Ravens @ Bengals: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 17, 2026)

Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 8:15 PM ESTWeek 17 · at Cincinnati Bengals · Division game

Baltimore Ravens

4-2 · Power #10

projected

Thu 8:15 PM ET

Cincinnati Bengals

3-2 · Power #15

projected

BAL 42%

58% CIN

Spread

CIN -2.5

Total

51.5

model 49.5

Spread edge

BAL by 2.5

lean · context

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentCIN -2.5

Total51.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

NowCIN -2.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now51.5

Line context

Home favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 62%, covered 52% (234 games)ⓘ

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentCIN -2.5

Total51.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CIN as a 2.5-point home favorite against BAL, the favorite won 4, covered 3, and 4 went over the total.

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Favorite won

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 61%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 5.4 against an average line of 2.8; 49.8 points a game (usually 44.7). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	CHI vs DET 2025 · Week 18 · very close · similar total & situation	-3	16–19	L	U51.5
Very close	MIA vs BUF 2024 · Week 2 · very close · similar spread & season form	-2.5	10–31	L	U49.5
Very close	CHI vs NE 2026 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3	30–24	W	O50.5
Very close	JAX vs BUF 2025 · Postseason · very close · similar total & team ratings	-1.5	24–27	L	U51.5
Very close	TB vs WSH 2024 · Postseason · very close · similar total & season form	-3.5	20–23	L	U51.5
Very close	DET vs LAR 2023 · Postseason · very close · similar season form & spread	-3	24–23	L	U53
Very close	CIN vs DEN 2024 · Week 17 · very close · similar total & situation	-3.5	30–24	W	O50.5
Very close	PHI vs BUF 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & situation	-2.5	37–34	W	O48.5
Very close	CIN vs PHI 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & season form	-2.5	17–37	L	O47.5
Very close	ATL vs SEA 2024 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & total	-2.5	14–34	L	U51.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BAL LPLWL	2-3-1	40%	2-1	1-0
CIN WWLLL	2-3	40%	1-1	1-3

Venue/role: BAL away, as underdog; CIN home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
BAL UOOOU	4-2	67%	4-2
CIN OUOUO	3-2	60%	3-2

In 159 games with totals 48.5–54.5, 48% went over; 0% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 18% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BAL	6-4 60%	4-5-1 44%	7-3 70%
CIN	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Baltimore Ravens

Date	Game	Last meeting
Jan 10	vs PIT	L24–26LO

Cincinnati Bengals

Date	Game	Last meeting
Jan 10	vs CLE	L18–20LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

BAL 30–25 CIN BAL leads · 55 games since 1999 · BAL has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 14 2025	Baltimore Ravens 24 @ Cincinnati Bengals 0	BAL -2.5	BAL W
Nov 27 2025	Cincinnati Bengals 32 @ Baltimore Ravens 14	BAL -7	CIN W
Nov 7 2024	Cincinnati Bengals 34 @ Baltimore Ravens 35	BAL -5.5	CIN W
Oct 6 2024	Baltimore Ravens 41 @ Cincinnati Bengals 38	BAL -2.5	BAL W
Nov 16 2023	Cincinnati Bengals 20 @ Baltimore Ravens 34	BAL -3.5	BAL W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

BAL+0.7 →+1.9▲ 1.2#10

CIN−1.2 →+0.5▲ 1.7#15

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW16

BAL

Longer bar = better

CIN

Offense

◀ BAL better

#10

#13

Defense

◀ BAL better

#17

+0.3 #14

Turnovers

Even

+0.4 #12

61 plays #21

Pace

CIN faster ▶

62 plays #17

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When BAL has the ball

Advantage: BAL offense

	BAL off	CIN def	Edge
Points / game	26.0 #7	21.8 #14	BAL
Yards / play	6.01 #4	5.61 #23	BAL
EPA / play	+0.11 #7	−0.03 #15	BAL
Success rate	48% #5	43% #14	BAL

When CIN has the ball

Even matchup

	CIN off	BAL def	Edge
Points / game	25.6 #10	22.0 #15	CIN
Yards / play	5.49 #12	5.04 #12	Even
EPA / play	+0.07 #9	−0.03 #14	CIN
Success rate	47% #8	42% #9	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

BAL scoring against the CIN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BAL scored	8.0 #1	9.5 #6	17.5 #1	2.7 #27	4.7 #26	7.3 #31
CIN allowed	5.4 #24	4.6 #7	10.0 #11	5.2 #20	6.6 #14	11.8 #16

CIN scoring against the BAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CIN scored	5.6 #6	8.8 #8	14.4 #6	6.0 #11	5.2 #25	11.2 #19
BAL allowed	5.0 #17	3.8 #3	8.8 #6	3.8 #9	9.3 #29	13.2 #22

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.