Panthers @ Eagles: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2026)

Sun, Oct 18, 2026, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 6 · at Philadelphia Eagles

Weather at kickoff56°F6 mphDryWeather watch ›

Carolina Panthers

2-2 · Power #13

▲ winner

Final

Philadelphia Eagles

2-3 · Power #24

final

Closing spread

CAR -3

✓ CAR W

Total

39.5

▼ Under · 39 pts

Model before kickoff

CAR 22–19 PHI

✓ CAR (61%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenPHI -6.5

CloseCAR -3

Total43.5 → 39.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Game recap · 1:22

Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles: game recap

Made automatically (Oct 19, 11:46 AM ET). The “Model before kickoff” score on this card was updated after the video was made, so the video quotes an older one.

Watch on YouTube ↗More game recaps ›

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenPHI -6.5

9.5 → CAR

CloseCAR -3

9.5 pts toward Carolina Panthers

Total

Open43.5

▼ 4

Close39.5

Down 4 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened PHI -6.5 · closed CAR -3 · moved 9.5 toward CARmodel CAR -4.5

model CAR -4.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 2–4 since 2023: won 64%, covered 53% (149 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 42% (59 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenPHI -6.5

CloseCAR -3

Total43.5 → 39.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Books

9 sportsbooks · prices at kickoff

SpreadTotalMoneyline

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	CAR	PHI	Over	Under	CAR	PHI
BetMGMMGM	-3-110	+3+100	39.5-110	39.5-108	-175	+145
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	-3-115	+3-105	39-113	39-107	-165	+145
BetRiversBetRivers	-3-113	+3-108	39-109	39-112	-167	+135
BetUSBetUS	-3-115	+3-105	39-110	39-110	-160	+138
BovadaBovada	-3-110	+3-110	39-110	39-110	-165	+140
DraftKingsDK	-3-110	+3-110	39.5-112	39.5-108	-155	+130
FanDuelFD	-3-120	+3-102	38.5-115	38.5-105	-172	+142
LowVig.agLowVig.ag	-3-105	+3-105	39-110	39-104	-165	+145
MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag	-3-120	+3+100	39.5-110	39.5-110	-169	+143

Last prices before kickoff from ESPN’s odds feed and The Odds API. Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Each row is that book’s own last price, so it can differ from the closing line on this card. Prices vary by state; check your book.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CAR as a 3-point road favorite at PHI, the favorite won 5, covered 3, and 5 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: CAR won 25–14; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 39 points stayed under 39.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 62%

Favorite covered

3 of 933%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 48%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: underdog by 2.6 against an average line of 3.1; 35.2 points a game (usually 44.8). Of the 5 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	ARI @ NYG 2026 · Week 4 · loose · similar spread & situation	-2.5	24–36	L	O43.5
Loose	MIN @ LV 2023 · Week 14 · loose · similar season form & team ratings	-3	3–0	P	U40.5
Loose	GB @ CAR 2023 · Week 16 · loose · similar team ratings & season form	-3.5	33–30	L	O39.5
Loose	CIN @ PIT 2023 · Week 16 · loose · similar season form	-3	11–34	L	O39
Loose	LAC @ NE 2023 · Week 13 · loose · similar season form & team ratings	-4.5	6–0	W	U38.5
Loose	LAC @ NYJ 2023 · Week 9 · loose · similar situation & team ratings	-2	27–6	W	U42
Loose	JAX @ TEN 2023 · Week 18 · loose · similar season form	-3.5	20–28	L	O41
Loose	JAX @ PIT 2023 · Week 8 · loose · similar situation	-2.5	20–10	W	U41
Loose	HOU @ CAR 2023 · Week 8 · loose · similar situation & team ratings	-3.5	13–15	L	U43
Loose	HOU @ NYJ 2023 · Week 14 · loose · similar season form & team ratings	-3	6–30	L	O33.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CAR LWLW	2-2	50%	1-1	1-1
PHI LLLWW	2-3	40%	1-1	2-0

Venue/role: CAR away, as favorite; PHI home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CAR OUUO	2-2	50%	2-2
PHI OOUOU	3-2	60%	2-3

Stayed under: it needed 20 in the 4th quarter and got 19. 53% of games with totals 36.5–42.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CAR	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%
PHI	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

CAR 6–8 PHI PHI leads · 14 games since 1999 · CAR has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 8 2024	Carolina Panthers 16 @ Philadelphia Eagles 22	PHI -13.5	CAR W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CAR−1.6 →−0.1▲ 1.5#16

PHI+1.1 →−1.6▼ 2.7#21

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

CAR

Longer bar = better

PHI

Offense

◀ CAR better

#30

#23

Defense

Even

#21

+0.8 #6

Turnovers

◀ CAR better

−0.4 #21

67 plays #3

Pace

◀ CAR faster

58 plays #28

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CAR has the ball

Advantage: CAR offense

	CAR off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	30.3 #4	22.4 #18	CAR
Yards / play	6.06 #5	5.37 #17	CAR
EPA / play	+0.12 #8	+0.07 #24	CAR
Success rate	44% #14	45% #24	CAR

When PHI has the ball

Advantage: CAR defense

	PHI off	CAR def	Edge
Points / game	18.4 #29	27.3 #26	Even
Yards / play	4.54 #29	5.78 #27	Even
EPA / play	−0.13 #30	+0.03 #21	CAR
Success rate	36% #31	43% #17	CAR

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

CAR scoring against the PHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CAR scored	6.0 #6	9.8 #5	15.8 #3	10.0 #1	4.5 #28	14.5 #6
PHI allowed	5.4 #20	3.8 #1	9.2 #7	4.0 #6	9.2 #28	13.2 #22

PHI scoring against the CAR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PHI scored	0.6 #32	13.2 #2	13.8 #5	1.2 #32	3.4 #31	4.6 #32
CAR allowed	4.3 #15	10.8 #32	15.0 #30	4.3 #14	8.0 #22	12.3 #18

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.