Eagles vs Jaguars: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 5, 2026)

Sun, Oct 11, 2026, 9:30 AM EDTWeek 5 · Neutral site

Weather at kickoff60°F6 mphgusts 14DryWeather watch ›

Philadelphia Eagles

2-2 · Power #24

final

Final

Jacksonville Jaguars

3-1 · Power #6

▲ winner

Closing spread

JAX -7.5

✓ PHI W

Total

41.5

▼ Under · 36 pts

Model before kickoff

PHI 18–25 JAX

✓ JAX (74%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenPHI -2.5

CloseJAX -7.5

Total44.5 → 41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenPHI -2.5

10 → JAX

CloseJAX -7.5

10 pts toward Jacksonville Jaguars

Total

Open44.5

▼ 3

Close41.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened PHI -2.5 · closed JAX -7.5 · moved 10 toward JAXmodel JAX -4

model JAX -4

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Crossed 7The team the line moved toward covered 32% (50 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenPHI -2.5

CloseJAX -7.5

Total44.5 → 41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 1 games most like JAX as a 7.5-point neutral-site favorite against PHI, the favorite won 1, covered 1, and 0 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: JAX won 19–17; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 0 of the 1 similar games. 36 points stayed under 41.5, as in 1 of 1.

Favorite won

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 72%

Favorite covered

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 45%

Went over

0 of 10%

Normal range · usually 61%

Only 1 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 8 against an average line of 5.5; 40 points a game (usually 47.2). When games like this go over ›

All 1 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	BAL vs TEN 2023 · Week 6 · loose · similar situation & rest	-5.5	24–16	W	U41.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
PHI LLLW	1-3	25%	—	1-0
JAX WLWW	3-1	75%	—	2-0

Venue/role: PHI neutral, as underdog; JAX neutral, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
PHI OOUO	3-1	75%	2-2
JAX OUUU	1-3	25%	3-1

Stayed under: it needed 18 in the 4th quarter and got 12. 51% of games with totals 38.5–44.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PHI	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
JAX	8-2 80%	8-2 80%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

PHI 5–3 JAX PHI leads · 8 games since 2002 · JAX has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 3 2024	Jacksonville Jaguars 23 @ Philadelphia Eagles 28	PHI -7.5	JAX W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

PHI+1.1 →−1.0▼ 2.1#20

JAX+1.4 →+2.8▲ 1.4#6

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW4

PHI

Longer bar = better

JAX

#29

Offense

JAX better ▶

#20

Defense

JAX better ▶

#14

−0.8 #26

Turnovers

JAX better ▶

+1.5 #1

58 plays #26

Pace

◀ PHI faster

56 plays #30

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When PHI has the ball

Advantage: JAX defense

	PHI off	JAX def	Edge
Points / game	18.8 #26	13.3 #2	JAX
Yards / play	4.69 #28	5.93 #29	Even
EPA / play	−0.11 #30	−0.06 #6	JAX
Success rate	37% #30	44% #18	JAX

When JAX has the ball

Advantage: JAX offense

	JAX off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	26.0 #12	23.3 #17	JAX
Yards / play	5.63 #13	5.21 #11	Even
EPA / play	+0.18 #4	+0.07 #27	JAX
Success rate	50% #3	47% #26	JAX

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

PHI scoring against the JAX defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PHI scored	0.8 #31	13.0 #2	13.8 #8	1.5 #32	3.5 #29	5.0 #32
JAX allowed	0.0 #1	2.3 #1	2.3 #1	3.3 #5	7.8 #19	11.0 #13

JAX scoring against the PHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
JAX scored	4.3 #12	11.0 #4	15.3 #4	7.5 #7	3.3 #30	10.8 #20
PHI allowed	5.0 #18	4.8 #5	9.8 #10	4.3 #11	9.3 #29	13.5 #24

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.