Chargers @ Raiders: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 14, 2026)

Sun, Dec 13, 2026, 4:05 PM ESTWeek 14 · at Las Vegas Raiders · Division game

Kickoff forecastIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Los Angeles Chargers

0-6 · Power #25

projected

Sun 4:05 PM ET

Las Vegas Raiders

3-3 · Power #23

projected

LAC 66%

34% LV

Spread

LAC -5.5

Total

43.5

model 44

Spread edge

LV by 8

no lean

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentLAC -5.5

Total43.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

NowLAC -5.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now43.5

Line context

Road favorites of 4.5–6.5 since 2023: won 73%, covered 53% (73 games)ⓘ

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentLAC -5.5

Total43.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like LAC as a 5.5-point road favorite at LV, the favorite won 8, covered 5, and 2 went over the total.

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games

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 72%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

2 of 1020%

Below normal · usually 53%

Overs below normal. Splits like this often fade, so treat it as context, not a pick. Average result: favorite by 4.8 against an average line of 4.9; 32.6 points a game (usually 46). Of the 2 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	TB @ MIA 2025 · Week 17 · close · similar spread & total	-5.5	17–20	L	U44.5
Close	NYJ @ TEN 2024 · Week 2 · close · similar total & team ratings	-3.5	24–17	W	U42.5
Loose	CIN @ NYG 2024 · Week 6 · loose · similar spread & total	-4.5	17–7	W	U45.5
Loose	BAL @ PIT 2025 · Week 18 · loose · similar situation & spread	-4.5	24–26	L	O41.5
Loose	KC @ NYG 2025 · Week 3 · loose · similar spread & total	-5.5	22–9	W	U44.5
Loose	LAR @ NE 2024 · Week 11 · loose · similar total & spread	-4.5	28–22	W	O42.5
Loose	ATL @ LV 2024 · Week 15 · loose · similar spread & total	-5.5	15–9	W	U43.5
Loose	DAL @ NYG 2024 · Week 4 · loose · similar spread & total	-5.5	20–15	L	U44.5
Loose	SEA @ CHI 2024 · Week 17 · loose · similar total & spread	-4.5	6–3	L	U42.5
Loose	NO @ NYG 2024 · Week 14 · loose · similar spread & total	-5.5	14–11	L	U41.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LAC LLPLL	0-5-1	0%	0-2-1	0-2
LV WWWLW	5-1	83%	3-0	4-1

Venue/role: LAC away, as favorite; LV home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LAC UUOUU	1-5	17%	0-6
LV UOOOO	4-2	67%	3-3

In 495 games with totals 40.5–46.5, 52% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 24% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LAC	1-9 10%	1-8-1 11%	2-8 20%
LV	4-6 40%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Los Angeles Chargers

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 17	vs SF	No meeting since 2023
Dec 27	@ MIA	W29–27LO
Jan 3	vs KC	L6–22LU

Las Vegas Raiders

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 20	vs DEN	L17–24WO
Dec 27	vs TEN	W20–10WU
Jan 3	@ ARI	No meeting since 2023

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

LAC 33–22 LV LAC leads · 55 games since 1999 · LV has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 20 2026	Las Vegas Raiders 26 @ Los Angeles Chargers 14	LAC -6.5	LV W
Nov 30 2025	Las Vegas Raiders 14 @ Los Angeles Chargers 31	LAC -9.5	LAC W
Sep 15 2025	Los Angeles Chargers 20 @ Las Vegas Raiders 9	LAC -3.5	LAC W
Jan 5 2024	Los Angeles Chargers 34 @ Las Vegas Raiders 20	LAC -6.5	LAC W
Sep 8 2024	Las Vegas Raiders 10 @ Los Angeles Chargers 22	LAC -3	LAC W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LAC+0.6 →−2.3▼ 2.9#25

LV−3.0 →−2.1▲ 0.9#23

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW13

LAC

Longer bar = better

#30

Offense

LV better ▶

#13

#17

Defense

◀ LAC better

#26

−0.8 #29

Turnovers

LV better ▶

+0.3 #15

62 plays #18

Pace

LV faster ▶

64 plays #9

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LAC has the ball

Even matchup

	LAC off	LV def	Edge
Points / game	15.0 #30	27.0 #26	Even
Yards / play	4.64 #26	5.99 #29	Even
EPA / play	−0.22 #32	+0.03 #22	LV
Success rate	36% #31	45% #26	LV

When LV has the ball

Even matchup

	LV off	LAC def	Edge
Points / game	27.0 #6	25.2 #22	LV
Yards / play	5.33 #16	5.40 #19	Even
EPA / play	+0.02 #14	−0.04 #11	Even
Success rate	43% #17	44% #17	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

LAC scoring against the LV defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LAC scored	3.8 #20	2.2 #31	6.0 #30	6.8 #7	2.2 #32	9.0 #28
LV allowed	5.0 #17	6.7 #17	11.7 #18	8.7 #31	6.7 #15	15.3 #27

LV scoring against the LAC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LV scored	5.2 #8	7.5 #11	12.7 #11	4.3 #19	10.0 #2	14.3 #8
LAC allowed	5.0 #17	8.7 #26	13.7 #29	3.3 #5	8.2 #22	11.5 #14

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.