
5+ pts
1–233%
4–736%
17–1652%
7+ pts
0–10%
1–325%
2–722%
Covered–didn’t–push; % leaves out pushes and is grey under 10 games; green or red from 10 games. ClickTap a row or count to filter.
Sort by
⌨ Shortcuts

Group the list

Sort by
No games match these filters
Loosen a filter, or start over.

Jump to

Thursday, Oct 1

1
Final · Division
Pittsburgh Steelers
2-1 · #17
24
Cleveland Browns
2-1 · #30
27
Spread
PIT -2.5
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
38.5 ▼2
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
20–18
✗ PIT lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: CLE by 1.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Sunday, Oct 4

14
Final · Neutral
Indianapolis Colts
1-2 · #21
30
Washington Commanders
1-2 · #26
13
Spread
IND -4.5
✓ IND W ATS
Total
46.5 ▼2
▼ Under 43
Projected
26–21
✓ IND won
Trend: IND ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: IND by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
New England Patriots
1-2 · #7
29
Buffalo Bills
3-0 · #9
26
Spread
BUF -7
✓ NE W ATS
Total
49.5
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
19–26
✗ BUF lost
Trend: BUF ATS ✗ Model: NE by 3 ✓ Model: Under 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
New York Jets
1-2 · #27
12
Chicago Bears
2-1 · #4
23
Spread
CHI -3.5
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼2
▼ Under 35
Projected
20–23
✓ CHI won
Trend: NYJ ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: NYJ by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Jacksonville Jaguars
2-1 · #6
22
Cincinnati Bengals
2-1 · #15
17
Spread
CIN -2.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 39
Projected
23–25
✗ CIN lost
Model: JAX by 3 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Arizona Cardinals
1-2 · #28
24
New York Giants
2-1 · #22
36
Spread
ARI -2.5
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
43.5 ▼2
▲ Over 60 · Q3
Projected
23–21
✗ ARI lost
Trend: ARI ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: NYG by 4 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Los Angeles Rams
1-2 · #5
24
Philadelphia Eagles
2-1 · #24
20
Spread
LAR -4.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
42.5 ▼5
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
24–19
✓ LAR won
Trend: LAR ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: PHI by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Green Bay Packers
1-2 · #14
17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0-3 · #19
14
Spread
GB -2.5
✓ GB W ATS
Total
38.5 ▼9
▼ Under 31
Projected
23–20
✓ GB won
Trend: GB ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: GB by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Tennessee Titans
0-3 · #32
18
Baltimore Ravens
2-1 · #10
24
Spread
BAL -11.5
✓ TEN W ATS
Total
41.5 ▼6
▲ Over 42 · Q4
Projected
16–28
✓ BAL won
Trend: BAL ATS ✗Trend: Under ✗ Model: BAL by 0 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Dallas Cowboys
1-2 · #20
34
Houston Texans
0-3 · #11
30
Spread
HOU -3
✓ DAL W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲1
▲ Over 64 · Q4
Projected
22–25
✗ HOU lost
Model: DAL by 1 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Miami Dolphins
0-3 · #31
10
Minnesota Vikings
3-0 · #8
15
Spread
MIN -10
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
38.5 ▼5
▼ Under 25
Projected
16–25
✓ MIN won
Trend: MIN ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: MIA by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Kansas City Chiefs
3-0 · #2
30
Las Vegas Raiders
3-0 · #23
27
Spread
KC -3.5
✓ LV W ATS
Total
47.5 ▲4
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
24–20
✓ KC won
Trend: LV ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: KC by 1.5 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Denver Broncos
2-1 · #16
14
San Francisco 49ers
3-0 · #3
24
Spread
SF -3
✓ SF W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲2
▼ Under 38
Projected
21–24
✓ SF won
Trend: Over ✗ Model: SF by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Los Angeles Chargers
0-3 · #25
23
Seattle Seahawks
2-1 · #1
30
Spread
SEA -7
Push
Total
43.5 ▼2
▲ Over 53 · Q4
Projected
18–25
✓ SEA won
Trend: SEA ATSTrend: Under ✗ Model: SEA by 1 Model: Under 1 ✗
Final · Non-conf
Detroit Lions
2-1 · #12
26
Carolina Panthers
1-2 · #13
32
Spread
DET -3.5
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
52.5 ▲7
▲ Over 58 · Q4
Projected
27–24
✗ DET lost
Trend: Over ✓ Model: CAR by 2.5 ✓ Model: Under 1 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Oct 5

1
Final · Division
Atlanta Falcons
1-2 · #18
45
New Orleans Saints
1-2 · #29
24
Spread
NO -1.5
✓ ATL W ATS
Total
48.5 ▲3
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
21–23
✗ NO lost
Trend: ATL ATS ✓Trend: Over ✓ Model: NO by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Loading…
StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
Loading…
Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total