Broncos @ Raiders: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 15, 2026)

Sun, Dec 20, 2026, 4:25 PM ESTWeek 15 · at Las Vegas Raiders · Division game

Kickoff forecastIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Denver Broncos

4-2 · Power #16

projected

Sun 4:25 PM ET

Las Vegas Raiders

3-3 · Power #23

projected

DEN 56%

44% LV

Spread

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Total

—

model 44

Model line

DEN -1.5

DEN 56% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DEN WWLWW	4-2	67%	1-2	—
LV WWWLW	5-1	83%	3-0	—

Venue/role: DEN away; LV home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
DEN UOUUU	1-5	17%	4-2
LV UOOOO	4-2	67%	3-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DEN	7-3 70%	7-3 70%	2-8 20%
LV	4-6 40%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Denver Broncos

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 25	vs BUF	W33–30WO
Jan 3	@ NE	L7–10WU
Jan 10	vs LAC	W23–17WU

Las Vegas Raiders

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 27	vs TEN	W20–10WU
Jan 3	@ ARI	No meeting since 2023
Jan 10	@ KC	L27–30WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

DEN 31–23 LV DEN leads · 54 games since 1999 · DEN has won the last 4 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 7 2025	Denver Broncos 24 @ Las Vegas Raiders 17	DEN -8.5	LV W
Nov 6 2025	Las Vegas Raiders 7 @ Denver Broncos 10	DEN -9.5	LV W
Nov 24 2024	Denver Broncos 29 @ Las Vegas Raiders 19	DEN -5.5	DEN W
Oct 6 2024	Las Vegas Raiders 18 @ Denver Broncos 34	DEN -2.5	DEN W
Jan 7 2023	Denver Broncos 14 @ Las Vegas Raiders 27	LV -3	LV W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

DEN+1.2 →+0.3▼ 0.9#16

LV−3.0 →−2.1▲ 0.9#23

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW14

DEN

Longer bar = better

#28

Offense

LV better ▶

#13

Defense

◀ DEN better

#26

+0.7 #7

Turnovers

◀ DEN better

+0.3 #15

57 plays #30

Pace

LV faster ▶

64 plays #9

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When DEN has the ball

Even matchup

	DEN off	LV def	Edge
Points / game	19.0 #26	27.0 #26	Even
Yards / play	4.40 #31	5.99 #29	Even
EPA / play	−0.08 #25	+0.03 #22	Even
Success rate	38% #28	45% #26	Even

When LV has the ball

Even matchup

	LV off	DEN def	Edge
Points / game	27.0 #6	20.8 #11	LV
Yards / play	5.33 #16	5.05 #13	Even
EPA / play	+0.02 #14	−0.04 #9	DEN
Success rate	43% #17	40% #4	DEN

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

DEN scoring against the LV defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DEN scored	2.8 #26	3.3 #28	6.2 #28	3.7 #21	8.7 #7	12.3 #12
LV allowed	5.0 #17	6.7 #17	11.7 #18	8.7 #31	6.7 #15	15.3 #27

LV scoring against the DEN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LV scored	5.2 #8	7.5 #11	12.7 #11	4.3 #19	10.0 #2	14.3 #8
DEN allowed	2.8 #7	5.3 #8	8.2 #5	5.7 #22	7.0 #17	12.7 #18

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.