Seahawks @ Rams: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 18, 2026)

Sun, Jan 10, 2027, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 18 · at Los Angeles Rams · Division game

Seattle Seahawks

3-3 · Power #1

projected

Sun 12:00 AM ET

Los Angeles Rams

2-4 · Power #5

projected

SEA 39%

61% LAR

Spread

LAR -3

Total

44.5

model 45

Spread edge

Even

matches market

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentLAR -3

Total44.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

NowLAR -3

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now44.5

Line context

Home favorites of 2–4 since 2023: won 64%, covered 53% (204 games)ⓘ

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentLAR -3

Total44.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like LAR as a 3-point home favorite against SEA, the favorite won 6, covered 6, and 6 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 62%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 5 against an average line of 3.4; 41.6 points a game (usually 44.8). Of the 6 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	BUF vs PHI 2025 · Week 17 · very close · similar spread & total	-3.5	12–13	L	U45.5
Very close	LAC vs MIN 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar total & season form	-3.5	37–10	W	O44.5
Very close	KC vs HOU 2024 · Week 16 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	27–19	W	O42.5
Very close	LAC vs PIT 2025 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	25–10	W	U45.5
Very close	TB vs SF 2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-3.5	30–19	W	O46.5
Very close	LAR vs NO 2023 · Week 16 · very close · similar total & season form	-4	30–22	W	O45.5
Very close	ARI vs SEA 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	18–30	L	O45.5
Very close	GB vs CHI 2023 · Week 18 · very close · similar situation & rest	-2.5	17–9	W	U46
Very close	TB vs NO 2023 · Week 17 · very close · similar situation & spread	-2.5	13–23	L	U42.5
Very close	BAL vs NE 2025 · Week 16 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	24–28	L	O47.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SEA WLPLL	1-3-2	25%	1-2	—
LAR WLLLL	1-5	17%	1-2	1-4

Venue/role: SEA away, as underdog; LAR home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SEA UOOOU	3-3	50%	3-3
LAR UOOOU	3-3	50%	2-4

In 510 games with totals 41.5–47.5, 52% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 24% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SEA	7-3 70%	5-3-2 63%	5-5 50%
LAR	5-5 50%	2-8 20%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Seattle Seahawks

No more games this season.

Los Angeles Rams

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

SEA 28–24 LAR SEA leads · 52 games since 2000 · SEA has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Jan 25 2025	Los Angeles Rams 27 @ Seattle Seahawks 31	SEA -2.5	SEA W
Dec 18 2025	Los Angeles Rams 37 @ Seattle Seahawks 38	SEA -1.5	LAR W
Nov 16 2025	Seattle Seahawks 19 @ Los Angeles Rams 21	LAR -3.5	SEA W
Jan 5 2024	Seattle Seahawks 30 @ Los Angeles Rams 25	SEA -7.5	LAR W
Nov 3 2024	Los Angeles Rams 26 @ Seattle Seahawks 20	LAR -2	LAR W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SEA+3.2 →+4.3▲ 1.1#1

LAR+3.0 →+3.1▲ 0.1#5

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW17

SEA

Longer bar = better

LAR

#19

Offense

LAR better ▶

#12

Defense

◀ SEA better

#13

−0.2 #19

Turnovers

◀ SEA better

−0.5 #25

63 plays #12

Pace

LAR faster ▶

68 plays #3

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SEA has the ball

Advantage: LAR defense

	SEA off	LAR def	Edge
Points / game	24.7 #13	23.0 #18	SEA
Yards / play	5.26 #17	4.85 #7	LAR
EPA / play	−0.08 #24	−0.04 #10	LAR
Success rate	41% #22	44% #18	Even

When LAR has the ball

Advantage: SEA defense

	LAR off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	22.5 #20	20.3 #6	SEA
Yards / play	5.87 #8	3.96 #1	SEA
EPA / play	+0.04 #12	−0.13 #2	SEA
Success rate	47% #7	37% #2	SEA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

SEA scoring against the LAR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	4.0 #18	4.8 #25	8.8 #24	7.2 #6	8.7 #7	15.8 #4
LAR allowed	2.5 #6	6.7 #17	9.2 #8	5.8 #24	7.5 #19	13.3 #23

LAR scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LAR scored	3.3 #23	7.2 #14	10.5 #17	2.3 #30	9.7 #3	12.0 #14
SEA allowed	2.8 #7	9.2 #28	12.0 #20	2.8 #3	5.0 #6	7.8 #3

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.