Giants @ Eagles: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2026)

Sun, Nov 8, 2026, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 9 · at Philadelphia Eagles · Division game

New York Giants

3-2-1 · Power #22

projected

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Philadelphia Eagles

2-4 · Power #24

projected

NYG 32%

68% PHI

Spread

PHI -5.5

Total

44.5

model 42.5

Spread edge

NYG by 3

lean · context

Pick this game

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Spread

Total

Winner

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentPHI -5.5

Total44.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

NowPHI -5.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now44.5

Line context

Home favorites of 4.5–6.5 since 2023: won 69%, covered 48% (122 games)ⓘ

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentPHI -5.5

Total44.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like PHI as a 5.5-point home favorite against NYG, the favorite won 6, covered 3, and 8 went over the total.

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games

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 72%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 53%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 4.8 against an average line of 5; 54.6 points a game (usually 46). Of the 8 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	MIA vs ARI 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar situation & team ratings	-4.5	27–28	L	O46.5
Close	NYJ vs IND 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar season form & total	-4.5	27–28	L	O43.5
Close	HOU vs TEN 2023 · Week 17 · close · similar spread & total	-5.5	26–3	W	U44
Close	CIN vs NYJ 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & total	-5.5	38–39	L	O43.5
Close	MIA vs NYJ 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar total & situation	-6.5	32–26	L	O45.5
Close	BAL vs PIT 2025 · Week 14 · close · similar spread & total	-5.5	22–27	L	O43.5
Close	IND vs TEN 2024 · Week 16 · close · similar total & spread	-4.5	38–30	W	O43.5
Close	JAX vs IND 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar total & situation	-3.5	37–34	L	O44.5
Close	ARI vs NE 2024 · Week 15 · close · similar spread & rest	-5.5	30–17	W	O46.5
Close	TB vs ARI 2025 · Week 13 · close · similar total & season form	-4.5	20–17	L	U45.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NYG LWWWL	4-2	67%	1-1	3-2
PHI LLWWL	2-4	33%	1-2	0-3

Venue/role: NYG away, as underdog; PHI home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NYG UUOOO	4-2	67%	3-2-1
PHI OUOUU	3-3	50%	2-4

In 510 games with totals 41.5–47.5, 52% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 24% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NYG	5-4-1 56%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%
PHI	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

New York Giants

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 12	vs WSH	T27–27WO
Nov 22	vs JAX	No meeting since 2023
Nov 29	@ IND	W45–33WO

Philadelphia Eagles

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 22	vs PIT	W27–13WU
Nov 26	@ DAL	L21–24LU
Dec 6	@ ARI	L31–35LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

NYG 20–38 PHI PHI leads · 58 games since 1999 · PHI has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 26 2025	New York Giants 20 @ Philadelphia Eagles 38	PHI -7.5	PHI W
Oct 9 2025	Philadelphia Eagles 17 @ New York Giants 34	PHI -7.5	NYG W
Jan 5 2024	New York Giants 13 @ Philadelphia Eagles 20	PHI -2.5	PHI W
Oct 20 2024	Philadelphia Eagles 28 @ New York Giants 3	PHI -3.5	PHI W
Jan 7 2023	Philadelphia Eagles 10 @ New York Giants 27	PHI -5	NYG W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NYG−1.1 →−1.9▼ 0.8#22

PHI+1.1 →−2.3▼ 3.4#24

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

NYG

Longer bar = better

PHI

#19

Offense

◀ NYG better

#30

#21

Defense

Even

#21

−0.3 #21

Turnovers

Even

−0.3 #20

66 plays #8

Pace

◀ NYG faster

58 plays #28

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NYG has the ball

Even matchup

	NYG off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	22.7 #19	22.8 #16	Even
Yards / play	5.03 #20	5.38 #17	Even
EPA / play	−0.02 #18	+0.08 #27	NYG
Success rate	42% #18	45% #25	NYG

When PHI has the ball

Advantage: NYG defense

	PHI off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	17.7 #29	23.3 #19	NYG
Yards / play	4.38 #32	5.43 #20	NYG
EPA / play	−0.13 #30	+0.02 #21	NYG
Success rate	36% #30	44% #22	NYG

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

NYG scoring against the PHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	3.8 #20	5.8 #21	9.7 #20	5.2 #13	7.8 #13	13.0 #9
PHI allowed	5.0 #17	4.3 #6	9.3 #9	3.8 #9	9.7 #31	13.5 #26

PHI scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PHI scored	0.5 #32	12.2 #2	12.7 #11	1.0 #32	4.0 #30	5.0 #32
NYG allowed	4.5 #15	5.5 #9	10.0 #11	7.5 #28	5.8 #8	13.3 #23

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.